The Kansas City Chiefs have made the playoffs in 8 straight seasons, appearing in 3 of the last 4 Super Bowls and winning 2 of them.
The Chiefs lost LT Orlando Brown Jr., WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, and T Andrew Wylie, but they did add RT Jawaan Taylor. Many of Kansas City’s key weapons offensively from last season’s 14-3 campaign will remain the same.
Below, we look at the Kansas City Chiefs’ 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.
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2023 Kansas City Chiefs schedule
| WK | DATE | OPPONENT | TIME |
| All times ET; *-at Frankfurt, Germany | |||
| 1 | Sept. 7 (Th) | vs. Lions | 8:20 p.m. |
| 2 | Sept. 17 | at Jaguars | 1 p.m. |
| 3 | Sept. 24 | vs. Bears | 4:25 p.m. |
| 4 | Oct. 1 | at Jets | 8:20 p.m. |
| 5 | Oct. 8 | at Vikings | 4:25 p.m. |
| 6 | Oct. 12 (Th) | vs. Broncos | 8:15 p.m. |
| 7 | Oct. 22 | vs. Chargers | 4:25 p.m. |
| 8 | Oct. 29 | at Broncos | 4:25 p.m. |
| 9 | Nov. 5 | vs. Dolphins-* | 9:30 a.m. |
| 10 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 11 | Nov. 20 (M) | vs. Eagles | 8:15 p.m. |
| 12 | Nov. 26 | at Raiders | 4:25 p.m. |
| 13 | Dec. 3 | at Packers | 8:20 p.m. |
| 14 | Dec. 10 | vs. Bills | 4:25 p.m. |
| 15 | Dec. 18 (M) | at Patriots | 8:15 p.m. |
| 16 | Dec. 25 (M) | vs. Raiders | 1 p.m. |
| 17 | Dec. 31 | vs. Bengals | 4:25 p.m. |
| 18 | Jan. 6 or 7 | at Chargers | TBD |
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Chiefs over/under win total
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 17 at 7:25 a.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- 11.5 wins: (Over: -128 | Under: +104)
The Chiefs have topped this win total in 5 straight years and won 14 games a season ago. They have won 14 games in 2 of the last 3 seasons.
The AFC West also got a bit worse with the QB Derek Carr leaving Las Vegas and the Broncos set to again struggle. The Chiefs division should be a relatively easy one which will aid their win total potential.
The promise that RB Isiah Pacheco showed last season could add a new dimension to the team’s offense, and adding Taylor should help shore up their offensive line from any setbacks.
The team didn’t lose much defensively either. Kansas City should again dominant the AFC West and topped this total with ease. Take the OVER 11.5 (-128).
Chiefs Super Bowl odds
- +600 (bet $100 to win $6,00)
The Kansas City Chiefs (+600) are the favorites, followed by the Philadelphia Eagles (+850). At +600, Kansas City has an implied probability of winning the Super Bowl of 14.29% or 6/1 fractional odds. The Houston Texans have the longest odds at +18000.
While it may be enticing, the Chiefs have too much competition in the AFC to play outright to repeat. No team has repeated since the New England Patriots in 2004-05.
Given the value, PASS here.
Will the Chiefs make the playoffs?
- Yes -500 | No +360
The AFC is strong, and injuries happen. Regardless, the Chiefs’ defense and backup quarterback, assuming QB Patrick Mahomes goes down, should get them a playoff berth.
There’s really no value in taking the Chiefs to make the playoffs at -500 as it is simply too expensive. Similarly, the NO at +360 doesn’t make much sense given their experienced staff and quality backups.
Ultimately, PASS.
Odds to win AFC West Division
- Chiefs -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Chargers +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Broncos +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
- Raiders +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
Kansas City’s implied probability of winning the AFC North is 13.33% or 13/2 fractional odds. This division is very top-heavy, and the Chiefs are the only real threat here.
The Chargers have weapons and could have value to take home the division, but at (-160), the Chiefs are unplayable and better value, namely to win the conference, exist.
PASS.
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Chiefs odds to win AFC
- +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Of all the Chiefs’ futures, this is the best bang for your buck. To win a single-eliminations playoff at +600 isn’t great value, and neither is taking them to win the division at -160.
However, the Chiefs should be the best team in the AFC, and the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals divisions (adding QB Aaron Rodgers and retaining a healthy QB Lamar Jackson) got far more difficult while the Chiefs division might have gotten easier. Those games will be the marginal difference the Chiefs need to again reign supreme over the conference.
The Chiefs have won the AFC in 2 of the last 3 seasons and proved they could be just as effective without WR Tyreek Hill. Expect that dominance to continue and, with increasingly competitive teams in other divisions, take the Chiefs (+350) to win the AFC.
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