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The Los Angeles Angels (12-22) open a 3-game road series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (16-19) Monday night. First pitch from PNC Park is at 6:40 p.m ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2024, Angels won 2-1 last season
The Angels have lost 2 straight games and are 3-13 in their last 16. They dropped the series finale 4-1 at the Cleveland Guardians Sunday.
The Pirates had lost 5 straight games and 8 of 9 but have since won 2 in a row, taking their last home series against the Colorado Rockies. They won the finale 5-3 Sunday.
Angels at Pirates projected starters
LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Mitch Keller
Anderson (2-3, 2.23 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 36 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-5 home loss to Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- Angels have lost his last 4 starts
Keller (2-3, 5.18 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 40 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 5-2 road loss to Oakland A’s Tuesday
- Has allowed 4+ ER in 4 of 7 starts and 3+ in 5 of 7
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Angels at Pirates odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Pirates -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-165) | Pirates -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Angels at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 4, Pirates 3
Moneyline
The Pirates have the better record than the ANGELS (+120) but have been struggling as badly. While the Angels are 3-13 in their last 16 games, the Pirates are 5-14 in their last 19, which has improved after 2 straight wins over Colorado.
Anderson has allowed 3 or fewer runs in every start and 2 or fewer in 4 of 6, while Keller has allowed 3+ in 5 of 7 starts.
In the Pirates’ last 19 games, they have not won more than 2 straight.
The Angels are 6-5 in series openers.
BET ANGELS (+120).
Run line/Against the spread
Expecting an Angels win, it wouldn’t make sense to bet them to cover the +1.5 at -190 when you get plus odds for the straight-up win.
However, 9 of the Angels 12 wins this season have been by 2 or more runs, so making a small wager on the alternate line of ANGELS -1.5 (+185) could give you two plus-odds wins.
Over/Under
The Angels’ last 4 games have not surpassed 8 total runs.
The Pirates’ last 9 games and 14 of their last 15 have not surpassed 8 total runs.
BET UNDER 8 (-110).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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