The 6th-seeded Golden State Warriors and 3rd-seeded Sacramento Kings meet Saturday for Game 1 of their 1st-round NBA playoff action. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Golden State won the regular season series 3-1.
G Stephen Curry dominated the Kings in the regular season, averaging 33.0 ppg and 5.0 apg on 58.4% from the field and 50.0% from beyond the arc in 4 games. The Warriors finished with an 11-30 road record in the regular season and the 2nd-best scoring offense, averaging 118.9 ppg.
Sacramento secured the 3-seed in the Western Conference despite dropping their last 3 games of the regular season. The Kings enter the playoffs after having one of the best offenses of all-time during the regular season, averaging a league-high 120.7 ppg and 49.4% shooting from the floor as a team, which was good for 2nd in the league.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Warriors at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Kings -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +1.5 (-120) | Kings -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Warriors at Kings key injuries
Warriors
- F Andre Iguodala (wrist) out
- G Ryan Rollins (foot) out
Kings
- G Matthew Dellavedova (finger) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 120, Kings 116
Moneyline
LEAN WARRIORS (-105).
Golden State has dominated Sacramento as of late, and while this is the best Kings team in decades, the Warriors still seem to have their number. Golden State is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings, but only 3-3 in the last 6 meetings in Sacramento. This is a toss-up game, but I expect Curry and the experience of the Warriors to prevail here.
BET WARRIORS +1.5 (-120).
The Warriors have been bad ATS against the Kings, being only 5-13 in the last 18 meetings, but have been great ATS when rested. The Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 coming off 3+ days of rest, and they have had 5 full rest days leading up to this game.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 236.5 (-105).
The Under has dominated in recent matchups here, but with the 2 best offenses in the NBA it is hard to feel confident in the Under here, especially given how the playoffs tend to bring the best out of players. The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento and 6-2-1 in the last 9 overall, making it the safer lean here.
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1368]