Over or under: 59.5 receptions
Pick: Over 59.5 receptions
This is another matter of sheer volume. Perhaps Aiyuk, George Kittle and Kendrick Bourne steal enough looks that Samuel’s production stays static or hovers below where he finished as a rookie. For Samuel to get to 60 catches, he’d need to average 3.75 per game. He finished last year at 3.8 per game, and put up 4.4 over his final eight. If his 2020 production lands in between those two marks he should be good for more than 59.5 catches.