San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The San Antonio Spurs (24-25) meet the Denver Nuggets (33-18) Friday for the second consecutive game at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Spurs-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Denver cruised past San Antonio 106-96 as a 5-point home favorite Wednesday without second-leading scorer PG Jamal Murray.

Nuggets C Nikola Jokic was incredible, as usual, scoring 25 points on 11-for-18 shooting with 9 rebounds and 10 assists. It was Denver’s seventh straight win and its eighth out of the past 10 games (7-3 against the spread).

The Spurs have a losing record for the first time since Jan. 5 thanks to a four-game losing streak and 2-8 record in their last 10 (also 2-8 ATS).

San Antonio is in ninth-place in the West, 1 game ahead of the Golden State Warriors and 3 games ahead of the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Nuggets have beaten the Spurs in four of their last five meetings (3-2 ATS).

Spurs at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:54 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Spurs +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Nuggets -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Spurs +8.5 (-110) | Nuggets -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Spurs at Nuggets: Key injuries

Spurs

  • SG Lonnie Walker (wrist) questionable

Nuggets

  • PG Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

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Spurs at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 116, Spurs 103

Money line (ML)

PASS even though Denver should boat race San Antonio because the Nuggets’ -375 is still too pricey considering all of the random outcomes we’ve seen this season in the Association.

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Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the NUGGETS -8.5 (-110) for a half unit only because we don’t know Murray’s game status and we’ve seen teams struggle this season beating, let alone covering against, the same opponent twice in a row.

I’m buying a lot of stock in Denver currently and gave out the Nuggets (+850) to win the Western Conference on this week’s Bet Slippin’ Podcast.

Denver adding PF Aaron Gordon at the trade deadline, the maturation of SF Michael Porter Jr. and the continuity developed between Jokic and Murray equals a legit title contender in my eyes.

Why I think the Nuggets can create enough margin to cover is that San Antonio doesn’t have anyone who can create their own shot outside of SF DeMar DeRozan, and Jokic has torn up the Spurs in his career.

Jokic is averaging 20.1 points per game on .615/.464/.814 shooting with a plus-13 net rating in his 18 career games vs. San Antonio.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “LEAN” toward the Under 219.5 (-105) because I have no faith in San Antonio’s limited offense vs. an improving Denver defense.

Since the All-Star Game, the Nuggets are fourth in opponent’s points off of turnovers and third in both second-chance points allowed and paint points allowed per game.

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