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The Seattle Mariners (81-76) take on the Houston Astros (85-72) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Mariners vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 7-4
The Mariners are playing with desperation, as they’re 4 games out in the AL West and 1½ games out of a Wild Card spot. They’ve won 4 of 5 after a 6-1 victory against the ‘Stros Monday. RHP Bryce Miller allowed 2 hits and struck out 5 over 7 shutout frames. OF Julio Rodriguez had 3 hits and 2 RBIs. J-Rod is 12-for-21 (.571) with 3 homers and 11 RBIs over his last 5 games.
The Astros’ magic number is 2. That means if they win Tuesday or Wednesday, they clinch the AL West. They’ve dropped 2 straight now, and they’ve given up 15 runs in the process. They’ve allowed 4+ runs in 4 straight games. That’s just something to keep an eye on down the stretch. OF Kyle Tucker is hitting .356 with 3 homers and 6 RBIs over the last 15 days.
Mariners at Astros projected starters
RHP Logan Gilbert vs. LHP Framber Valdez
Gilbert (8-11, 3.24 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has an MLB-leading 0.90 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 197 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 3-2 home victory Thursday against New York Yankees
- Last 5 starts vs. Astros: 3-1, 2.45 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 26 K in 33 IP
Valdez (14-7, 2.85 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 through 170 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-0 defeat Wednesday at San Diego Padres
- Last 5 starts vs. Mariners: 0-3, 6.58 ERA, 1.85 WHIP, 25 K in 26 IP
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mariners at Astros odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-200) | Astros -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Mariners at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Astros 3
Moneyline
Valdez’s numbers against Seattle are glaring. The Mariners have had trouble scoring runs for a couple of seasons now, and Valdez has a 6.58 ERA against them over 26 IP.
The MARINERS +120 keep Houston’s champagne on ice one more day.
Run line/Against the spread
Gilbert has been striking out everyone and their mother of late. His last 7 GS K numbers: 9, 7, 10, 9, 10, 7, 6. Take LOGAN GILBERT OVER 5.5 K’S (-125).
Or if you wanna get wicked with it, SGP LOGAN GILBERT OVER 5.5 K’S + OVER 5.5 TOTAL RUNS (+150) and slap that Any Sport No Sweat Token sitting in most BetMGM accounts on it.
Over/Under
The wind is blowing out at 7 mph on an 85-degree evening. Add that with the Astros’ recent problems allowing runs and Valdez’s rough past against Seattle.
I’m taking the OVER 7 (-115).
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