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The Maryland Terrapins (4-7, 1-7 Big Ten) pay a visit to the No. 4 Penn State Nittany Lions (10-1, 7-1) Saturday. Kickoff from Beaver Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Maryland vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Maryland lost 29-13 as 4.5-point home underdogs to the Iowa Hawkeyes last Saturday with the Over (41) hitting. Maryland was held scoreless up until the 5:57 mark of the third quarter. The Terrapins have lost 4 straight, going 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and haven’t scored more than 18 points in each of their last 3 games.
Penn State scraped by the Minnesota Golden Gophers 26-25 Saturday and wasn’t even close to covering as an 11.5-point road favorite with the Over (45) cashing. The Golden Gophers possessed the ball for 8-plus more minutes than the Nittany Lions, but Minnesota was unable to capitalize on 2 PSU turnovers. Penn State QB Drew Allar finished with 244 passing yards and 2 TDs (1 by air, 1 on the ground). He also steered a key 12-play, 72-yard drive — including 2 fourth-down conversions — on the final possession to run the clock out.
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Maryland at Penn State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 4:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maryland +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500) | Penn State -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Maryland +24.5 (-110) | Penn State -24.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Maryland at Penn State picks and predictions
Prediction
Penn State 41, Maryland 7
Moneyline
AVOID.
Penn State (-5000) will win, but betting such a heavy favorite is never worth the risk. PASS and bet on the spread and/or O/U instead.
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Against the spread
BET PENN STATE -24.5 (-110).
Penn State is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 games, while Maryland has failed to cover in each of its last 2 games and is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The Nittany Lions have won and covered the spread in the last 3 meetings in this series, and is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 head-to-head matchups.
After allowing Minnesota to keep things close in their last outing, the Nittany Lions will be extra motivated to make sure they blow out the Terrapins.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 50.5 (-115).
The Under has hit in 2 of Maryland’s last 3 games and is 5-0 in Penn State’s last 5 home games. The Under has also hit in 5 of the last 6 Maryland-Penn State matchups and is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Be aware that the Over is 8-3 for Maryland this season, while it’s 4-7 for Penn State.
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