The Denver Nuggets try to sweep the Los Angeles Lakers Monday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. Tip from Crypto.com Arena is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Lakers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Series: Nuggets lead 3-0
G Jamal Murray had one of his best games ever as the Nuggets prevailed 119-108 in Game 3. Murray had 37 points, 7 boards and 6 assists to put the Nuggets up 3-0. C Nikola Jokic ended his triple-double streak with 26 points, 6 boards and 8 assists. They’re playing with house money at this point.
No team in NBA history has rallied back from a 3-0 playoff deficit in NBA history. That doesn’t necessarily mean the Lakers are cooked, but it doesn’t look promising. F LeBron James had 23 points, 12 boards and 7 assists while shooting 3-for-9 from distance after beginning the series 0-for-13. C Anthony Davis also added 28 points and 18 boards.
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Nuggets at Lakers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:39 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Lakers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +3.5 (-115) | Lakers -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Nuggets at Lakers key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Lakers
- F Anthony Davis (foot) probable
- F LeBron James (foot) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Nuggets at Lakers picks and predictions
Prediction
Lakers 116, Nuggets 111
Moneyline
It would be too harsh of a narrative for LBJ to get swept, and unless everyone just fades around him, the Lakers should extend this another game. Superstars get you one, but I’d rather look to the spread.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Nuggets are just 2-5 in their last 7 meetings in LA and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 overall. The Lakers have also gone 7-0 ATS in the last 7 following a loss of 10 or more and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 at home. I’m totally comfortable laying the points here.
Take the LAKERS -3.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Over cashed in 2 of the 3 games, and this one is a stout number. The Over is 15-7-2 in the last 24 in LA and 33-16-2 in the last 51 meetings overall. The Over is 6-1-1 in Denver’s last 8 road games and 5-1 in the last 6 conference finals games. Denver is averaging nearly 120 per game in the series by themselves.
With that said, I’ll LEAN OVER 224.5 (-105).
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