The Los Angeles Dodgers (12-2) and San Diego Padres (9-6) continue a three-game Petco Park series Saturday at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Clayton Kershaw is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. Over the last two years (2020-21), Kershaw is 8-3 with a 2.34 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 1.1 BB/9 in 77 IP. Current San Diego bats own a .624 OPS against the veteran Dodger hurler. Kershaw is coming off a six-shutout-inning performance against Washington April 11; he has allowed just 1 ER in 13 IP over his last 2 starts.
RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starter for the Padres. In 15 starts over the last two seasons, Darvish is 9-3 with a 2.21 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 10.8 K/9 and 1.6 BB/9 in 93 2/3 IP. The veteran righty owns a 3.06 ERA and 0.96 WHIP through his first three games as a Padre.
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Dodgers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:00 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Padres +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Padres 5, Dodgers 4
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers won Friday’s lid-lifter and have won seven straight. San Diego lost some mojo at the tail end of a road trip leading into this series, and that appeared to carry into Friday’s tilt.
Look for a bounce back from a Padres nine, which a year ago played .656 ball at home. In a tiny sample size (26 plate appearances), Dodger batters have a silly bad line against Darvish (.174 OPS, 57% K rate).
TAKE THE PADRES +100.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on trying the home side plus the run-and-a-half. The odds needed nix the value.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Dodger offense is clicking on all cylinders; the Padre attack figures to be much better than the numbers its cranking out on the surface (.750 OPS). San Diego’s offense has been hamstrung by an abysmal performance in high-leverage situations (.565 OPS with a .207 batting average on balls in play).
Both bullpens were aired out in Friday’s series opener, a 10-6 win for Los Angeles. The Over hit in that game and is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these Southern California neighbors.
TAKE THE OVER 7 (-115) on a strong lean.
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