After numerous nail-biting matches, the Euro 2020 Final is finally here. It’ll be England and Italy taking the pitch at 3 p.m. ET Sunday. The match takes place at Wembley Stadium in London, England. Below, we preview the 5 best Euro 2020 Final prop bets and make our best Euro 2020 picks and predictions.
England is coming in having defeated Denmark 2-1 via a controversial penalty kick decision in extra time. Italy took down Spain 4-2 in penalty kicks.
Both sides look to their defense to guide them. It’s been a dominant defensive display as England has given up just 1 goal in the tournament while Italy has allowed just 3.
Also see: England vs. Italy odds, picks and prediction
England vs. Italy Euro 2020 Final: Best Bets
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.
Both teams to score (+115)
While the defenses have been strong, both England and Italy have managed to put goals on the board.
England had just 2 goals through three Group Stage matches, but its offense has come alive in the knockout rounds to score 8 goals in three matches.
Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling, and the comeback of Mason Mount have created a nice three-headed monster.
On the other side of the pitch, Ciro Immobile and Lorenzo Insigne have played well of late and Italy has scored 12 goals in the tournament. Expect both teams to score at least once.
Harry Kane to score 2 or more goals (+900)
Let’s note – Kane is England’s option from the spot. It’s worth betting at this great value that he gets one of his own and then maybe Sterling can draw another penalty.
Kane has scored four times in the last three matches, and he’ll be a lethal threat for the home side. Expect Kane to get at least one and the 9-1 odds make it worthwhile to bet him to score twice or more.
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Score at half 0-0 (+115)
As I predicted earlier in the week, I think both teams score, but I also find the value in betting +115 for the final score at half to be 0-0.
Eight of Italy’s 12 goals in Euro 2020 were scored in the second half or in extra time, and seven of England’s 10 goals have come in the second half or extra time.
This game should come alive in the second half, but a slow first 45 minutes wouldn’t be shocking. With both strong, experienced backlines, expect a slow-churning first half.
Jorginho to get a yellow (+400)
Italian center-mid Jorginho has committed six fouls so far this tournament.
While none of them have been worthy of a yellow card, in a game likely to favor the home side, it wouldn’t be shocking to see the normally-composed mid get risky with his challenges.
He had two yellow cards in 28 appearances with Chelsea this past season, and he had 10 yellow cards in 31 appearances the season prior. At +400 value, this prop offers solid odds, especially considering how the game could be officiated.
Sterling to have Over 1.5 shots on target (+140)
Sterling used his speed to draw a penalty last match, and he should use it again to his advantage. Likely to play the entire game, Sterling is England’s best option on the edge.
Sterling has 8 shots on target so far this tournament and can be expected to be ultra-aggressive with his touches at home in the final. He’s been the best attacking option for England, and he should make his presence felt in this match.
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