The New York Mets (21-26) and Philadelphia Phillies (23-23) open a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park with a Tuesday the opening pitch set for 7:05 p.m. ET. We analyze the Mets-Phillies MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Mets at Phillies: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Rick Porcello vs. RHP Jake Arrieta
Porcello has seen things go sideways in 2020. The veteran right-hander has started 9 games, compiling a 6.07 ERA and 1.56 WHIP along the way.
- Current Phillies bats have posted a .689 OPS against Porcello in past meetings.
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Arrieta got off to a sluggish start to the season but has pitched a bit better over recent starts. He owns a 5.54 ERA and 1.49 WHIP through 8 starts and 39 innings.
- Current Mets batters have slashed their way to a robust .310/.367/.462 line against Arrieta.
- Dating to last April, the 34-year-old hurler owns a shaky 5.89 ERA over his last 55 IP at Citizens Bank Park. That includes 11 ER allowed over his last 6 IP.
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Mets at Phillies: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Mets
- RP Dellin Betances (back) out
- RP Robert Gsellman (ribs) out
- 3B Jeff McNeil (illness) questionable
Phillies
- OF Jay Bruce (quadriceps) out
- 1B Rhys Hoskins (forearm) out
- C J.T. Realmuto (hip) questionable
- OF Roman Quinn (concussion) out
Mets at Phillies: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.
Money line (ML)
The Mets (-119) can’t get out of their own way sometimes, but they’re better than a .447 club. New York ranks is tied for sixth in scoring at 5.0 runs per game and the team is above water in the run differential department. A 4-9 mark in one-run games has been a major culprit in a disappointing slog through a shortened season.
Likewise, Porcello has been snake bit by a .390 BABIP and a 56.8% left-on-base rate. He’s not exactly Tom Seaver, but he’s not a 6-ERA guy either.
Take the METS (-119) at a nice price. Its one I’d expect to go up, so timing could be important.
New to sports betting? A winning $100 bet on New York returns a profit of $84.03, while a $100 wager on Philadelphia (+105) nets a profit of $105 for a Phillies’ win.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Avoid the Mets -1.5 (+125) tag. The money line number has more apples-to-apples value for the straight win.
Over/Under (O/U)
Cooled-off, dry weather chips away at the hitter-friendly effects of Citizens Bank Park. Peg Mets pitching as being undervalued, and that gets us to a lean on the UNDER 9.5 (-110).
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