The Detroit Tigers (2-9) and Toronto Blue Jays (8-4) wrap up a 3-game series Thursday at Rogers Centre. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 2-0.
The Tigers lost 4-3 as +248 underdogs Wednesday. OF Kerry Carpenter hit a 2-run HR in the top of the 7th inning to give Detroit a temporary 3-1 lead.
The Blue Jays closed as -279 favorites in Wednesday’s win. OF George Springer hit a walk-off RBI single in the 10th inning as Toronto came back from a 9th-inning, 2-run deficit.
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Tigers at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Turnbull (0-2, 13.50 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 2.25 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 through 8 IP.
- Lost last Thursday vs. the Boston Red Sox: 5 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 1 K in 5 2/3 IP
- Did not play last season while recovering from Tommy John surgery
- Was 4-2 in 9 starts in 2021 with a 2.88 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 50 IP
- Only career start vs. Toronto: 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB with 5 K in 5 IP in a loss March 30, 2019
Bassitt (1-1, 10.61 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.82 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 9 1/3 IP.
- Won Friday at the Los Angeles Angels: 2 ER, 2 H, 5 BB and 5 K in 6 IP
- Was 15-9 in 30 starts last year as a member of the New York Mets with a 3.42 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 181 2/3 IP
- 7 career starts vs. Detroit: 4-2 with a 3.30 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 16 ER)
Tigers at Blue Jays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Blue Jays -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (+105) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Tigers at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Tigers 4
Moneyline
PASS.
Toronto (-250) should hand the Tigers their 7th straight loss, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Blue Jays should win by multiple runs. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-125).
Toronto has won 7 of its last 8 games, and 8 of Detroit’s 9 losses this season have been by multiple runs. Bassitt bounced back last time out and should continue to pitch better than his season debut when he allowed 9 ER. Turnbull hasn’t been the same since his forearm injury and Toronto’s lineup should be able to drive in a lot of runs early vs. the Tigers starter.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-120).
The Over is 8-2-1 in Detroit’s last 11 games vs. teams with a winning record and 5-1 in Toronto’s last 6 at home vs. right-handed starters.
The Over has hit in 4 of the Blue Jays’ last 5 games and should cash again Thursday with Turnbull on the mound for Detroit.
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