Rockets at Mavericks: Betting odds, point spread for Saturday night

On the second night of a split back-to-back, the short-handed Rockets are understandably big underdogs versus Luka Doncic and the Mavs.

In early January, the Rockets lost to the Southwest Division rival Mavs in Houston, despite having James Harden and a relatively healthy roster. Now, they’ll try to somehow turn the tables in Dallas, even with Harden since traded and a roster that’s currently decimated by injuries.

In John Wall (left knee soreness), Christian Wood (right ankle sprain), and Danuel House Jr. (self-isolation), the Rockets (5-9) have three usual starters who are all expected to miss Saturday’s return visit to north Texas. For Wall and Wood, Tuesday is their estimated return date.

Nonetheless, after a thrilling late victory on Friday night in Detroit, the Rockets (5-9) enter with at least some momentum. The question is how many bodies will be available to Houston coach Stephen Silas on the second night of a back-to-back in two different cities, since Friday’s rotation featured several veterans (DeMarcus Cousins, Victor Oladipo, Eric Gordon) who are coming off seasons that were plagued by injuries.

In comments from Detroit, Silas didn’t rule any of those veterans in or out for the game against the Mavericks, saying his team would “worry about tomorrow, tomorrow.” Final word on what players are active should come just before Saturday’s late tipoff from American Airlines Center.

Fortunately for Houston, the Mavs (8-7) also played on Friday night, so both teams will be short on rest. But Dallas has a much healthier roster and showed it with an impressive 122-117 win (box score) in San Antonio, led by 36 points from superstar guard Luka Doncic.

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The lines, courtesy of BetMGM

  • Point spread: Mavs -9 (-110), Rockets +9 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Mavs -400/Rockets +310
  • Over-under: 219 (-110 O, -110 U)
  • Player O/U Scoring Props: Luka Doncic 28.5 (-115 O, -110 U), Tim Hardaway Jr. 17.5 (-105 O, -120 U), Jalen Brunson 14.5 (+100 O, -125 U); Rockets TBD

Place your legal, online sports bets in CO, IN, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, and WV at BetMGM.

From NBA.com’s game notes, Dallas’ projected starters are Luka Doncic, Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, and Kristaps Porzingis. Meanwhile, Houston is listing Victor Oladipo, Eric Gordon, Jae’Sean Tate, PJ Tucker, and DeMarcus Cousins. Those starters are subject to late changes, with it being night two of a split back-to-back for both teams.

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Advice and prediction

For the Rockets, Gordon enters as the team’s hottest player, having scored 20 or more points in three consecutive games. With Wall sidelined, Gordon is starting in the backcourt next to Oladipo.

Even if Cousins can play, Silas has suggested that Houston might play a smaller starting lineup versus Kristaps Porzingis and the sweet-shooting Mavericks. That could mean an undersized frontcourt of Tucker and Tate, with perhaps David Nwaba or Sterling Brown at small forward.

With both teams weary, the under could be the best bet. Picking Hardaway, who seems to always play well versus Houston, to exceed his 17.5 scoring number might also be a worthwhile gamble.

Prediction: 111-102, Mavericks

Get more betting analysis and predictions at Sportsbook Wire.

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