Mountain West Football: Week 7 Winners And Losers

Who were the big winners and losers from Week 7 of Mountain West football play? We make our picks for who shined and who disappointed.

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]


Mountain West Football: Week 7 Winners And Losers


We take a look at the Mountain West’s winners and losers from Week 7 of college football.


Contact/Follow @MattK_FS & @MWCwire

Encouragements and letdowns from the week that was.

Week 7 in Mountain West football action featured just five games but had plenty of excitement in that small number. With some defensive fistfights and rivalry trophies on the line, some players and teams were destined to step up while others languished, so here are the winners and losers from Saturday’s games.

Winners

1. Utah State’s defense

After starting quarterback Cooper Legas got knocked out of the game in the first quarter with a concussion and backup Levi Williams suffered an ankle injury in the second, it might have been possible for Colorado State to steal another victory in conference play had the Aggies defense not stepped up in a big way to ensure that wouldn’t happen.

Despite also losing defensive end Byron Vaughns, Utah State kept the clamps on the Rams offense in a 23-13 victory by allowing just 3.9 yards per play. Daniel Grzesiak’s monster performance (three sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and a forced fumble) helped make up for Vaughns’s absence, as did Gurvan Hall’s game-sealing interception in the fourth quarter. It was the kind of effort they got repeatedly down the stretch in last year’s championship run, and the Aggies might need more of it if the injury news on offense isn’t good.

2. Fresno State defensive end David Perales

Speaking of monster performances, Perales’s dominance in a 17-10 victory over San Jose State on Saturday night might have single-handedly kept the Bulldogs’ title game hopes alive. He became just the second Mountain West player ever with four sacks and five tackles for loss, joining Utah’s Paul Kruger in that exclusive club, and may have set a tone for a re-energized Fresno State squad that is still very much in the thick of things and now has a key head-to-head advantage that may come in handy when November rolls around.

3. Hawaii running back Dedrick Parson

The Warriors offense has had its struggles throughout the season, but Parson put up the kind of performance against Nevada on Saturday night that reminds you why he’s one of the best playmakers in the Mountain West. He was given 24 carries against the Wolf Pack and responded with 136 yards and three touchdowns, all of which were season highs, leading the charge in what was easily Hawaii’s best offensive performance to date.

Losers

1. New Mexico’s coaching shuffle gambit

In their first game after replacing Derek Warehime as offensive coordinator with quarterbacks coach Heath Ridenour, the Lobos went south to Las Cruces and didn’t really look that much different on that side of the ball in a 21-9 loss to rival New Mexico State. New Mexico crossed midfield on just four of their 11 drives, coming away with a trio of Luke Drzewiecki field goals and a Miles Kendrick interception, and once again wilted after a respectable start in averaging 3.1 yards per play after the first quarter.

New Mexico also racked up four false start penalties and mustered only four explosive plays totaling 77 yards for the entire contest. This was a win the Lobos needed to bolster their hopes of climbing to bowl eligibility, but the same old offensive problems are threatening to completely derail what still looked like a promising campaign just a few weeks ago.

2. UNLV’s run defense

For the second time in less than a calendar year, Air Force ran all over the Rebels to the tune of 406 yards, at 5.3 yards per carry, in a 42-7 homecoming walloping at Allegiant Stadium. Though Austin Ajiake became just the second FBS defender to collect 20 total tackles this year, and the first Mountain West player to do so since David Woodward in 2019, UNLV managed only two tackles for loss as a team.

It’s the second straight week that a conference foe has had its way with the Rebels defense on the ground, so while injuries have certainly played a factor — they played against the Falcons without defensive linemen Naki Fahina and Adam Plant Jr., among others — and the offense didn’t do them many favors, their path to a bowl game could narrow considerably if defensive coordinator Keith Hayward can’t find answers soon.

3. The Mountain West’s already-slim New Year’s Six bowl hopes

When Old Dominion toppled Coastal Carolina early on Saturday, removing the last eligible undefeated Group of 5 team from the board, it seemed like there could be an opening for a top-tier Mountain West team to climb their way back into the picture. That was a nice bit of wishful thinking which lasted several hours before San Jose State lost on the road to Fresno State later in the evening.

Now that every team in the conference has at least two losses, it looks like the conference’s best hope to sneak into a big-time bowl game is to turn the clock back to 2014. You may recall that in the first year of the College Football Playoff era, the Boise State Broncos made their most recent Fiesta Bowl appearance with two losses and, at least for now, remain the only Group of 5 team to have accomplished that feat.

Given that no one is lighting the world on fire — Tulane, Cincinnati, and UCF all have one loss in the American but have yet to play one another; James Madison isn’t eligible out of the Sun Belt and the only one-loss team in that conference other than Coastal is South Alabama; and the MAC and Conference USA likely don’t have anyone seriously in the conversation — the odds are slim but, hey, this has been a goofy season. Anything could happen.

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1360]

Advertisement

[protected-iframe id=”f7652191f99ba13728097498e8a79cd8-137729785-123448869″ info=”https://open.spotify.com/embed-podcast/show/48681pqFq0kB9dhrtPPoNd” width=”100%” height=”232″ frameborder=”0″]

Air Force vs. UNLV: Week 7 Takeaways

Takeaways from Air Force vs. UNLV.

Air Force vs. UNLV: Week 7 Takeaways


Air Force blasted UNLV, 42-7


Contact/Follow @Michaelbraydaly & @MWCwire

 

UNLV blown out at homecoming game

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

UNLV suffered a 35-point blowout loss to Air Force in Las Vegas on Saturday night. From the start of the game, it was an uncompetitive game for the Rebels and the early deficit was too steep to overcome.

There were moments for UNLV to close the distance in the first half but nothing materialized. By the end of the second quarter, the game was already in Air Force’s favor. Here is what went wrong for UNLV in the loss:

The Defense Could Not Stop Brad Roberts and John Eldridge III

Air Force running back Brad Roberts dominated the Rebels for the entire contest. He had 29 carries for 144 yards. The most impressive part of his performance was his four touchdowns that came near the goal line. Roberts led the rushing for Air Force, but he was not the only factor in the running game. John Eldridge started the scoring for Air Force with a 60-yard touchdown run in the 1st quarter. Eldridge finished the game with 116 rushing yards and 1 touchdown.

Early Mistakes Added Up 

UNLV had a rough start to the game when the offense could not hold onto the ball. UNLV coughed up several fumbles, which translated into key points for Air Force. The Rebels failed the limit the mistakes and the defense could not handle the offense’s lack of support.

The Offense Was Limited By Air Force’s Defense 

UNLV missed quarterback Doug Brumfield, who was out of the game with an injury. In Brumfield’s place was backup quarterback Cameron Friel. He had a hard time pushing the ball down the field to his receiver. Friel finished the game with 108 passing yards, one touchdown, and one interception. He completed 80% of his passes. In total, the offense produced 179 yards of offense.

Week 7 Mountain West Football: Picks, Predictions, How To Watch, Odds

Week 7 Mountain West Football: Picks, Predictions, How To Watch, Odds Get ready for a full week of action. Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire Who are you taking? Our staff has picks for you to go by, or not, it all depends on yourself. This full …

Week 7 Mountain West Football: Picks, Predictions, How To Watch, Odds


Get ready for a full week of action.


Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire

Who are you taking?

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Our staff has picks for you to go by, or not, it all depends on yourself. This full week of games features four conference games and one rivalry out of league contest. Plus, everything starts later in the day so your morning and early afternoons are free.

Utah State at Colorado State +11, 7 p.m. ET, TV: CBS Sports Network or stream on FuboTV with a free trial

Jeremy: SU: Utah State | ATS: Utah State

Andrew: SU: Utah State | ATS: Utah State

Brandon: SU: Utah State: ATS: Utah State

Thomas:  SU: Utah State | ATS: Colorado State

Sean:  SU: Utah State | ATS: Colorado State

Michael: SU: Utah State | ATS: Colorado State

Erik: SU: Utah State | ATS: Colorado State

Roger:: SU: Utah State | ATS: Utah State

Ted: SU: Utah State | ATS: Utah State

Phil: SU: Utah State | ATS: Utah State

New Mexico at New Mexico State +6.5, 8 p.m. ET, TV: FloSports ($)

Jeremy: SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Andrew: SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Brandon: SU: New Mexico: ATS: New Mexico

Thomas:  SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Sean:  SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Michael: SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Erik: SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Roger: SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Ted: SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico State

Phil: SU: New Mexico | ATS: New Mexico

Air Force at UNLV + 10, 10:30 p.m. ET, TV: CBS Sports Network or stream on FuboTV with a free trial

Jeremy: SU: UNLV | ATS: UNLV

Andrew: SU: UNLV | ATS: UNLV

Brandon: SU: Air Force: ATS: UNLV

Thomas:  SU: Air Force | ATS: Air Force

Sean: SU: Air Force | ATS: UNLV

Michael: SU: Air Force | ATS: Air Force

Erik: SU: Air Force: ATS: UNLV

Roger:  SU: Air Force | ATS: Air Force

Ted: SU: UNLV | ATS: UNLV

Phil:  SU: Air Force | ATS: Air Force

San Jose State at Fresno State +8.5, 10:45 p.m. ET, TV: FS2 or stream on FuboTV with a free trial

Jeremy: SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State

Andrew: SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State

Brandon: SU: San Jose  State: ATS: San Jose  State

Thomas:  SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State 

Sean: SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State

Michael: SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State

Erik: SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State

Roger : SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State

Ted: SU: San Jose State | ATS: Fresno State

Phil: SU: San Jose State | ATS: San Jose State

Nevada at Hawaii +6.5, 12 a.m. ET, TV: Spectrum PPV (Hawaii), Team 1 Sports app (mainland)

Jeremy: SU: Hawaii | ATS: Hawaii

Andrew: SU: Hawaii | ATS: Hawaii

Brandon: SU: Nevada  ATS: Hawaii

Thomas:  SU: Nevada | ATS: Nevada

Sean: SU: Nevada  ATS: Hawaii

Michael: SU: Hawaii | ATS: Hawaii

Erik: SU: Nevada | ATS: Nevada

Roger: SU: Hawaii | ATS: Hawaii

Ted: SU: Hawaii | ATS: Hawaii

Phil: SU: Nevada  ATS: Hawaii


Advertisement

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1360]

PODCAST: Week 7 Mountain West Football Preview

PODCAST: Week 7 Mountain West Football Preview Can SJSU can keep winning? Contact/Follow @MWCwire A few rivalry games this week Jeremy and Matt go through the five-game slate of Mountain West games. There is a non-conference rivalry matchup between …

PODCAST: Week 7 Mountain West Football Preview


Can SJSU can keep winning?


Contact/Follow @MWCwire

[mm-video type=playlist id=01f1343a1wt7q817p7 player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

A few rivalry games this week

Jeremy and Matt go through the five-game slate of Mountain West games. There is a non-conference rivalry matchup between New Mexico and New Mexico State. The big game of the week is UNLV vs. Air Force which could determine a lot in each division race. San Jose State is looking to roll in the West Division by taking on rival Fresno State.

Hawaii hosts Nevada in a game that is just meh… if we are being honest. Plus, Utah State looks to keep up its momentum against Colorado State.

You can find the Mountain West Wire podcast below or subscribe to the show via Stitcher RadioTuneInSpotifyiTunes, and more. Listen in, subscribe and rate it and let us know what you think!

Advertisement[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1363]

Air Force vs UNLV: Keys to a Rebels Win, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction

Air Force vs UNLV: Keys to a Rebels Win, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction Air Force meets UNLV, both 4-2, for the Rebels’ Homecoming Contact/Follow @MWCwire The Rebels, and Falcons face off to remain in MWC contention WEEK 7: Air Force Falcons at UNLV …

Air Force vs UNLV: Keys to a Rebels Win, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction


Air Force meets UNLV, both 4-2, for the Rebels’ Homecoming


Contact/Follow @MWCwire

The Rebels, and Falcons face off to remain in MWC contention

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

WEEK 7: Air Force Falcons at UNLV Rebels

WHERE: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada

WHEN: Saturday, October 15, 2022 – 10:30pm EST (7:30pm PST)

TV: CBS Sports Network 

STREAMING: Fans can sign up to receive a free one-week trial of Fubo, by following this link.

RADIO: ESPN 1100AM & 100.9 FM

SERIES RECORD: This will be the 24th meeting between Air Force and UNLV. The Falcons have won 17 of the matchups, including the last four meetings going back to 2014.

WEBSITES: goairforcefalcons.com is the official San Jose State University Football website | unlvrebels.com is the University of Nevada Las Vegas Athletics official website.

GAME NOTES (PDF): Air Force | UNLV

ODDS: Air Force Falcons by 10.0

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force Falcons by 4.5

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force Falcons by 16.0

PARKER FLEMING PROJECTION: Air Force Falcons by 10.2

Midway through the college football season, the prospects for many teams become clear. From the proverbial contenders and pretenders to the aspirations of a bowl game, teams are realizing what’s at stake for the second half of the season and prepare accordingly. For some, however, like Air Force and UNLV, the midpoint of the season can be cause for concern, where unexpected stumbles can derail momentum and goals for the season are tested.

Both the Falcons and Rebels are coming into Saturday night’s game with winning records, albeit coming off tough losses. The Falcons fell on the road to a resilient Utah State team, on a late surge by the Aggies to put Air Force at 4-2 on the season. UNLV, meanwhile, trailed San Jose State from start to finish, losing starting quarterback Doug Brumfield to injury in the first half and losing by the final score of 40-7.

This year’s Air Force team brings a ton of experience in its returning starters and the nation’s top rated rushing offense, at 352.2 yards per game. Quarterback Haaziq Daniels is a three-year starter, and Brad Roberts heads into this contest with 709 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns through six games. Daniels has also proven effective, going for more than 270 yards and three touchdowns on the ground. And behind an experienced offensive line, the Rebels will have their work on defense cut out for them.

For the Rebels, while Doug Brumfield is listed as day to day, Cameron Friel is expected to get the start. Friel started eight games for the Rebels last year, including UNLV’s two wins over New Mexico and Hawaii. A full week of practice with the starting offense will help acclimate Friel to the tempo and expectations the Rebels have set on offense, with abilities to mix in quick throws with big plays downfield and a running game that has struggled to re-establish itself in recent weeks.

As has been the case thus far for UNLV, the Rebels once again face a step up in competition this Saturday night in Allegiant Stadium. And to come away with the win, in the Rebels’ 2022 Homecoming no less, here are a few keys to what the Rebels will need to do:

No Surprise – Prepare for the Run

At the risk of stating the obvious, Air Force will look to run, rinse, and repeat. Daniels can throw the ball if necessary, but through six games, he’s only attempted 47 passes. The Falcons will likely aim to repeat last year’s performance, a 48-14 defeat of the Rebels in which they ran for a dominating 511 rushing yards and six touchdowns while holding the ball for more than forty minutes.

This year, an improving UNLV defense will once again be challenged by a mobile quarterback and a strong running game. Earlier this year against North Texas, once the Rebels’ offense built a lead that forced the Mean Green into more passing downs, UNLV was able to force turnovers and hold its own and seal the victory. That type of effort will be needed to force the Falcons into passing downs, possibly at times taking chances to bring pressure from the edges to contain this rushing attack.

In recent weeks, mobile quarterbacks Miles Kendrick and Chevan Cordeiro were able to get the Rebels’ defense into trouble early, building first quarter leads for New Mexico and San Jose State, respectively. Against New Mexico, UNLV was able to adjust and regain the lead for the eventual victory; facing the Spartans, the Rebels could not stop Cordeiro and the lead only grew as the game went on. The outcome we see this week will depend on how well the Rebels can stack against the run early in the game, then counter Air Force’s attack as they open up the passing game or commit further to the run.

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=645997112]

Look for 50-50 on Offense

The Rebels have proven to be potent offense when they can start with a strong running game behind Aidan Robbins, then open up the passing game, whether it be with short passes in space or longer throws downfield. Ultimately, their victories have leaned on an almost 50-50 mix of run and pass, until the running game can finish off an opponent and consume the clock. A similar effort this week would go a long way towards a UNLV victory.

The key here will be to get Robbins going early, but without being predictable. Even though Robbins has had success on first down, often leaving second-and-short for the offense to convert, the step up in opponent makes that more difficult. And as defenses key on Robbins, especially with Brumfield likely to not see the field, the Rebels will need to employ new formations or possibly a few trick plays to give themselves an opportunity to win. 

Make no mistake, it will be a challenge either way against this Falcons defense, ranked 18th nationally while giving up only 301.3 yards per game. But that lofty rank is also due in no small part to its offense, which controls the clock and leaves its opponents with limited time to work. If the Rebels can utilize its wide receivers – and Kyle Williams is expected back this week – and rely on Robbins on second or third downs, this UNLV offense can move against the Falcons and find the end zone enough for a victory.

Who Wins Time of Possession?

Last week, the Rebels were expected to be in a back-and-forth affair with San Jose State, where the team with the ball last would very well have a chance to win the game. For a variety of reasons that didn’t happen last week, but this week’s matchup again brings two teams looking to control the clock, keep their offenses on the field and wear down a defense over four quarters.

Given their potent running game, Air Force has controlled the ball and established itself as one of the leading teams in time of possession; only Navy and Minnesota have more time of possession this season. If the Rebels can make the most of their possessions, and the Falcons need to score quickly to keep pace, it could put Air Force in an uncomfortable position and create unforced errors for the Rebels to seize control of. 

It might also be noteworthy that Air Force is 5-1 in time of possession against its opponents this season; the one game they trailed in was an Air Force loss, to Wyoming, in Week 3.

Will the Intangibles Matter?

While Air Force will likely represent the Rebels’ toughest opponent to date, and UNLV comes in as a substantial underdog, there are a variety of factors that favor the home team Rebels. It’s Homecoming week and, unlike previous years, there is meaningful talk of how this has been a special season already, and a bowl game could be well within reach. Special teams continue to be efficient and effective, as Daniel Gutierrez has remained one of the conference’s strong kickers on the year. (No, I won’t mention the stats, for any superstitious folks out there. But trust me, he’s been good.) 

The Rebels know they’ve achieved a lot already, but there is a poise and a measured response in how this team responds each week that should not be overlooked. The Rebels are not taking their early success for granted and know that the focus needs to be one week at a time.

Prediction

It might be too early to say, but these two teams know who they are at this point in the season. Air Force will continue to run the ball, look to control the clock, and aim to play stout defense, controlling the lines on both sides of the ball. For the Rebels, a capable offense needs to reignite its running game, get its receivers in space and overall continue to take advantage of big plays, both offensively and defensively.

UNLV will need to take Haaziq Daniels out of the running game, as mobile quarterbacks have proven too damaging against this defense and force the Falcons into relying on a big game from Brad Roberts. If the Rebels can limit the Falcons running game in any way, that will be one big step towards victory.

Offensively, the Rebels must adapt the playbook to what Cameron Friel is most comfortable and capable with, without disrupting the flow of the offense altogether. Aidan Robbins can help that transition with a strong running game, but the Rebels will need to mix in more plays and formations to avoid being predictable or revealing too much of a reliance on one aspect of the offense.

For the Rebels’ Homecoming, it would be quite the upset if UNLV could get the win against an experienced Air Force squad. The Rebels will bring a determined effort, and possibly get Air Force to play from behind early but expect the Falcons will win this one late. UNLV’s better games, and bigger wins, lie ahead this season.

Air Force 38, UNLV 27


Advertisement

Week 6 Mountain West Football Power Rankings

Week 6 Mountain West Football Power Rankings UNLV, San Jose State moving up Contact/Follow @MWCwire Is this the upside down? The Mountain West has seen a lot of different teams this year be better and worse than expected. Fresno State is playing …

Week 6 Mountain West Football Power Rankings


UNLV, San Jose State moving up


Contact/Follow @MWCwire

Is this the upside down?

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

The Mountain West has seen a lot of different teams this year be better and worse than expected. Fresno State is playing with a backup quarterback and looked lost and bad against the loss against UConn. UNLV is surprising us all and is seven points away from being undefeated, yeah that is right.

Those Rebels are facing the 3-1 San Jose State Spartans that regained its 2020 magic and a slow start vs. Portland State and in a game that could determine the West Division representative for the Mountain West title game.

Boise State was looking left for dead in an embarrassing loss to UTEP,  but then came in Dirk Koetter from the analyst role to offensive coordinator and used two quarterbacks to crush San Diego State. Broncos fans are wondering if it was a one-week boost or if this is sustainable.

This is all to say that the Mountain West is wild and pretty this year and once again these power polls took a turn with some movement after surprising results from last week and some interesting games heading into Week 6.

Preseason | Week 0 | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4

Air Force vs. UNLV: Falcons Game Preview, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction

Can Air Force beat UNLV to remain in the Mountain division hunt?


Air Force vs. UNLV: Falcons Game Preview, How to Watch, Odds, Prediction


Will Air Force Ruin the Rebels Homecoming?


Contact/Follow @Sean or @MWCWire

[mm-video type=playlist id=01g8ggatak2kacq2ps player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Can the Falcons Avoid a Hangover in Vegas?

WEEK 7: Air Force Falcons 4-2 (1-2) vs. UNLV Rebels 4-2 (2-1)

WHEN: Saturday, October 15th — 7:30 P.M. MT/ 6:30 P.M. PT

WHERE: Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas, NV)

WEATHER: Game Played Indoors: Abundant sunshine. High around 90F. Winds light and variable.

TV: CBS Sports Network

RADIO: KVOR AM 740 in Colorado Springs, 104.3 the Fan in Denver; SIRIUS 388, SXM App 978

Jim Arthur (play-by-play), Jesse Kurtz (analyst)

SERIES RECORD: Air Force leads the all-time series 17-6. Last Year Air Force defeated UNLV 48-14.

LAST WEEK: Air Force lost to Utah State 27-34 | UNLV was defeated by San Jose State 40-7

WEBSITES: UNLVRebels.com, the official UNLV athletics website | GoAirForceFalcons.com, the official Air Force athletics website

GAME NOTES (PDF): UNLV | Air Force

SP+ PROJECTION: Air Force by 4.5

FEI PROJECTION: Air Force by 16

PARKER FLEMMING PROJECTIONAir Force win probability 77.00% (38.87-28.67)

One of the last games played on Saturday night should be one of the most intriguing. Air Force will find themselves at one of the most popular destinations in the U.S. this week, as they head to Las Vegas to take on the UNLV Rebels. Prior to last week, these were two teams feeling good about their chances to win the respective divisions they compete in.

A lot can change in a single week.

Both the Falcons and Rebs entered last week with great optimism, but they certainly didn’t conclude their weekend with the same zeal. Air Force got shredded once again by division foes, Utah State for the second year in a row. While UNLV went absolutely broke in San Jose.

There is a major difference in the letdown each team experienced recently, though. Despite getting crushed by their division rivals, UNLV lost their starting quarterback, Doug Brumfield early in the game, and it just got away from them against what is affirmed a serious Mountain West Contender, in the San Jose State Spartans. Air Force on the other hand lost yet another divisional game on the road, despite being double digit favorites over their opponent.

So while both teams still could fight their way back atop the Mountain and West divisions; UNLV requires far less help than their opponents. The Falcons find themselves two games back in he division already, with questions continuing to mount. For Air Force to cling to any chance at a division title, they have to put a complete game together in a conference road contest.

Three Keys to an Air Force Victory

1. PROTECT THE FOOTBALL

Nobody wants to hear it, but the importance of ball security cannot be overstated. Only three teams in the country have lost more fumbles than Air Force. UNLV has forced 12 turnovers on the season, while surrendering just four of their own. Three of their four turnovers have come in the last two games, coincidentally.

2. STOP THE RUN

The Falcons ability to run the ball is rarely if ever in question. In recent years, the same could be said for the ability of their defense to stuff the oppositions rushing attack. That has not been the case this year defensively, as they rank 65th nationally. The very definition of mediocre. This has got to improve if they want to get back in the divisional hunt, starting with their matchup with UNLV.

The Rebels feature a bruiser of a running back in Aidan Robbins, yet another FBS transfer player (Louisville). Robbins has been a key component to a highly effective offense in Las Vegas. With nine touchdowns on the year, the UNLV back ranks fourth nationally. Yes, that’s even ahead of the Falcon’s own Brad Roberts.

According to their depth chart, whatever injury Rebels quarterback Doug Brumfield suffered last week is still ailing him. Cameron Friel appears to be getting the nod to start against Air Force on Saturday. Unless of course, you believe the (or) placed between he and Harrison Bailey, the Tennessee transfer on UNLV’s released depth chart.

Friel didn’t look good in his time against the Spartans last week, nor did he impress against the Falcons in 2021. They can’t allow the Rebels to establish a run game, taking the pressure off of Friel and the pass attack. They have playmakers at receiver that could be dangerous if the offense is able to play complimentary football.

3. REDZONE TOUCHDOWNS

One of the most pleasant surprises this season has been the kicking of Matthew Dapore. He’s playing as well as anyone in the Conference at the position. Hopefully a majority of his work on Saturday comes by way of extra points. In nearly every metric these two mirror each other in red zone play; within 2% of each other offensively and defensively.

They’ve both kept their opposition out of the end zone better than 50% of the time. On offense, UNLV is clicking at 75% of their trips inside the 20 resulting in touchdowns. Compare that to the Falcons, who are cashing in tuddies on 63% of their trips. When you consider how these are the two highest scoring offenses in the Conference (UNLV 1st- Air Force 2nd), the difference between winning and losing could very well come down to who cashes in for six, versus who settles for three.

Air Force needs to make the Cadet wing do the extra push-ups every time they visit the red zone on Saturday.

Prediction

Last season UNLV entered their contest against Air Force with little to play for. The Falcons by contrast were still alive in the Division hunt, and that motivation showed on the scoreboard. This year should be a little bit different from a motivation standpoint. It’s not that the Falcons will be any less motivated, but despite their lopsided defeat last week, the Rebels are very much alive in their division.

Air Force’s hopes of a division title, and thus Mountain West crown are essentially on life support at this point. Losing in Las Vegas would all but pull the plug. UNLV isn’t going to be a pushover like last year, even if Doug Brumfield isn’t able to go (which appears to be the case). But if we are being honest, Brumfield was playing at a very high level, potentially as a Mountain West Player of the Year Candidate, and that production is going to be very difficult to replace.

I realize a far less experienced backup in Cooper Legas, helped Utah State exploit the Falcons defense last week. But the style of offense he operates is different from that which Cameron Friel (or Harrison Bailey) will be conducting. The drop off in quarterback play can’t be ignored.

The Falcons have injury issues of their own that they’ve been dealing with since the injury bug has hit dynamic playmakers Dane Kinamon, Deandre Hughes and Zach Larrier. Since their absence, Air Force has split their last four games. The biggest difference I see in their ability to overcome those losses is they still have the most settling force on their side, the Conference’s leading rusher in Brad Roberts and the nations top running game. UNLV is still looking for their stabilizer in Brumfields stead. Maybe they’ll find it this week, but I’m not betting on it.

Air Force 28, UNLV 24

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=645997055]

[protected-iframe id=”f7652191f99ba13728097498e8a79cd8-137729785-123448869″ info=”https://open.spotify.com/embed-podcast/show/48681pqFq0kB9dhrtPPoNd” width=”100%” height=”232″ frameborder=”0″]

Week 6 Mountain West Bowl Projections

Week 6 Mountain West Bowl Projections A new leader? Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire Bowl projection season is here after, as usual Week 6 is over and the league is sort of starting to take shape. We have San Jose doing quite well through the …

Week 6 Mountain West Bowl Projections


A new leader?


Contact/Follow @JeremyMauss & @MWCwire

Bowl projection season is here after, as usual

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Week 6 is over and the league is sort of starting to take shape. We have San Jose doing quite well through the league, Boise State rebounding after a slow start, UNLV is surprising, despite its loss, and Fresno State really needs Jake Haener back.

The bowl projections have been slowly changing but this week has a few new wrinkles with Utah State playing better and clearly on the bowl radar despite being 2-4. It will take a great second half run to get to six wins.

2022 Mountain West Bowl Tie Ins, Lineup

 

Here are the bowl lineup for the Mountain West this year.

– Cotton Bowl – at-large vs. Group of Five
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl vs MAC
– Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl vs Pac-12
– New Mexico Bowl vs Conference USA
– Barstool Arizona Bowl vs MAC
– EasyPost Hawai’i Bowl vs Conference USA

Back up tie-ins are below

– Guaranteed Rate Bowl vs Big Ten or Big 12

Other Options

Cure Bowl vs Group of Five
– RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl vs Group of Five
– SERVPRO First Responder Bowl vs Group of Five
– Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl vs Group of Five

Preseason Bowl Projections | Week 0 | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6

PODCAST: Week 6 Mountain West Football Recap

PODCAST: Week 6 Mountain West Football Recap Quit the surprises for this week Contact/Follow @MWCwire Spartans, Broncos the best? Jeremy and Matt are back to go through all of the Week 6 games which feature for the first time all year, all …

PODCAST: Week 6 Mountain West Football Recap


Quit the surprises for this week


Contact/Follow @MWCwire

[mm-video type=playlist id=01f1343a1wt7q817p7 player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]

Spartans, Broncos the best?

Jeremy and Matt are back to go through all of the Week 6 games which feature for the first time all year, all conference contests. UNLV showed it is human but also lost Doug Brumfield to a leg injury early on.

Then we have Utah State being the team we thought in the preseason, Boise State just needed a fresh set of eyes at the offensive coordinator position, and Hawaii nearly pulls one off vs. San Diego State.

You can find the Mountain West Wire podcast below or subscribe to the show via Stitcher RadioTuneInSpotifyiTunes, and more. Listen in, subscribe and rate it and let us know what you think!

Advertisement[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1363]

Mountain West Football: Week 6 Winners And Losers

Who were the big winners and losers from Week 6 of Mountain West football play? We make our picks for who shined and who disappointed.

[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://mwwire.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]


Mountain West Football: Week 6 Winners And Losers


We take a look at the Mountain West’s winners and losers from Week 6 of college football.


Contact/Follow @MattK_FS & @MWCwire

Encouragements and letdowns from the week that was.

Man, what a weekend of Mountain West football.

Week 6 brought a good chunk of drama along with it on Friday and Saturday, a full slate of conference games with three of the six contests decided by seven or fewer points. It wasn’t pretty for everyone, though, so here are the winners and losers from this weekend.

Winners

1. Utah State quarterback Cooper Legas

I wrote about how you couldn’t completely count out Utah State in the hunt for the conference title two weeks ago and Legas’s performance in a 34-27 win against Air Force on Saturday is exactly what I meant. In what might have been the weekend’s most shocking Mountain West victory, the Aggies signal-caller put up the best single game of his young career to date, throwing for 215 yards and two touchdowns on 18-of-23 passes while adding another another score on the ground to go along with 76 rushing yards.

It may still be an uphill climb for Utah State to defend the Mountain division title, but if this is the team we’ll see more often in the second half of the season, the Aggies could once again be no fun to face.

2. Boise State linebacker Ezekiel Noa

The Broncos linebacker has been a rock solid contributor to quality defenses for years now, but last night’s performance might have been the best of Noa’s collegiate career. He picked up six solo tackles, two tackles for loss, a sack, an interception, and a forced fumble as Boise State defeated Fresno State by a 40-20 margin to secure the Milk Can for another year.

3. Wyoming’s defensive line

Jay Sawvel’s defense got off to a slow start on Saturday against New Mexico, falling behind 14-0 by the end of the first quarter, but the men in the trenches were one big reason the Cowboys rallied and come away with a 27-14 road win over the Lobos.

Wyoming posted a season-high six sacks, all of which came after that lackluster first quarter and all of which came from the young defensive line. Even without star defensive tackle Cole Godbout, sophomore Gavin Meyer stepped into the breach with two sacks while Braden Siders, DeVonne Harris, and Oluwaseyi Omatosho chipped in to the pass rush, as well.

Losers

1. Norvell Bowl I

In what was easily the sickos game of the weekend within the Mountain West, the clash between the Rams and Wolf Pack began with dramatics from head coaches Jay Norvell and Ken Wilson in the pre-game and then… well, it was messy.

Colorado State had 14 penalties for 136 yards, the most flags in a game for the Rams since at least 2000, while Nevada had seven for 65 yards. The Rams were also just 1-of-11 on third downs; Nevada finished the day 7-of-19. Starting quarterbacks Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi and Nate Cox completed 50% and 47.6% of their passes, respectively, and combined for three interceptions while the offenses also had four fumbles, two of which ended up as giveaways. While there were some valiant individual efforts in CSU’s eventual 17-14 victory, you have to hope Norvell Bowl II, set for next year in Fort Collins, features crisper play all the way around.

2. UNLV

The Rebels didn’t get the kind of performance they hoped for on Friday night against San Jose State, dropping a 40-7 decision for the inside track in the West division title hunt. Quarterback Doug Brumfield got off to a slow start before getting knocked out early with injury, and while backup Cameron Friel did his best to try and rally the Rebels against a surging Spartans defense, the offense crossed midfield just three times in 11 drives.

The defense, meanwhile, coughed up far too many chunk plays (13, totaling 280 yards) and could not generate a takeaway for the first time this season. Things are far from over, but UNLV will need to regroup quickly with a home date against Air Force and road trips to Notre Dame and San Diego State on deck.

3. Fresno State defensive coordinator Kevin Coyle

The Bulldogs’ flailing quarterback situation has received more attention, but the defense might actually have the bigger problems, many of which were on display in the team’s 40-20 loss at Boise State on Saturday night. Fresno State gave up more than six yards per play for the third time in four games and managed just three tackles for loss while the Broncos ran wild with 316 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

If that weren’t bad enough, the ‘Dogs also allowed Boise State to convert 10-of-18 third downs, a 55.6% rate that is the worst of the season to date, and enabled the Broncos to get points on all eight of their trips to the red zone for the second year in a row. A pair of Jonah Dalmas chip-shot field goals kept the final result from being even worse, but a red-hot San Jose State team coming to Bulldog Stadium next week could only make matters worse

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1360]

Advertisement

[protected-iframe id=”f7652191f99ba13728097498e8a79cd8-137729785-123448869″ info=”https://open.spotify.com/embed-podcast/show/48681pqFq0kB9dhrtPPoNd” width=”100%” height=”232″ frameborder=”0″]