Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Indiana Pacers (18-32) travel to American Airlines Center Saturday to take on the Dallas Mavericks (28-21). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pacers vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Mavericks are coming into this game after defeating the Trail Blazers by 20 to commence their short two-game road trip. They were 1-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS).

On the season, the Mavericks are 25-24 ATS. They’re 15-9 SU at home this season.

As for the Pacers, they’re just 6-19 SU on the road this season.

They’re 5-4-1 ATS over their past 10 games, most recently covering in overtime as a 1.5-point favorite in Oklahoma City. This is the second night of a back-to-back for the Pacers.

Pacers at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pacers +440 (bet $100 to win $440) | Mavericks -650 (bet $650 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +10.5 (-112) | Mavericks -10.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Pacers at Mavericks key injuries

Pacers

  • C Goga Bitadze (foot) questionable

Mavericks

  • F Tim Hardaway Jr. (foot) out

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Pacers at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 110, Pacers 102

Money line

PASS on the money line.

I expect the Mavericks to cruise, but no regular-season money line is worth betting at -650. Look to the spread for value.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the PACERS +10.5 (-112).

This is a play to fade the public, and there are trends that back why it might be a solid play.

For starters, the Pacers are coming in without rest. While that sounds like a disadvantage, Indiana is 6-2 ATS with no rest. As for Dallas, when it has a rest advantage, it’s just 4-7 ATS.

Similarly, the Mavs will be without one of their leading scorers for the foreseeable future. While the Mavericks defense has been their staple for the past few weeks, they’ve given up over 110 points per game in two straight games.

While I anticipate a lower-scoring game, Dallas is still averaging just 105.5 points per game his season.

Over/Under

BET on the UNDER 217.5 (-115).

The Mavericks, as noted, have been so great this season because of their defense.

They allow just 103.3 points per game, the third-fewest in the league, and play at the second-slowest pace. With Indy in the bottom third of the league in pace as well, this should be a slow-moving game.

Dallas’ Under has hit in 8 of its last 10 games. Indy is also 24-25-1 O/U this season.

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