Iowa State at Iowa odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Iowa State at Iowa odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 20 Iowa State Cyclones (7-1) and the No. 24 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-1) meet Thursday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Iowa odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

The Cyclones have rebounded with a pair of victories after their lone setback against then-No. 22 Connecticut (71-53) in Portland, Ore. on a neutral floor on Nov. 27. Iowa State covered as a 6-point favorite against St. John’s last time out, winning 71-60. The Under is 4-0 in its last 4 games and 7-1 in 8 games overall.

The Hawkeyes are coming off a 74-62 loss to Duke at Madison Square Garden in New York City Tuesday, and Iowa also dropped a 79-66 decision to TCU on a neutral floor Nov. 26 in a Florida holiday tournament. Iowa is 1-3 against the spread in the past 4 outings while cashing the Under in each of the 4 contests.

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Iowa State at Iowa odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Iowa State +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Iowa -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +3.5 (-110) | Iowa -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 141.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Iowa State at Iowa picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa 70, Iowa State 68

Moneyline

This game is too tight to risk wagering nearly 2 times your potential return on Iowa (-180). PASS.

Against the spread

IOWA STATE +3.5 (-110) is worth playing in its first true road game of the season. It recorded a pair of neutral-court wins in Portland Nov. 24-25 — an overtime victory over Villanova and a 70-65 win over then-No. 1 North Carolina.

It’s a little risky, so go lightly, as Iowa has won 3 straight home meetings with Iowa State while covering at a 5-1-1 ATS clip across the past 7 outings.

Over/Under

UNDER 141.5 (-115) is definitely the play here, as Iowa’s basketball team has apparently taken a page from the football team. Iowa has cashed the Under in each of the past 4 outings.

If you like that, you’ll really like the fact Iowa State has hit the Under in 11 of the past 12 games dating back to last season, while going 5-1 in its final 6 road games last season.

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