NBA Finals action continues Thursday, as we focus on the Milwaukee Bucks and Pat Connaughton’s prop bets and lines. Connaughton has an over/under of 6.5 points for Thursday’s matchup with the Phoenix Suns.
Connaughton posts an average of 6.7 points per game this season, while connecting on 43.9% of his shot attempts. Over just his last five games, he’s averaged 7.6 points in each matchup and has shot 51.9% from the floor.
The Suns are being picked to win in Game 2 of the NBA Finals by sportsbooks, who list them as 5.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 219.5 points. The teams will take to the court on Thursday starting at 9:00 PM ET. Let’s take a look at how Connaughton has fared this season and in recent outings to provide insights into his betting lines for this matchup.
Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 6.5
- Over Odds: 100
- Under Odds: -133
- Points per game: 6.7
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 4:35 PM EST on July 7, 2021.
Pat Connaughton points insights
- The 6.5 points prop total set for Connaughton on Thursday is 0.2 fewer points than his scoring average on the season (6.7).
- In 46% of his games this season (40 of 87 matchups) Connaughton has scored more than 6.5 points.
- Connaughton’s season-long average points prop bet over/under is 0.3 points less than his per-game scoring average (6.7 points).
- In less than half of his chances — nine of 19 this year (47.4%) — Connaughton has gone over his point total.
- In less than half of his contests — 40 of 87 this year (46%) — Connaughton has hit the over on his season average points prop bet total (6.4).
- Teams are putting up 113.4 points per game against the Suns this season, the 11th-most allowed by a team.
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Pat Connaughton rebound insights
- Connaughton has pulled down 4.6 rebounds per game, 0.1 more boards than his prop bet for Thursday’s game (4.5).
- In 42 of 87 games this year (48.3%), Connaughton has reeled in more than 4.5 rebounds.
- Connaughton has grabbed 4.6 rebounds per game, which is 0.5 more rebounds than his season average prop.
- In 52.6% of his chances (10 out of 19), Connaughton has surpassed his rebounds prop bet total.
- In only 42 of his 87 contests (48.3%), Connaughton has outpaced his average rebounds prop bet total of 4.1 boards.
- The Suns’ opponents are racking up 43.3 rebounds per game, which is the 24th-most allowed by an NBA squad this season.
Pat Connaughton assists insights
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.6 more than Thursday’s assist over/under (0.5).
- Connaughton has had more than 0.5 assists in 57 out of 87 games this season (65.5%).
- Connaughton has averaged 0.1 less assists per game than his average assist prop bet over/under of 1.2.
- Connaughton has recorded 1.2 or more assists (his average assist prop bet over/under) in just 26 of 87 of his games (29.9%).
- Teams are dishing out 23.6 assists per game against the Suns this season, the 23rd-most allowed by a squad.
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