T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas hosts this weekend’s UFC 264, which is headlined by the main event trilogy bout between Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor. The early prelims will begin at 6 p.m. ET Saturday. Below, we look at the odds and lines for the UFC 264 Poirier vs. McGregor 3 fight card; be sure to check out our UFC picks and predictions.
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Poirier and McGregor split their first two head-to-head showdowns. Poirier won most recently via a second-round TKO at UFC 257 in January. He’s the No. 1 challenger in the lightweight division and is facing the fifth-ranked McGregor instead of trying for the championship belt.
Neither has fought since January.
UFC 264 Poirier vs. McGregor 3 odds: Main card
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9 a.m. ET.
OTB = Off the board
Dustin Poirier (-130) vs. Conor McGregor (+110)
Poirier (27-6, 1 NC) is a slight favorite over the more popular McGregor (22-5) after besting him six months ago. A $100 bet on McGregor would return a profit of $110 with the upset victory.
Gilbert Burns (+135) vs. Stephen Thompson (-165)
Burns (19-4) is the underdog against Thompson (16-4-1) in the second-to-last fight of the night. Thompson has an implied win probability of 62.26%.
Tai Tuivasa (-135) vs. Greg Hardy (+110)
Tuivasa (12-3) is being given a slight edge against the bigger Hardy (7-3, 1 NC) in the only heavyweight bout on the card. It would take a $135 bet on the favorite to turn a $100 profit.
Irene Aldana (-120) vs. Yana Kunitskaya (+100)
Aldana (12-6) is a slight favorite against Kunitskaya (14-5, 1 NC) with an implied win probability of 54.55%. Aldana stands 3 inches taller.
Sean O’Malley (-900) vs. Kris Moutinho (+600)
O’Malley (13-1) is the biggest favorite on the entire UFC 264 card in a bantamweight bout against Moutinho (9-4) to open the main card. Neither fighter is ranked in the division.
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UFC 264 Poirier vs. McGregor 3 odds: Prelims
Carlos Condit (+165) vs. Max Griffin (-200)
Griffin (17-8) is a modest favorite against the more experienced Condit (32-13) in a welterweight clash. Griffin has an implied win probability of 66.67%.
Niko Price (+130) vs. Michel Pereira (-155)
Price (14-4, 2 NC) is a short dog against “Demolidor” Pereira (25-11, 2 NC). A $100 bet on Price would return a profit of $130 with the upset.
Ryan Hall (+195) vs. Ilia Topuria (-250)
The undefeated Topuria (10-0) has an implied win probability of 71.43% against Hall (8-1) in a featherweight contest. Hall is nearly 12 years older than Topuria and stands 3 inches taller.
Trevin Giles (+100) vs. Dricus Du Plessis (-120)
Giles (14-2) is an even-money underdog against Du Plessis (15-2) in a battle of middleweights. A $100 bet would fetch a $100 profit at an implied win probability of 50.00%.
UFC 264 Poirier vs. McGregor 3 odds: Early prelims
Jennifer Maia (-200) vs. Jessica Eye (+160)
Maia (18-7-1) gets the edge over Eye (15-9, 1 NC) in a women’s flyweight bout. Eye has both the height and reach advantages but has an implied win probability of just 38.46%.
Omari Akhmedov (+140) vs. Brad Tavares (-170)
Tavares (18-7) has implied odds of 62.96% to beat Akhmedov (21-5-1) in a clash of middleweights. It would take a $170 bet on the favorite for a profit of $100 with a victory.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov (-350) vs. Jerome Rivera (+270)
Zhumagulov (13-5) is the second-biggest favorite on the card against Rivera (10-5) with an implied win probability of 77.78%. A $100 bet on the underdog would result in a $270 profit with the upset win.
Hu Yaozong (+120) vs. Alen Amedovski (-145)
UFC 264 starts with a middleweight bout between the inexperienced Yaozong (3-2) and Amedovski (8-2). Amedovski is a modest favorite with an edge in experience despite standing 5 inches shorter than his opponent.
UFC 264 Poirier vs. McGregor 3: How to watch
When: Saturday, July 10 at 6 p.m. ET (early prelims) / 10 p.m. ET (main card)
Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Channel: ESPN/ESPN+ pay-per-view
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Also see:
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