Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Mike Evans prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Buccaneers WR Mike Evans, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs will square off in Super Bowl LV on Sunday night at Raymond James Stadium. Below, we look at Mike Evans’ Super Bowl prop bets with picks and predictions.

Mike Evans Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Mike Evans receiving yards: UNDER 64.5 (-115)

Evans has clearly been hampered by a lingering knee injury and has been limited in practice recently. He has only topped 51 yards once in his last four games since injuring his knee in Week 17. In his last two playoff games, he caught a total of four passes for 54 yards.

Even with WR Antonio Brown (knee) uncertain to play, I don’t think Evans will go over 64 yards. Take the UNDER.

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Mike Evans receptions: OVER 4.5 (+100)

Evans was targeted eight times by QB Tom Brady against the Green Bay Packers two weeks ago, so volume isn’t necessarily an issue. He’ll get his share of targets, and I think he’ll catch at least five passes against the Chiefs.

This is a game where the Bucs will be throwing often, and Brady’s options will be limited somewhat by Brown possibly being out. Take the OVER.

Mike Evans to score first TD of game (+1100)

This is more of a long-shot bet, given the odds and improbability. But Evans scored the first touchdown for either team in each of the last two games, and he has a nose for the end zone as a big-bodied receiver.

I like this bet as a flier thanks to Evans’ knack for scoring touchdowns in big games.

Mike Evans longest reception: UNDER 24.5 (-110)

Explosive plays could be tough to come by, especially for Evans. He has had just two receptions longer than 20 yards since Week 17, and with his knee possibly hindering him, he may not be able to win downfield the way he typically does.

Considering I would bet the Under on his receiving yardage total, I’d also go UNDER here.

Mike Evans to record first Buccaneers reception (+400)

While the Bucs have a lot of pass catchers available, this will likely come down to just Evans and WR Chris Godwin, assuming Brown doesn’t play. Godwin is +300, so he’s the favorite, but I like Evans’ chances to get involved early with a quick hitch or curl route on the outside to get QB Tom Brady in a rhythm.

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Also see:

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Travis Kelce prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers tussle in Tampa, Fla., in Super Bowl 55 and it’s time for a deeper dive into some of the myriad of Super Bowl LV player prop bets on the board. In the following paragraphs, we’ve placed some of Chiefs TE Travis Kelce’s Super Bowl prop bets under the microscope, and have come up with some picks and predictions.

Travis Kelce Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:25 a.m. ET.

To score a touchdown: -165

Kelce tied Green Bay Packers TE Robert Tonyan for the league tight end lead with 11 scoring receptions in the regular season. He has added 3 more TDs in two playoff games.

In 12 of the Chiefs’ 18 games this season — Kelce sat out Week 17 along with a number of other staters — he found his way into the end zone at least once and has also done so in five of his last six postseason contests.

So, with a player who has scored in 70.6% of his games this season, we’re rolling with the Over on the markedly lower 62.3% implied probability at -165 that Kelce will hit paydirt Sunday.

Also see:

To score Chiefs’ first touchdown: +350

The unanimous 2020 first-team All-Pro selection has accounted for a healthy 16.7% (35) of the Chiefs’ 209 total touchdowns, including the playoffs, since the start of the 2018 season (the Patrick Mahomes starting era).

That TD percentage jumped to 21.9% (14 of 64) thus far this season, and even though we’re still slightly on the wrong side of the value here with the implied probability of the +350 odds sitting at 22.2%, it’s definitely a wager worth making if you’re looking for a decent shot at better than tripling up your investment.

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Receptions made: OVER 7.5 (-135)

Kelce has 8 or more catches in 11 of 17 games this season, including 8 (on 8 targets) for 82 scoreless yards in the Chiefs’ 27-24 Week 12 win over the Buccaneers in Tampa. He had 8 and 13 catches, respectively, in playoff wins over the Cleveland Browns and Buffalo Bills.

The Bucs, meanwhile, allowed the seventh-most regular-season receptions (86) to tight ends and have surrendered 19 more in their three NFC playoff wins.

A solid nod to the Over here.

Longest reception: UNDER 25.5 yards (-110)

Here’s the rare Kelce prop where the Under looks to be the noticeably better value.

The straight -110 odds implies a 52.4% probability the Under will hit, but Kelce hasn’t had a reception longer than 25 yards in 34 of the 54 games he’s played (63%) since the start of 2018, including 10 of 17 (58.8%) contests this season.

And that’s despite Kelce leading the league (not just tight ends) with 4,546 receiving yards during that span, meaning it’s typically more about quantity than quality big gainers when it comes to Kelce’s receptions.

To be named Super Bowl LV MVPL +1000

Here’s our obligatory longer-shot pick that’s worth a shot.

A tight end has never won MVP honors in 54 prior Super Bowls, and if anyone’s going to do it, why not put some money on the game’s current top tight end in his prime — and clearly one of the position’s all-time greats — to be the first?

If so, a handsome 10-1 payout awaits.

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Chiefs Wire

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Ronald Jones II prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones II, with odds, picks and predictions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones II was on his way to a 1,000-yard rushing season but his 2020 was impeded down the stretch by some bad health luck. This allowed Leonard Fournette to siphon some of Jones’ running back responsibilities but both will have the opportunity to be a workhorse if they come out hot to start Super Bowl 55. Below, we look at Ronald Jones’ Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Ronald Jones II Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:55 a.m. ET.

Rushing yards: UNDER 35.5 (-115)

Since missing Tampa Bay’s wild-card win over the Washington Football Team, Jones returned to run for 62 yards in the divisional round but was on the field for just 28% of the Bucs’ offensive snaps in the NFC Championship.

Jones also played in fewer offensive snaps than Fournette in Week 12 against the Kansas City Chiefs. He had nine carries for 66 yards in that game but 34 yards came on one run so it’s not like Jones consistently gashed the Kansas defense.

Finally, I envision the Chiefs getting up early, as they did in Week 12, and the Bucs having to play catch up. If Tampa Bay is playing from behind, that makes it a lot less likely Jones gets the workload to push him over his rushing yards prop.

Also see:

First rush attempt: OVER 3.5 yards (+110)

My read on this is simple: Jones is much more of a dual-threat than Fournette so opposing defenses line up to guard a pass, which allows Jones’ to run against smaller boxes.

Kansas City might be worried about Jones as a pass-catcher out of the backfield since he caught a 37-yard touchdown pass in the Week 12 Bucs-Chiefs game. Also, Jones has gone over 3.5 yards on his first carry in each of his last five games, a streak that started in Tampa’s Week 12 loss to Kansas City.

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Receiving yards: OVER 2.5 yards (-115)

Granted, we just discussed why Kansas City will probably strategize for Jones catching balls out of the backfield but, this total is just too disrespectful.

Jones was targeted in 13 of his 14 games in 2020, and he caught a ball in 12 of them. Also, the Chiefs’ pass defense is going to have its hands full with Tampa’s elite WR corp so there has to be some check-down opportunities for Jones.

Even if that’s not available, the Chiefs are 27th in running back’s yards per target and quarterbacks have a 105.0 QB rating when throwing against their linebackers.

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Bucs Wire:

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Clyde Edwards-Helaire prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, with odds, picks and predictions.

Kansas City Chiefs RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, the 32nd overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, has had an up-and-down rookie season but heads into Super Bowl 55 as a potential X-factor for the defending champs. Below, we look at Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Also see: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 7:42 p.m. ET.

Receptions made: OVER 2.5 (+105)

No team in the NFL allowed more receptions per game to running backs than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ 6.3. Edwards-Helaire had 36 receptions on 54 targets over 13 games in his rookie regular season, and he made one catch for no gain on two targets in the AFC Championship. He caught his lone target for a 2-yard gain against the Bucs in the head-to-head Week 12 meeting.

CEH has ceded playing time of late to veteran Darrel Williams. Expect head coach Andy Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy to get the prized rookie more involved in the Big Game. He was targeted 29 times and made 21 catches for 177 yards over a five-game stretch from Week 2 through 6.

Rushing + receiving yards: UNDER 46.5 yards (+110)

Edwards-Helaire’s rushing yards line is set at 26.5 and his receiving yards are set at 15.5. There’s inherent value on the Under for his yards from scrimmage at plus-money.

While our other props listed here are in anticipation of a breakthrough game for Edwards-Helaire, this is a good hedge against any number of the other bets placed. The Buccaneers ranked second by ESPN’s Team Run Stop Win Rate in the regular season and the timeshare with Williams could also cut into CEH’s upside in Super Bowl LV.

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Chiefs’ first reception: +750

Edwards-Helaire is just fourth by the odds for this Chiefs team prop, despite having the top positional matchup in the passing game.

Williams could be worth a look at a more profitable +1200, but CEH should be expected to start the team’s opening drive and will have the first opportunity to get involved in the passing game.

Rushing attempts: OVER 7.5 (-165)

The payout here isn’t too exciting with a $10 bet returning a profit of just $6.06 if it hits, but it’s safe and should cash late in the game.

If Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is able to get his team a lead, the offense will quickly shift to the run in an effort to keep the Buccaneers and QB Tom Brady off the field. Edwards-Helaire won’t necessarily need to be having a great game to see at least 8 carries.

Two or more touchdowns: +900

This is one of my favorite of all the Super Bowl 55 prop bets. CEH totaled just 5 just touchdowns in his rookie season, but he had a 2-touchdown game in a 35-31 Chiefs win over the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 11.

He also scored in his return from injury in the AFC Championship to shake off some of the rust.

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Chiefs Wire:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Patrick Mahomes prop bets

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes prop bets, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Chiefs are one win away from repeating as Super Bowl champions, once again led by QB Patrick Mahomes. With Super Bowl prop bets such a fun side-game to the actual Super Bowl odds, we’re focusing this one specifically on the top Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8 p.m. ET.

Patrick Mahomes passing yards: OVER 329.5 (-120)

Mahomes is going to throw it a ton Sunday night. He hasn’t attempted fewer than 30 passes since Week 7 and has topped 318 yards passing in seven of his last 10 games. His passing totals have been lower in the postseason, throwing for at least 300 yards only twice in seven games, but this is a good matchup for him.

In Week 12 against the Bucs, Mahomes threw for 462 yards and three touchdowns. He’s going to eclipse 330 yards in the Super Bowl. Bang the Over (-120)

Patrick Mahomes passing TDs: UNDER 2.5 (+110)

It seems foolish to bet that Mahomes will finish with fewer than three touchdown passes against a team that he shredded earlier this season. However, he only had three-plus touchdown passes in seven of his 17 games played this season.

I like the value that comes with betting the Under here at +110 because, although Mahomes will put up big yardage numbers, he could have touchdowns poached by the Chiefs’ running game … or he could rush one in himself.

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Patrick Mahomes interceptions: OVER 0.5 (+145)

Mahomes only has two career interceptions in the postseason, both of which were in last year’s Super Bowl. His interception rate the last two seasons was 1.0%, leading the NFL in 2020. But the Buccaneers’ cornerbacks have good hands and Mahomes could make a mistake or two in this one. It’s just a matter of the Bucs capitalizing on those errors.

Take the Over because the Bucs’ defense will be aggressive and, after all, no one is perfect – not even Mahomes.

Also see:

Patrick Mahomes longest completion: OVER 39.5 (-115)

The Chiefs are as good as any team at creating big plays. Since November, Mahomes has seven passes that went for at least 39 yards. The 39.5 projection is a big number, but never underestimate the speed and explosiveness of WR Tyreek Hill, TE Travis Kelce and WR Mecole Hardman.

Bet the Over. The Bucs will be good for one busted coverage in this one.

Patrick Mahomes rushing yards: OVER 19.5 (-105)

In nine of his 17 games played this season, Mahomes rushed for at least 20 yards. He’s usually a solid bet to have at least one run of 10-plus yards and with the way the Bucs rush the passer, he’ll be forced out of the pocket often.

When he does escape the pressure, he’ll use his legs to create plays on the ground. The turf toe didn’t seem to bother him against the Bills, even though he only rushed for 5 yards, but he’ll go Over 20 yards rushing.

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Also see:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Leonard Fournette prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Leonard Fournette, with odds, picks and predictions.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Leonard Fournette took some time to adjust to his new surroundings this season after being released by the Jacksonville Jaguars prior to Week 1. The former No. 4 draft pick now known as ‘Playoff Lenny’ has emerged as a regular contributor en route to Super Bowl 55. Below, we look at Leonard Fournette’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Leonard Fournette Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6 p.m. ET.

Rushing yards: OVER 50.5 (+100)

Fournette has taken over the lead duties from teammate Ronald Jones II. He has started six straight games and has totaled 211 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns in the Buccaneers’ three playoff contests.

Expect the timeshare to be more evenly split than it was in the NFC Championship when Jones went for just 16 yards on 10 carries, but both backs could top 50 yards as the Bucs lean on the run game to control the clock in Super Bowl 55.

Also see:

First rush attempt: OVER 3.5 yards (+115)

Fournette averaged just 3.78 yards per carry in the regular season but that number has skyrocketed to 4.40 in the playoffs with 12 or more attempts in all three games.

The threat of play action with QB Tom Brady should keep the defensive attention off the running game early and should allow Fournette to find some early holes.

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Receptions made: OVER 3.5 (-112)

The passing game is where Fournette really found a groove late in the season and through the NFC playoffs. He has 14 receptions through three road postseason games on a total of 17 targets.

Look for Brady to target both running backs more often in the passing game in an effort to control the clock instead of looking deep to WRs Mike EvansChris Godwin or Antonio Brown.

Buccaneers’ first reception: +650

This follows suit of the above pick and brings with it a nice plus-money payout with a $10 bet potentially returning a profit of $65 early in the game.

The Chiefs allowed 5.4 receptions per game to running backs. We’re already expecting Fournette to be on the field on the Bucs’ first drive, and he’s a good bet while sharing just the fourth-best odds among Tampa Bay pass-catchers.

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Bucs Wire:

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Tom Brady prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in the Super Bowl for the first time since winning Super Bowl XXXVII at the end of the 2002 NFL season. A large part of the credit goes to QB Tom Brady, who led the Bucs to an 11-5 regular-season record and three straight road playoff wins in his first season in Tampa, Fla. Below, we look at Tom Brady’s Super Bowl prop bets with  NFL picks and predictions.

Tom Brady Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Passing yards: UNDER 300.5 (-112)

Brady averaged 289.6 passing yards per game in the regular season. It was his highest per game average since the 2016 season when he threw for 296.2 yards per game with the New England Patriots.

The key for the Buccaneers to win Super Bowl 55 will be to keep the Kansas City Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes off the field. Doing this will require extended drives, which would also limit trips up and down the field for the Bucs offense. Back the UNDER 300.5 (-112) as it’s likely the result the Bucs want to see themselves.

Also see: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Longest passing completion: UNDER 38.5 (+100)

The Bucs offense is full of big-play pass-catchers, including WRs Mike EvansChris Godwin and Antonio Brown. Brady also connected with little-used WR Scotty Miller for a 39-yard touchdown in the NFC Championship.

Still, the Bucs will be hesitant to attempt these types of quick-strike scores against the Chiefs as part of their aforementioned strategy. Take the UNDER 38.5 (+100) at even-money. It’ll likely be late in the game before they’re tempted to try.

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Player to throw first touchdown pass: +105

This should essentially be a coin flip between Brady and Mahomes, but Mahomes is favored at -120 with many other players also listed.

Take the plus-money of BRADY (+105).

Passing touchdowns: 3 (+260)

The Over/Under for Super Bowl LV is set at 56.5, with the Buccaneers having an implied point total of 26.5.

The Bucs had 42 team passing touchdowns and just 16 rushing touchdowns in the regular season. Brady has thrown for another 7 scores in the postseason with RB Leonard Fournette running for 2 scores and Brady adding a touchdown on the ground. Points will need to come via the passing attack against the Chiefs, especially if Kansas City builds an early lead.

Anytime touchdown: +550

Brady rushed for 3 touchdowns in the regular season and has already added a rushing score in the postseason.

The 43-year-old has looked rejuvenated in his first season with Tampa Bay, and he’s a good bet to keep it himself near the goal line instead of risking a handoff to Fournette or RB Ronald Jones II.

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Bucs Wire:

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How to watch 2021 Super Bowl: Time, date, live stream, odds and more for Super Bowl 55

How to watch Super Bowl 55, including streaming information, game date and time and Super Bowl LV betting odds

Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., hosts Super Bowl 55 between the hometown Tampa Bay Buccaneers and defending champion Kansas City Chiefs Sunday, Feb. 7, with a 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Even though the game is being played in the Bucs’ home stadium, the Chiefs will be the official home team of Super Bowl LV. SportsbookWire looks at the info you need to know on how to watch Super Bowl LV between the Chiefs and Buccaneers.

Who is playing in the 2021 Super Bowl?

The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet in Super Bowl LV.

The Chiefs went 14-2 in the 2020 regular season and earned the AFC ‘s No. 1 seed and a first-round bye. They then beat the Cleveland Browns 22-17 in the AFC Divisional Round and the Buffalo Bills 38-24 in the AFC Championship.

The Buccaneers went 11-5 en route to a second-place finish in the NFC South and a fifth-place finish in the conference. They beat the Washington Football Team 31-23 in the NFC Wild Card Round, then upset the New Orleans Saints 30-20 in the NFC Divisional Round before topping the Green Bay Packers 31-26 in the NFC Championship.

Where is Super Bowl LV?

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla.

The Super Bowl was last played in Tampa in 2009 when the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Arizona Cardinals 27-23 in Super Bowl XLIII.

Also see: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Super Bowl LV odds, picks and prediction

When is Super Bowl LV?

The 2021 Super Bowl takes place Sunday, Feb. 7.

What time does Super Bowl LV start?

Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (3:30 p.m. PT).

Who is the Super Bowl favorite?

The Kansas City Chiefs are the Super Bowl favorite and are favored to win by 3.5 points.

What is the Super Bowl money line?

The Chiefs (-175) have an implied win probability of 63.64% in Super Bowl LV. The Buccaneers (+150) have an implied win probability of 40% for the 2021 Super Bowl.

What is the spread for Super Bowl 55?

Kansas City will need to win by 4 or more points in order to cover the spread. Tampa Bay covers the spread by winning outright or by staying within 3 points in a loss.

What is the over/under for Super Bowl 55?

The Super Bowl total points is set at 56.5 points.

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Tuesday at 4 p.m. ET. 

Where can I bet online on the Big Game?

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How to watch the 2021 Super Bowl

Watch Super Bowl 55 on CBS. Check your local listings.

Where can I stream Super Bowl 55?

Stream the Super Bowl on the CBS Sports app, CBSSports.com, FuboTV, YouTube TV, Sling TV, Hulu with Live TV or AT&T TV.

Who’s performing at halftime of Super Bowl LV?

Canadian singer and songwriter The Weeknd will be performing the 2021 Super Bowl halftime show.

Country singer Eric Church and R&B singer Jazmine Sullivan will sing the national anthem.

Get some action on the Big Game by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

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How to watch 2021 Super Bowl: Time, date, live stream, odds and more for Super Bowl 55

How to watch Super Bowl 55, including streaming information, game date and time and Super Bowl LV betting odds

Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., hosts Super Bowl 55 between the hometown Tampa Bay Buccaneers and defending champion Kansas City Chiefs Sunday, Feb. 7, with a 6:30 p.m. ET kickoff. Even though the game is being played in the Bucs’ home stadium, the Chiefs will be the official home team of Super Bowl LV. SportsbookWire looks at the info you need to know on how to watch Super Bowl LV between the Chiefs and Buccaneers.

Who is playing in the 2021 Super Bowl?

The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet in Super Bowl LV.

The Chiefs went 14-2 in the 2020 regular season and earned the AFC ‘s No. 1 seed and a first-round bye. They then beat the Cleveland Browns 22-17 in the AFC Divisional Round and the Buffalo Bills 38-24 in the AFC Championship.

The Buccaneers went 11-5 en route to a second-place finish in the NFC South and a fifth-place finish in the conference. They beat the Washington Football Team 31-23 in the NFC Wild Card Round, then upset the New Orleans Saints 30-20 in the NFC Divisional Round before topping the Green Bay Packers 31-26 in the NFC Championship.

Where is Super Bowl LV?

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla.

The Super Bowl was last played in Tampa in 2009 when the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Arizona Cardinals 27-23 in Super Bowl XLIII.

Also see: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Super Bowl LV odds, picks and prediction

When is Super Bowl LV?

The 2021 Super Bowl takes place Sunday, Feb. 7.

What time does Super Bowl LV start?

Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (3:30 p.m. PT).

Who is the Super Bowl favorite?

The Kansas City Chiefs are the Super Bowl favorite and are favored to win by 3.5 points.

What is the Super Bowl money line?

The Chiefs (-175) have an implied win probability of 63.64% in Super Bowl LV. The Buccaneers (+150) have an implied win probability of 40% for the 2021 Super Bowl.

What is the spread for Super Bowl 55?

Kansas City will need to win by 4 or more points in order to cover the spread. Tampa Bay covers the spread by winning outright or by staying within 3 points in a loss.

What is the over/under for Super Bowl 55?

The Super Bowl total points is set at 56.5 points.

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Tuesday at 4 p.m. ET. 

Where can I bet online on the Big Game?

Special Betting Promotion! BET $1, WIN $100 (in free bets) if the team you bet on in the Big Game wins. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV.

Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! New customer offer; terms and conditions apply. Bet on the Big Game now!

How to watch the 2021 Super Bowl

Watch Super Bowl 55 on CBS. Check your local listings.

Where can I stream Super Bowl 55?

Stream the Super Bowl on the CBS Sports app, CBSSports.com, FuboTV, YouTube TV, Sling TV, Hulu with Live TV or AT&T TV.

Who’s performing at halftime of Super Bowl LV?

Canadian singer and songwriter The Weeknd will be performing the 2021 Super Bowl halftime show.

Country singer Eric Church and R&B singer Jazmine Sullivan will sing the national anthem.

Get some action on the Big Game by signing up and betting at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Kansas City Chiefs-Tampa Bay Buccaneers Super Bowl 55 odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs meet in Super Bowl 55 with kickoff set for Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. Though the Bucs are the first team to ever play in a Super Bowl in their home stadium, the Chiefs will be the official home team as the representatives of the AFC. Below, we preview the Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Super Bowl LV odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Super Bowl odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Chiefs -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Buccaneers +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Chiefs -3.5 (-105) | Buccaneers +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Special Betting Promotion!

BET $1, WIN $100 (in free bets) if the team you bet on in the Big Game wins. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on the Big Game now!

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Game notes

  • The Chiefs are attempting to win back-to-back Super Bowls after topping the San Francisco 49ers 31-20 last year.
  • Kansas City went 14-2 in the 2020 regular season and got past the Cleveland Browns (22-17) and Buffalo Bills (38-24) in the AFC playoffs.
  • The Buccaneers are in The Big Game for the first time since winning Super Bowl XXXVII 48-21 against the Oakland Raiders. They’re in the playoffs for the first time since the 2007 campaign.
  • Tampa Bay went 11-5 in the regular season and beat the Washington Football Team (31-23), New Orleans Saints (30-20) and Green Bay Packers (31-26) in the NFC playoffs.
  • Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, the MVP of Super Bowl LIV, completed 66.3% of his passes for 4,740 yards and 38 touchdowns against just 6 interceptions in 15 regular-season games. He has thrown for 4 TDs with zero interceptions in two playoff games.
  • Buccaneers QB Tom Brady, a six-time Super Bowl champ who’s in his first season with Tampa Bay, passed for 4,633 yards and 40 touchdowns with 12 picks in the regular season. He threw for 860 yards with 7 TDs and 3 INTs in three playoff games.
  • The Chiefs and Bucs met at Raymond James Stadium in Week 12 with KC winning 27-24. Mahomes threw for 462 yards and 3 touchdowns – all to WR Tyreek Hill. Brady went 27-for-41 for 345 yards with 3 TDs and 2 picks.
  • Kansas City was a 1.5-point favorite against San Francisco in Super Bowl LIV. The game played to the Under on a projected total of 52.5 points.
  • The Bucs defense ranked seventh in the NFL with 5.1 yards allowed per play. The Chiefs were 16th with 5.6 yards allowed per play.
  • KC was 16th with 30:14 of possession per game; Tampa Bay was 21st at 28:58.
  • The Buccaneers were plus-8 in the turnover margin, while the Chiefs were plus-6 with fewer takeaways and giveaways.

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Key injuries

Chiefs

  • OT Eric Fisher (Achilles) out
  • RB Le’Veon Bell (knee) questionable
  • CB Rashad Fenton (foot) questionable
  • LB Willie Gay (ankle) out
  • WR Sammy Watkins (calf) questionable
  • WR Demarcus Robinson (COVID-19 protocols) questionable
  • Daniel Kilgore (COVID-19 protocols) questionable

Buccaneers

  • WR Antonio Brown (knee) doubtful
  • LB Lavonte David (hamstring) questionable
  • Jordan Whitehead (shoulder, knee) doubtful
  • Antoine Winfield Jr. (ankle) questionable

Special NFL Betting Offer

BET $1 on Buccaneers money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if Tom Brady throws a TD pass against the Chiefs. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on Bucs now!

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Super Bowl LV Prediction and Picks

Prediction

Chiefs 33, Buccaneers 28

Super Bowl money line (?)

Brady is widely considered the greatest quarterback of all time, but a head-to-head win by Mahomes and a second straight Super Bowl for the Chiefs would leave that conversation open.

What Tampa Bay does best on defense is eliminate the run game. Against Kansas City, that only puts the ball in Mahomes’ hands more often. He also has the mobility and athleticism to evade Tampa Bay’s pass rush, which ranked fifth by ESPN’s Team Pass Rush Win Rate.

Take the CHIEFS (-175) to go back-to-back and win Super Bowl 55.

New to sports betting? As the Super Bowl LV favorite, you’d need to bet $175 at -175 odds on the Chiefs to win in order to profit $100. -175 represents a 63.64% implied odds of winning, or 4/7 fractional odds.

Also see: Super Bowl Prop Bets

Super Bowl against the spread (?)

The Buccaneers’ best hope in Super Bowl 55 is to keep Mahomes and the Chiefs offense off the field. They’ll look to feed RBs Ronald Jones II and Leonard Fournette as often as possible.

Brady also has plenty of receiving weapons capable of working the clock via the passing game, but it will all be for naught against Mahomes, head coach Andy Reid and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy. If the Chiefs are able to get a lead, they’ll then turn to rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire to drain the clock and keep Brady away from an attempted comeback.

Back KANSAS CITY -3.5 (-105) to win by at least 4 points.

If you’re new to sports betting, in order for a bet on the Chiefs ATS to cash, they need to win by at least 4 points. If they win by three or less, it would be a losing bet slip.

Super Bowl Over/Under (?)

As mentioned, the Chiefs fell shy of the projected line in last year’s championship game, though that was mostly the fault of the 49ers.

Expect a high-flying aerial attack in perfect conditions in Tampa, Fla. We’re backing the Chiefs to win, so we’re also expecting Mahomes to be at his best.

Take the OVER 56.5 (-110) with Brady and the Bucs doing more to contribute to the total than bettors received from the Niners last year.

If you are new to sports betting, betting the Over would require both teams to combine for at least 57 points for an Over bet to win.

Want action on the Big Game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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