Atalanta vs. Manchester United odds, expert picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atalanta vs. Manchester United odds and lines, with Champions League picks and predictions.

In midweek Group F Champions League action, Manchester United (2 wins, 1 loss, 0 draws) visits Atalanta (1-1-1). Kickoff at Gewiss Stadium is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Atalanta vs. Manchester United odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.

Atalanta enters in third place in Group F play and fifth place in Italy’s Serie A with a 5-2-4 record.

Atalanta has been dominant defensively and given up just 14 goals across 11 league games. It has scored 5 and allowed 5 across three UCL matches.

United plays with a more attack-heavy mindset. Man U should be able to move the ball with pace as M Paul Pogba‘s domestic suspension doesn’t impact his availability for European play.

It’s sitting atop Group F despite a crippling loss to BSC Young Boys. United defeated Atalanta 3-2 in its last UCL match and picked up a 3-0 domestic win over Tottenham Saturday.

Atalanta vs. Manchester United: Odds, picks and predictions

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Atalanta +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Manchester United +127 (bet $100 to win $127) | Draw +270
  • Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +130 | U: -165)

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Prediction

Manchester United 3, Atalanta 1

Money line (ML)

BET on MANCHESTER UNITED (+127) as it was dominant in the two teams’ first met. Man U won 3-2 after being down 2-0 in the first third of the game as it doubled Atalanta in shots.

United should be able to prevail with Pogba in the middle and F Cristiano Ronaldo up top. While its lost its UCL opener to BSC Young Boys, it was down to ten men when both of the Young Boys’ goals were scored.

Man U is a sound side despite defensive struggles against top-tier sides, but Atalanta doesn’t have the same pace as a club like Liverpool. Atalanta is 0-1-1 in two matches against top-tier Italian clubs.

Given those struggles against elite competition and Man U looking confident following its victory over Tottenham, I’m taking the slight favorite, especially with the plus-money value.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 3.5 (+130) as both teams couldn’t find much traction defensively in their last outing. There were a total of 15 shots on target last time they faced off.

I expect a similar total as Man U gave up 5 goals to Liverpool just two weeks ago. Having given up 1.6 goals per game in UCL action, Man U has scored 2 or more goals in all three games. The teams combined for 5 in their recent meeting.

Given that both teams have capable forwards and have shown attacking prowess in their league play (Man U averaged 1.9 per game while Atalanta is at 1.8 per game), I think the Over 3.5, especially at plus-money value, is a good bet.

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