TCU – Page 2 – Syndication Server

College Football Expert Picks Predictions: Georgia vs TCU, North Dakota State vs South Dakota State

College Football Expert picks and predictions for the January 2nd bowl games

College football expert picks, predictions: College Football Playoff National Championship Georgia vs TCU, FCS Championship North Dakota State vs South Dakota State

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* next to the pick means the team will win, but not cover.
Click on each game for the game preview and CFN Prediction

National Championship College Football Expert Picks
CFP Championship: Georgia vs TCU | Over/Under
NFL Week 18 Expert Picks

North Dakota State vs South Dakota State

FCS National Championship

Line: South Dakota State -5

Eric Bolin, RazorbacksWire.com: SDSU*
Evan Bredeson, CornhuskersWire.com: SDSU
Tony Cosolo, ColoradoBuffaloesWire.com: NDSU
Jeff Feyerer, CFN: NDSU
Pete Fiutak, CFN: SDSU
Cami Griffin, LonghornsWire.com: SDSU
Dan Harralson, VolsWire.com: SDSU*
Phil Harrison, BuckeyesWire.com: SDSU
Jeremy Mauss, MWwire.com: NDSU
Kevin McGuire, NittanyLionsWire.com: NDSU
Big Game Ben Niewoehner, CFN: NDSU
E, CFN: NDSU
Tyler Nettuno, LSUTigerswire.com: NDSU
Zack Pearson, TarHeelswire.com SDSU
Johnny Rosenstein, SportsBookWire.com: SDSU
Nick Shepkowski, FightingIrishWire.com: NDSU
Scott Steehn, WinnersandWhiners.com: SDSU*
Joe Vitale, UGAWire.com: SDSU
Clucko the Chicken (a coin flip), CFN: SDSU
CONSENSUS PICK: South Dakota State

National Championship College Football Expert Picks
\CFP Championship: Georgia vs TCU | Over/Under
NFL Week 18 Expert Picks

NEXT: Georgia vs TCU College Football Playoff National Championship

Pages: 123

Georgia vs TCU College Football Playoff National Championship First Thoughts, Prediction

Georgia vs TCU CFP National Championship first thoughts, early prediction

It’s Georgia vs TCU for the College Football Playoff National Championship. The first reaction, initial thoughts, and early prediction

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Georgia vs TCU College Football Playoff First Thoughts, Early Prediction

Peach Bowl: Georgia – Ohio State 5 Thoughts
Fiesta Bowl: TCU – Michigan 5 Thoughts
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5. TCU is really in the College Football Playoff National Championship

The dust has settled, the Georgia win over Ohio State was an amazing enough game to take some of the attention away from the TCU win over Michigan, so now we can speak freely here …

Michigan royally screwed that up.

Of course TCU deserves the credit for pulling it off. It’s making the trip to Los Angeles and 129 other college football teams aren’t. The offense ripped through a Michigan defense that was among the best in the country all year, the defense came up with two pick sixes, and – oh yeah – Michigan scored 39 points in the second half.

This all just ended a little bit ago, and it’s all still fresh – I might change my mind and thoughts over the next several days – but no one is going to pick TCU to win this. I thought Michigan would rumble though the Horned Frogs – and still do – and will take the own goal after it didn’t happen.

I’ll eat it again if I’m wildly wrong.

TCU will do the “no one believes in us” thing. Yeah, right here. Hand raised.

4. Will the national interest be there without Michigan?

People will watch because if the College Football Playoff National Championship … maybe. And this falls on both sides.

TCU just isn’t that big. It’s a great story, and the fan base is rightfully going out of its mind, but best believe that ESPN people who care about ratings are breaking something tasteful that Michigan didn’t isn’t in this.

Michigan vs Ohio State would be better for national interest, but Michigan vs Georgia wouldn’t have been horrible – even if last year’s meeting in the CFP semis in the Orange was a blowout.

Georgia just doesn’t have any star power outside of the wonky NFL draft football types, and that sort of includes Stetson Bennett.

Unless there’s an unstoppable buzz coming off the semifinals, TCU vs Georgia might have a hard time resonating with the world pivoting to the NFL playoffs.

With that said …

Peach Bowl: Georgia – Ohio State 5 Thoughts
Fiesta Bowl: TCU – Michigan 5 Thoughts

3. The Georgia talent level

Here’s where the obvious concern is.

Michigan has a ton of talent on both sides of the ball, but it’s nothing like what Georgia is bringing.

As my overused line goes, there are 3.5 teams in college football at the same elite NFL talent level. Alabama, Ohio State, Georgia, and the USC offense. TCU had everything go its way against Michigan – and it made its own breaks, of course – and it still took everything in the bag to get out alive.

Michigan isn’t Georgia talent-wise. Almost nobody is. TCU can extra plucky, but those Bulldog lines should be able to take over, and …

Wait, that sounds familiar. It’s like I wrote that about Michigan or something. (Full disclosure: I’ve been a disaster trying to pick for or against TCU this year.)

2. We’re not that lucky to get three amazing College Football Playoff games

It hasn’t happened in the eight years of the College Football Playoff. There was only one good semifinal undercard – Georgia over Oklahoma in the 2018 Rose – and there certainly haven’t been three good games in the tournament. Now we’re spoiled by TCU and Georgia winning like that.

TCU has now broken every mold and expectation, but three good playoff games? Not likely, so if it skews one way, I’m going with …

1. College Football Playoff National Championship first prediction

Georgia 34, TCU 20

Don’t get into a twist over this yet – I’ll adapt and adjust as we go – but I’ll run with the idea that TCU holds down the Bulldogs for a little while, and then the problems kick in up front.

Yes, this was supposed to happen against Michigan, but this Georgia offensive line will barrel away where the Big Ten team didn’t.

TCU will move the ball on the suddenly shaky Georgia defense, but there will be a lot of bending but not breaking. It won’t be enough as Stetson Bennett and the offense go on a flurry early on so the D could take over.

I’m seeing the Oregon game for Georgia. It comes out perfectly polished, scores easily on the first two drives and coasts from there.

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Peach Bowl: Georgia – Ohio State 5 Thoughts
Fiesta Bowl: TCU – Michigan 5 Thoughts

TCU Wins Fiesta Bowl Over Michigan: Reaction, Analysis, 5 Thoughts

5 Things That Matter: TCU shocked Michigan 51-45 to win the College Football Playoff semifinal Fiesta Bowl.

TCU beat Michigan to win the Fiesta Bowl. Five thoughts and analysis of the game, and what it all means.

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TCU beat Michigan 51-45: Fiesta Bowl 5 Things That Matter

Fiesta Bowl College Football Playoff 5 Thoughts
4. Michigan got hosed on 2 calls, but …
3. TCU’s defensive front held up
2. The first College Football Playoff shocker
1. TC-freaking-U is in CFP National Championship
– Contact/Follow @ColFootballNews & @PeteFiutak

5. Michigan was off from the start

Donovan Edwards ripped off a 54-yard run, and it looked like it was over eight seconds in.

The Michigan offensive line was going to dominate, the defense that held up all season long would take care of business, and yawn, it was going to be another methodical win by the undefeated Big Ten champion.

And then Michigan got cute.

Run, penalty, run, run, fourth and goal from the 2 – the reasonably worst thing that could happen was to get stuffed and pin TCU deep. Instead, the offense tried a Philly Special that was sniffed out immediately, went nowhere, and TCU got the ball on its ten.

The Horned Frogs didn’t do anything and had to punt, but the stop set the tone. Michigan didn’t have the ability to power away on the TCU defensive front, and the the tough guy ability that was there all season long never took over.

Michigan came into this No. 3 in the nation against the run. It gave up 263 yards.

It was third in the nation in total defense allowing 277 yards per game. It gave up 488.

It led the Big Ten and was fourth in the nation in rushing averaging 243 yards per game. It came up with 186, threw the ball 35 times, and was just … off.

It’s like the time off hurt the team – it disturbed the groove it was in.

Fiesta Bowl College Football Playoff 5 Thoughts
5; Michigan was off from the start
4. Michigan got hosed on 2 calls, but …
3. TCU’s defensive front held up
2. The first College Football Playoff shocker
1. TC-freaking-U is in CFP National Championship

NEXT: Michigan got hosed on two huge calls, but …

Pages: 12345

Michigan vs TCU College Football Playoff Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Prediction Game Preview

Michigan vs TCU game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the College Football Playoff Vrbo Fiesta Bowl on Saturday, December 31

Michigan vs TCU prediction, game preview, odds, how to watch. College Football Playoff Vrbo Fiesta Bowl, Saturday, December 31

Michigan vs TCU College Football Playoff Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Prediction Game Preview

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Michigan vs TCU How To Watch

Date: Saturday, December 31
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
How To Watch: ESPN
Record: Michigan (13-0), TCU (12-1)
– Sign up and live stream college football on ESPN+

Michigan vs TCU College Football Playoff Vrbo Fiesta Bowl 5 Things To Know

– Why Michigan will win. Why TCU will win
– College Football Playoff Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History

– It didn’t seem like it was “just the beginning” for Michigan, as Jim Harbaugh suggested coming off a 34-11 pasting from Georgia in last year’s College Football Playoff semifinal.

Harbaugh was 50/50 on going to the NFL – and was probably the Minnesota Viking head coach if he wasn’t lowballed – Ohio State was going to be back to its normal unbeatable self, and the Michigan program was going to settle back into being very good, but hardly among the elite of the elite.

And then it not only did it again, it was even better in an undefeated season with a crazily consistent offensive style of play that held for a full 12 games on the way to winning a second straight Big Ten title.

Last year, the Wolverines had done enough. They broke through, exorcised the Buckeye demon, and proved it was possible to win massive things under Harbaugh.

Not this time. Just getting here won’t get it done like it does for …

– TCU was one of the massive pleasant surprises of the 2022 season. New coach, program coming off a mediocre year, some rebuilding to do, and a schedule that looked a tad too daunting – some genius actually predicted TCU was going to lose to Colorado to start the season … I sought out professional help after that.

But head coach Sonny Dykes put together something magical. QB Max Duggan took over early and morphed into Max Tebow, the team found every way possible to win close games and pull off comebacks, and even getting here despite losing the Big 12 Championship was a charmed moment for the program.

It’s not like TCU hasn’t been close. It was No. 3 in the penultimate 2014 College Football Playoff rankings and got pushed out in the final version. In the CFP era this is the fourth season in nine with 11 or more wins, it knows how to crank up the offense, and it can pull the “nobody believes in us” attitude.

– This is TCU’s first bowl appearance since winning the 2018 Cheez-It 10-7 in OT – unquestionably the ugliest-played event in the history of sporting contests. However, the program has won four of its last five and ten of its last 13. On the flip side …

– Michigan has been a bowl game disaster. It lost five straight and is 3-12 since winning the 2003 Outback over Florida. Even worse, the last three bowl appearances were brutal blowouts, and the team melted down in the 2018 Outback loss to South Carolina and 2016 loss to Florida State. This is the first time Michigan has ever faced TCU.

– No pressure or anything, Fiesta Bowl, but College Football Playoff semifinal or not, you’re supposed to be amazing. Last year’s Oklahoma State comeback win over Notre Dame was one of the wildest moments of the bowl season. The 2019 Clemson win over Ohio State in the CFP semifinal screwed up The entire university for a full year – OSU was out of its mind over the way that game ended.

LSU getting by UCF the year before that was fun, Penn State getting by Washington the year before that was fun, and in all, four of the last five Fiesta Bowls have been outstanding – they needed to be to make up for the 31-0 uggo of a Clemson College Football Playoff semifinal win over Ohio State in 2016.

– Why Michigan will win. Why TCU will win
– College Football Playoff Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Prediction, What’s Going To Happen, History
CFN Experts CFP, NY6, Dec 28-Jan 2

NEXT: Why Michigan will win the College Football Playoff Fiesta Bowl, why TCU will win the College Football Playoff Fiesta Bowl

Pages: 123

TCU vs Kansas State Big 12 Championship Prediction Game Preview

TCU vs Kansas State Big 12 Championship game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Big 12 Championship Week game on Saturday, December 3

TCU vs Kansas State Big 12 Championship prediction, game preview, odds, how to watch. Championship Week, Saturday, December 3

TCU vs Kansas State Big 12 Championship Prediction Game Preview

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TCU vs Kansas State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, December 3
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
How To Watch: ABC
Record: TCU (12-0), Kansas State (9-3)
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Why Kansas State Will Win

Kansas State can absolutely pull this off.

It had a rough game against Texas, and there were quarterback issues in the first meeting with TCU – which turned out okay, but losing Adrian Martinez early changed the plan – but this team has the style and makeup to be terrific in this.

Best of all, there’s no real pressure.

Of course there’s a little bit – it would be nice to wear the 2022 Big 12 Champion t-shirt – but lose, and it’s almost certainly off to the Sugar Bowl. Win, and it’s off to the Sugar Bowl while potentially screwing up TCU’s shot at the College Football Playoff.

It’s been lost with all the big things TCU has done, but Kansas State has been even more dominant at times with six wins by double-digits including the last three games to get here. It’s No. 1 in the Big 12 in scoring defense, No. 2 in turnover margin, and No. 2 behind Oklahoma in rushing.

The ground game didn’t stop once Will Howard stepped in at quarterback, but the offense as a whole has been stronger.

Deuce Vaughn continues to be a terror, Martinez will step in here and there to add a wrinkle to the mix, and the improved passing game under Howard has made everything more explosive. There’s a reason Kansas State is 4-0 when Howard starts.

But it’s about the run. As long as the Wildcats are averaging five yards per carry or more, they’ll be a problem.

TCU has allowed five yards or more per carry four times. Once was in the blowout over Iowa State last week, two other times were the close calls against Baylor and Kansas, and …

College Football Playoff Final Top 25 Prediction
What it means for CFP: Utah beats USC for Pac-12 title

Why TCU Will Win

Kansas State ran well in the first meeting and still lost.

Keep doubting TCU. Keep thinking that “this is the week” reality finally hits.

The team keep playing with more and more confidence, it found a great offensive mix that can adapt and adjust on the fly, and it helps top have the most dangerous passing combination in college football outside of Knoxville – at least before Hendon Hooker was lost for the year with a knee injury.

Max Duggan is in the Heisman race. America might not know who he is, but depending on what Caleb Williams does or doesn’t do in USC’s Pac-12 Championship game against Utah on Friday night, at the very least the chance will be there to be a finalist.

All Duggan has done is throw 29 touchdown passes with three picks to go along with five touchdown runs as the leader of this year’s out-of-the-blue College Football Playoff team. He hit Kansas State for 280 yards and three touchdowns in the first meeting.

Quenton Johnston caught four of those passes for 74 yards and a touchdown. He missed the Iowa State game with an ankle injury, but he’s ready to go for one of the most dangerous downfield passing attacks in the country. But just like it is for the other side, it’s the ground game that’s going to matter.

Kansas State is 1-3 when allowing 160 rushing yards or more and 8-0 when it doesn’t. TCU has been just fine in the time of possession battle, and it has the deep threat pop in Duggan-to-Johnston, but it’s that running game that averages close to 200 yards per game that should set the tone.

– Championship Week Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

Who takes a punch better than TCU? It’s going to have to do it again.

It’s not like it’s more dominant in the fourth quarter – it scored 127 in the first and 127 in the fourth – but time and again the team was able to rally back and come through when needed.

Kansas State will get out to a hot start. The almost perfect balance will shine through with a great first two scoring drives to set the tone, but everything will settle in from there.

Midway through the third, TCU will finally come through with the drive to take over – and will wrap up the College Football Playoff. As long as Kansas State doesn’t win by a bajillion, there won’t be a whole lot for the Horned Frogs to worry about. Any and all concerns would go away with a win.

Forget the Iowa State game, TCU isn’t going to take down a game like this without a little drama. It’ll be a fun back-and-forth fight with the Horned Frogs hanging on late.

– Expert Picks College Championship Week | NFL Week 13

TCU vs Kansas State Big 12 Championship Prediction, Line

TCU 34, Kansas State 31
Line: TCU -2.5, o/u: 61.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
TCU vs Kansas State Big 12 Championship Must See Rating (out of 5): 5
Kansas State vs TCU Experts Picks

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 6 teams still in the race

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– Bowl Projections | Rankings

Big 12 Predictions Schedule Game Previews Lines TV Week 13

Big 12 predictions and schedule for Week 13 including Baylor at Texas, Iowa State at TCU, Kansas at Kansas State, Oklahoma at Texas Tech, West Virginia at Oklahoma State

Big 12 predictions, schedule, previews Week 13 including Baylor at Texas, Iowa State at TCU, Kansas at Kansas State

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Results So Far
Straight Up 46-24, ATS 30-38-2, o/u 45-26

Click on each game for the preview and prediction

Friday, November 25

Baylor at Texas

12:00 ESPN
Line: Texas -8.5, o/u: 54.5

Saturday, November 26

West Virginia at Oklahoma State

12:00 ESPN2
Line: Oklahoma State -8.5, o/u: 66.5

Iowa State at TCU

4:00 FOX
Line: TCU -9.5, o/u: 47.5

Oklahoma at Texas Tech

7:30 FS1
Line: Oklahoma -1.5, o/u: 64.5

Kansas at Kansas State

8:00 FOX
Line: Kansas State -11.5, o/u: 62.5

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CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race

TCU vs Iowa State Prediction Game Preview

TCU vs Iowa State game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 13 game on Saturday, November 26

TCU vs Iowa State prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 13, Saturday, November 26

TCU vs Iowa State Prediction Game Preview

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TCU vs Iowa State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 26
Game Time: 4:00 ET
Venue: Amon G Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
How To Watch: FOX
Record: TCU (11-0), Iowa State (4-7)
– Sign up and live stream college football on ESPN+

Why Iowa State Will Win

The defense is good enough to make this a fight.

There hasn’t been a lick of luck – or help – on the offensive side, but the Cyclone defense has been able to keep just about every game close with six of the seven losses by seven points or fewer.

TCU might have a high-powered offense that always finds ways to come though in the clutch, but the Cyclone D is brilliant on third downs, allows just 277 yards per game, and is a rock against the run.

Baylor was able to grind the game down a bit last week and own the time of possession battle, holding the ball for close to 34 minutes. It might be tilted worse than that against the Big 12’s leader at controlling the clock.

Iowa State is 4-1 when allowing fewer than 100 rushing yards per game, and it’s going to sell out to stop the Horned Frogs from getting on the move. But …

– Bowl Projections | Bowl Bubble: Who’s Bowl Eligible?

Why TCU Will Win

Iowa State isn’t going to hold TCU to fewer than 100 yards on the ground.

The offense is too balanced, too explosive down the field, and too good at mixing things up. It was held to a season-low 115 yards on the ground against Baylor, but it made up for it with 327 yards through the air.

TCU is amazing at being able to figure it out. Iowa State’s offense isn’t.

The Cyclones might be last in the Big 12 in total offense, but it’s able to move the ball – the Big 12 is a bit out of whack with amazing attacks. However, they’re AWFUL at putting the biscuit in the basket – it’s one of the worst offenses in the nation in the red zone.

– Week 13 College Football Schedule, Game Previews

What’s Going To Happen

TCU once again will pull it off.

Iowa State will throw a major scare into the Horned Frogs, but it’ll come up just short as it fails to come through when it has its chances. That’s what it does.

TCU will get to the Big 12 Championship at 12-0 by going on the scoring march it absolutely has to have. That’s what it does.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

TCU vs Iowa State Prediction, Line

TCU 26, Iowa State 17
Line: TCU -9.5, o/u: 47.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
TCU vs Iowa State Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Path to the Playoff: 7 teams still in the race

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– Bowl Projections | Rankings

TCU vs Baylor Prediction Game Preview

TCU vs Baylor game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 12 game on Saturday, November 19

TCU vs Baylor prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 12, Saturday, November 19

TCU vs Baylor Prediction, Game Preview

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TCU vs Baylor How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 19
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
How To Watch: FOX
Record: TCU (10-0), Baylor (6-4)
– Sign up and live stream college football on ESPN+

Why TCU Will Win

The No. 4 team in the nation – at least according to the College Football Playoff – keeps on answering every challenge.

It was a touchdown underdog on the road against Kansas – and the defense rose up and stuffed Bijan Robinson in the 17-10 win.

There were supposed to be problems in various offensive fights throughout the Big 12 season – and TCU has always been a wee bit better.

The team just doesn’t make enough mistakes. It’s one of the best in the country at limiting penalties, it only turned it over seven times, and the offensive versatility allows to adapt and adjust to the game flow.

It might be TCU’s biggest strength – it has a way of finding a way to come through when needed to maintain control.

On the flip side, Baylor has to run well to win. It’s 5-0 when running for over 170 yards – 230 or more in each of those – and 1-4 when it doesn’t.

TCU has yet to allow more than 200 yards on the ground and gave up over 170 just three times.

– Bowl Projections

Why Baylor Will Win

The Baylor defense is the second-best in the Big 12.

The TCU offense really is that good – it’s the best in the conference – but it has yet to face the by-far best D in the league – Iowa State – and now it gets the Bear defense.

Texas was able to keep the Horned Frogs under wraps last week, holding the running game to a season-low 3.6 yards per carry and allowed just 124 passing yards.

The Baylor defense has the ability to take the ball away in bunches – it came up with eight takeaways in the two games before the stunning 31-3 loss to Kansas State – and it needs to control the clock.

TCU was able to get by Texas last week in the fight by dominating the time of possession battle. It’s not going to be able to do that against Baylor.

– Schedules, Predictions College | NFL

What’s Going To Happen

Baylor might hold on to the ball for over 32 minutes and come up with a few takeaways, but TCU will adjust.

Once again, there will be chances for the other side to take over and pull off the win, and once again TCU will rise up with a timely stop, a key scoring drive, and whatever it needs to do to slip on by.

– Expert Picks College Week 12 | NFL Week 11

TCU vs Baylor Prediction, Line

TCU 34, Baylor 31
Line: TCU -2.5, o/u: 56.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
TCU vs Baylor Must See Rating (out of 5): 4

CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Bowl Projections | Expert Picks Week 12
Week 12 Schedule, Predictions | Bowl Bubble
Path to the Playoff: 9 teams still in the race
CFP Top 25: Week 3 | CFP rankings reaction

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– Bowl Projections | Rankings
– Schedules, Scores For All 131 Teams

Big 12 Predictions Schedule Game Previews Lines TV Week 12

Big 12 predictions and schedule for Week 12 including TCU at Baylor, Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, and Texas at Kansas

Big 12 predictions, schedule, previews Week 12 including TCU at Baylor, Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, and Texas at Kansas

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Results So Far
Straight Up 41-24, ATS 29-34-2, o/u 42-25

Click on each game for the preview and prediction

Saturday, November 19

TCU at Baylor

12:00 FOX
Line: TCU -2.5, o/u: 56.5

Kansas State at West Virginia

2:00 Big 12 Network/ESPN+
Line: Kansas State -7.5, o/u: 54.5

Texas at Kansas

3:30 FS1
Line: Texas -9.5, o/u: 64.5

Texas Tech at Iowa State

7:00 FS1
Line: Iowa State -3.5, o/u: 47.5

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma

7:30 ABC
Line: Oklahoma -7.5, o/u: 64.5

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TCU vs Texas Prediction Game Preview

TCU vs Texas game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 11 game on Saturday, November 12

TCU vs Texas prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 11, Saturday, November 12

TCU vs Texas How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 12
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
How To Watch: ABC
Record: TCU (9-0), Texas (6-3)
– Sign up and live stream college football on ESPN+

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CFN 1-131 Rankings | Rankings by Conference
Bowl Projections | Expert Picks Week 11
Week 11 Schedule, Predictions | Bowl Bubble
Path to the Playoff: 12 teams still in the race
Bowl Bubble: Every Team’s Bowl Situation
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TCU vs Texas Game Preview

Why TCU Will Win

So how are the Horned Frogs doing this?

In an even Big 12 with the worst teams able to at least hang with the best, TCU has been able to stand out by doing the little things right.

There aren’t a lot of penalties, six turnovers in nine games, and all of that goes along with the fourth-best defense in America and an ultra-efficient passing game.

For all of the good things Texas does, it doesn’t control the clock and is wildly inconsistent. The pass came was explosive against Oklahoma State, but it couldn’t connect on enough throws in the loss. The run defense has been great, but the team is 1-3 when allowing 140 yards or more.

TCU has rushed for over 140 yards in every game and has the pop to keep up with whatever the Longhorns are able to do.

But, really …

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Why Texas Will Win

So how are the Horned Frogs doing this?

It was able to knockout/miss most of the top quarterbacks in the big games, there wasn’t a big non-conference win – it’s not TCU’s fault that Colorado is awful – and it doesn’t hurt that the two conference road games so far were against Kansas and West Virginia.

Texas has the most offensive firepower TCU has faced starting with one of the hottest running games going.

Bijan Robinson has been great as part of an attack that hit 200 yards on the ground in three of the last four games – the win over the great Iowa State defense was the lone outlier. TCU’s defense has yet to allow 200 yards on the ground, but it gets run on.

Texas will start running and keep feeding the attack.

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What’s Going To Happen

It’s not like Texas has been that good.

It’s been conveniently forgotten – especially by the College Football Playoff committee – that Texas lost to a mediocre Texas Tech and was the last team Oklahoma State was able to score on.

But both of those games were on the road.

Texas doesn’t do anything easily. The defense has been hit-or-miss, and TCU will be able to move the ball however it wants to.

Being at home will matter, though.

TCU has only turned it over multiple times twice all year, and those came in the two Big 12 road games.

It’ll be close throughout with lots of big plays and momentum shifts with Texas getting out of the shootout on a late field goal and defensive stop.

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TCU vs Texas Prediction, Line

Texas 37, TCU 34
Line: Texas -7.5, o/u: 64.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3
TCU vs Texas Must See Rating (out of 5): 4.5
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