New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds, picks and predictions

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]

The New England Patriots (3-8) face the Miami Dolphins (4-6) for the second time this season Sunday, this time on the road. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Dolphins odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

After 6 straight losses, the Patriots are 2-2 in their last 4 games. They are coming off a 28-22 home loss to the L.A. Rams, failing to cover the 4-point spread as underdogs.

The Dolphins have won 2 straight games and are 2-2 since QB Tua Tagovailoa returned from injured reserve. Last week, they beat the Las Vegas Raiders 34-19 at home, covering the 8-point spread.

The Dolphins beat the Pats 15-10 in New England in Week 5 as 1-point favorites.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Patriots at Dolphins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:45 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Patriots +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Dolphins -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +7.5 (-115) | Dolphins -7.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 46.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

WIN YOUR FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE!
The Huddle has been turning players like you into winners for over 25 years. This season, it’s your turn. Custom fantasy football rankings, sleepers and tools are just a click away. Save 25% off the Internet’s best-kept secret. Subscribe now!

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]

Patriots at Dolphins key injuries

Patriots

DT Christian Barmore (illness) questionable
S Kyle Dugger (ankle) questionable
CB Christian Gonzalez (hip) questionable
LB Anfernee Jennings (knee) questionable
T Vederian Lowe (shoulder) questionable
S Marte Mapu (neck) questionable
OL Cole Strange (knee) questionable
LB Sioni Takitaki (knee) questionable
LB Keion White (knee) questionable
DE Deatrich Wise Jr. (foot) questionable

Dolphins

OT Terron Armstead (knee) questionable
CB Kendall Fuller (concussion) out
FB Alec Ingold (calf) questionable
S Patrick McMorris (calf) questionable
OL Isaiah Wynn (quad, knee) questionable

FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
Live games, analysis and more 7 days a week: Get ESPN+

Patriots at Dolphins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dolphins 27, Patriots 21

Moneyline

The Dolphins have averaged 27.8 points per game since Tua’s return and are 2-2.

When Patriots rookie QB Drake Maye plays a full game, they average 19 a game, and they have increased their points scored in each of their last 3 games. They have, though, allowed 20 or more points in 5 of their last 6.

The Dolphins should get their third consecutive win, but -400 odds are not worth the action.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Pats are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games and lost by only 6 last week.

The Dolphins are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games and 3-1 ATS since Tua’s return to the lineup.

The Dolphins won by 5 in their first meeting but that was without Tagovailoa and the Pats were starting QB Jacoby Brissett. With better offensive performances by both teams with their currents starters, this should be a one-score game.

BET PATRIOTS +7.5 (-115).

Over/Under

The Pats’ last game had a total of 50 points. Three of the Dolphins’ last 4 games have surpassed 50 points.

Three of the Patriots’ last 5 games have surpassed 46 total points.

BET OVER 46.5 (-110).

[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Jess Root on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1367]