The Los Angeles Dodgers (10-4) and San Diego Padres (10-6) face off in the rubber game of their three-game series Sunday. First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Y nickname vs. Z nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.
The season series is tied 1-1.
The Dodgers took the opener 6-1 Friday before the Padres eked out a 3-2 extra-inning win Saturday. It was San Diego’s fifth win in their last six games.
The loss for Los Angeles was only its second in its last 10 games. L.A. continues to lead the NL West.
Dodgers at Padres projected starters
LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Kershaw (2-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his third start. He has allowed 4 ER on 6 H with 20 K across 12 IP.
- Followed up 7 no-hit innings in his first outing by giving up 4 ER on 6 H across 5 IP in a 7-4 win Monday against the Atlanta Braves.
- Has been dominant while going 10-4 with a 1.88 ERA over 120 innings at Petco Park in his career.
Manaea (2-1, 1.42 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 0.79 WHIP, 5 BB and 19 K through 19 IP.
- Manaea has gone at least six innings and allowed 2 or fewer runs in each start.
- Like Kershaw, he threw seven no-hit innings in his 2022 debut.
- Has yet to win a game and has an 5.27 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers.
Dodgers at Padres odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Padres +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+122) | Padres +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Padres 3
Money line
The Dodgers have only lost four times all season and have had consecutive losses once already when they lost two straight in their opening series against the Colorado Rockies.
Kershaw’s career at Petco Park is hard to ignore and then, even with a short sample size, Manaea has worse numbers than you would think against the Dodgers. Despite Kershaw’s struggles in his last start, I LEAN DODGERS (-145).
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Run line/Against the spread
All 10 wins the Dodgers have had this season have been by at least 2 runs. They have not won a game in which they have not covered the spread. They are 10-4 ATS on the season, as they have been favored in every game they have played.
The Padres have only been underdogs five times thus far this season but are 3-2 ATS in those games.
I LEAN DODGERS -1.5 (+122).
Over/Under
Nine of the Dodgers’ 13 games have had at least 7 runs this season.
Half of the Padres’ games have had at least 7 runs, but they are 4-12 O/U.
The Padres are 2-8 O/U in their last 10 games and the Dodgers are only 3-7 O/U across that span. That said, the lower projected total is what does it for me.
Take OVER 6.5 (-125).
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