Jim ‘Mattress Mack’ McIngvale places largest wager, $3.4 million, on Super Bowl 55

Another huge bet has been placed on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers heading into Super Bowl LV

Mattress Mack is hoping the Kansas City Chiefs don’t burn him and his wallet in two consecutive Super Bowls.

The big-money gambler – Jim McIngvale, owner of the Gallery Furniture chain – flew from Texas to Colorado late Wednesday night to wager $3.5 million on the Buccaneers to cover +3.5 against the Chiefs.

“We’re in the game,” McIngvale told USA TODAY Sports by phone Thursday.

According to screenshots provided by McIngvale, the bet is split two ways: one at $3,388,136.54 to win $6,064,764.41 another at $47,863.46 to win $85,675.59. If Tampa Bay covers, McIngale would win $6,150,440.

It’s the biggest bet placed on the Super Bowl this year, according to the Action Network. Another bettor placed $2.3 million, also on Buccaneers +3.5, at BetMGM.

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As usual, McIngvale is running a refund promotion around the game’s outcome, similar to what he did during the Houston Astros’ postseason runs in recent years. In 2019, McIngvale bet a $3.5 million future on the Astros to win the World Series, which they lost to the Washington Nationals in seven games, as a hedge.

If the Buccaneers win, customers who spent $3,000 or more at Furniture Gallery on a mattress will get a refund.

Also see: 

“It’s very exciting,” McIngvale said. “The reason I did the promotion is because there is so much buzz on this game because of Brady and Mahomes. Everybody has an opinion. The customers love it.”

McIngvale worked until about 10 p.m. Thursday, boarded a plane from his native Texas and landed in Colorado Springs around midnight, he said. He spent no more than 45 minutes on the ground in Colorado Springs, entering the terminal and heading right back on the plane.

“It was a little cold for a Texas boy,” he said.

Last year, while the stores didn’t offer a Super Bowl promotion, McIngvale lost $1 million per playoff game the Chiefs won on their way to the championship – also a hedge, as the promotion then called for the 49ers to win.

DraftKings’ large handles make it an ideal sportsbook for McIngvale to wager his millions.

“Accommodating and capacity to take a large bet,” he said. “Plus, I’m a huge advertiser, I believe in advertising and their advertising (for the) Super Bowl on Sunday (is) several million bucks so I like people who are marketers.”

Follow Chris Bumbaca on Twitter @BOOMbaca.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2021 Super Bowl odds, picks & prediction

Bet Slippin’ Podcast looks at all the best prop bets for the 2021 Super Bowl as the Kansas City Chiefs face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

SportsbookWire.com‘s Bet Slippin’ Podcast handicaps the 2021 Super Bowl between the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a look at the betting odds and lines for the Big Game. Hosts Geoff Clark and Esten McLaren discuss all their favorite prop bets for Super Bowl 55 between the Chiefs and Bucs. All odds and lines are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Also see:

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2021 Super Bowl topics

Geoff and Esten discuss the Big Game and offer up their favorite prop bet predictions for Super Bowl 55 as they go. Esten’s predicting a strong performance from Buccaneers TE Rob Gronkowski. Geoff likes both Bucs RB Ronald Jones II and Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill to impress; he also keys in on Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes to go back-to-back as Super Bowl MVP.

2021 Super Bowl prop bets

Among the Super Bowl 55 prop bets discussed are:

  • Coin toss
  • First touchdown scorer
  • Longest reception
  • Longest drive
  • First timeout
  • Longest punt

2021 Super Bowl betting strategy

Throughout the episode, Geoff and Esten also discuss some betting strategies for Super Bowl LV. Should bettors be attacking this game any differently than a regular-season game? What are the best ways to maximize profit or hedge?

Like, subscribe, rate and review on your favorite podcasting platform: Google PodcastsSpotify | Apple Podcasts.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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2021 Super Bowl MVP odds, picks and predictions for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers

Looking at the best 2021 Super Bowl MVP prop bets as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers play in Super Bowl LV Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. One of the most alluring Super Bowl prop bets each year is for the MVP. Below, we look at the 2021 Super Bowl MVP odds from BetMGM Sportsbook with picks and predictions.

2021 Super Bowl MVP prop bets: Favorites

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 10:07 a.m. ET.

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (+100)

Mahomes was named the MVP of Super Bowl LIV last February, as he guided the Chiefs to a 31-20 drubbing of the San Francisco 49ers in the Big Game. He was a somewhat controversial selection, as his performance was lackluster by his standards. He went 26-for-42 through the air for 286 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and he added 1 rushing score.

It was a good example of the bias surrounding quarterbacks, especially on the biggest stage. The Chiefs are favored to win Super Bowl 55 and if they succeed voters will need to find a reason to not give the award to Mahomes.

Also see: Bank on these Patrick Mahomes prop bets

Buccaneers QB Tom Brady (+200)

Brady is a four-time Super Bowl MVP from his time with the New England Patriots that includes six Super Bowl titles. The 43-year-old had a resurgent season in his first campaign with the Bucs.

The future Hall of Famer has no shortage of career accolades and voters would love to give him another. If the Bucs pull the Super Bowl upset, Brady’s likely to be the main reason.

Also see: Bank on these Tom Brady prop bets

2021 Super Bowl MVP prop bets: Contender

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (+900)

Though there was no official award, Hill was the clear MVP of the Week 12 meeting between the Bucs and Chiefs. He caught 13 of 15 targets and went for a season-high 269 yards and 3 touchdowns in a 27-24 road win for the Chiefs. Though it’s highly unlikely, a repeat performance would surely make him the eighth wide receiver to be named MVP.

Also see: Bank on these Tyreek Hill prop bets

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2021 Super Bowl MVP prop bets: Long shots

Chiefs S Tyrann Mathieu (+3500)

Though four teams have won back-to-back Super Bowls since, no player has won back-to-back Super Bowl MVPs since Pittsburgh Steelers QB Terry Bradshaw in Super Bowl XIII and XIV. Hedge against a second straight honor for Mahomes by backing KC’s most prominent defender.

Mathieu had five combined tackles and an interception in the Week 12 meeting against the Bucs. Another pick or fumble recovery and a defensive score at a pivotal point in the game could award the Honey Badger.

Check out these Super Bowl LV stories:

Buccaneers DE Jason Pierre-Paul (+8000)

A huge key to the Bucs winning Super Bowl 55 will be pressuring Mahomes, generating sacks and/or turnovers, and getting the Chiefs off the field without points.

JPP led the team with 9.5 sacks in the regular season and was the biggest part of a team pass rush ranked fifth in ESPN’s team pass rush win rate. He’s also one of few Bucs defenders to have played in a Super Bowl, having won SB XLVI with the New York Giants.

New to sports betting? A $100 bet on Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP would return a profit of $100. The same bet on Pierre-Paul would return a profit of $8,000.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Antonio Brown prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Buccaneers WR Antonio Brown, with odds, picks and predictions.

Four-time All-Pro WR Antonio Brown played in just one NFL game in the 2019 season and missed the first half of the 2020 campaign due to a myriad of off-field issues. He’s now set to play in his first Super Bowl since his 2010 rookie season with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Below, we look at Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Antonio Brown’s Super Bowl prop bets with  NFL picks and predictions.

Antonio Brown Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:14 a.m. ET.

Buccaneers’ first touchdown: +700

I followed similar reasoning when backing Bucs TE Rob Gronkowski in this prop as well. Brown is one of the Buccaneers’ most-experienced players in the postseason. Brady could lean on that intangible if the Bucs get into scoring position early in the game and some other players are dealing with big-game jitters.

Also see:

Brown to score and Buccaneers to lose: +290

Along those same lines, who will Brady be looking for late in the game if the Bucs are down by a couple of scores and need some big, quick gains? Brown’s longest catch of the season was a 46-yarder, and he averaged a quality 10.7 yards per reception. Additionally, he caught 45 of his 62 targets and has a 65.9% catch rate for his career.

The sure-handed receiver will be an option late in the game if the Bucs need to work the ball down the sidelines or take a shot at the end zone from outside the Chiefs’ 20-yard line.

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Receiving yards: UNDER 43.5 yards (-115)

Brown had at least 44 receiving yards in six of his 10 games this season, including one of two playoff contests. He missed the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers due to a knee injury and could still be hindered in Super Bowl 55.

The Bucs are likely to try leaning on the run game early on, and that’ll limit the looks Brown and the other receivers get on the first couple of drives.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Bucs Wire:

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Mecole Hardman prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman, with odds, picks and predictions.

Kansas City Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman is one of the most intriguing players from a betting perspective heading into Super Bowl 55 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The second-round pick of the 2019 NFL Draft has flashed his big-play abilities on several primetime occasions in his career, and Super Bowl LV brings with it plenty of interesting betting opportunities for his skillet. Below, we look at Mecole Hardman’s Super Bowl prop bets with  NFL picks and predictions.

Mecole Hardman Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:51 a.m. ET.

First reception OVER 8.5 yards: -130

If Hardman is to catch a pass in Super Bowl 55, there’s a very good chance it’ll be longer than 9 yards. The second-year pro had an average depth of target of 10.6 yards in 16 games this season, and he averaged 7.0 yards after catch per reception.

Of his 41 receptions in the regular season, 7 went for 20 or more yards. If he gets a look early, it’ll likely be in an attempt to catch the Bucs defense napping. Expect Hardman to make a big play when called upon.

Also see:

Hardman to record 100+ receiving yards: +1200

This is a long shot, but that’s what Super Bowl prop bets should be about. With Hardman’s speed and QB Patrick Mahomes‘ right arm, it could take the wideout just a pair of catches to top this number, even though he hasn’t yet this season.

Hardman had a long catch of 49 yards in the regular season. He also had a long of 83 in his rookie season. He had just one two-yard catch in Super Bowl LIV, but the sophomore is now a bigger piece of the offense after catching 15 more passes in his second season.

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Hardman to have the game’s longest reception: +700

Hardman is fifth by the odds for this prop including players from both teams. His skillset should at least have him above Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (+600) and Bucs WR Mike Evans (+450). From there, it’s a toss-up with fellow speed demons in Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (+150) and Bucs WR Chris Godwin (+450).

Take the value on a prop that will be decided on just a single play.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Chiefs Wire:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl LV props: Five best bets to score the game’s first touchdown

Looking at the best bets to score the first touchdown in Super Bowl LV

There’s nothing like getting your Super Bowl wagering Sunday off to profitable start, and a surefire way to do just that is hitting on the game’s first touchdown scorer.

Among the myriad of proposition bets, it remains one of the most popular. So with a winning beginning in mind, here are five candidates to tally the first TD Sunday in Tampa.

We start with two worthwhile favorites, throw in two midrange value plays and finish with a longer shot worth taking.

Best bets for the first Super Bowl touchdown

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Tyreek Hill (+600)

This next-level speed demon tied for third in the league with 17 total touchdowns during the regular season, including a career-high-matching three in the Kansas City Chiefs’ 27-24 Week 12 win in Tampa.

In 50 regular and postseason games since the start of the 2018 season (i.e. the Patrick Mahomes starting era), Hill has found his way into the end zone a whopping 41 times. This includes four rushing scores and a punt-return TD, on 305 total touches, for an average of a TD every 7.4 touches.

Somehow, Hill hasn’t scored on 20 total offensive touches so far this postseason, but expect that to end Sunday. And it could come early – first-TD-of-the-game early.

Leonard Fournette (+1200)

This ballyhooed late-preseason addition only scored three times in his first 10 games with the Bucs but has tallied six TDs in his last six contests, including a score (two rushing, one receiving) in each of the team’s three playoff games so far.

With Ronald Jones’ late-season injury issues, Fournette has assumed the lead role in the Bucs’ backfield and has totaled a team-leading 62 touches this postseason (for 313 total yards) with at least 17 in each game.

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Darrel Williams (+1600)

With rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire and veteran Le’Veon Bell each playing in one playoff game so far due to injuries, Williams has stepped in productively as the Chiefs’ lead running back with 155 total yards and a TD on 31 touches this postseason.

Williams could see a lead workload once again on Super Sunday as CEH was ineffective (7 yards on seven touches) in the AFC title game coming off a high-ankle sprain. Bell is no sure bet to even be active Sunday as he deals with a knee issue.

So, in other words, we could have a second-straight Super Bowl with an unheralded K.C. back with the last name of Williams productively sliding under the radar while the opposing defense focuses its attention on the Chiefs’ top offensive weapons.

Cameron Brate (+3000)

Fellow Bucs tight end Rob Gronkowski has much better odds (+1800) to score the first TD, but it’s been Brate who has had the far-more-productive postseason so far as the team’s third-leading pass-catcher with 11 receptions for 149 yards and a TD to Gronk’s 2-43-0 stat line on seven targets.

Brate owns the 11th-best odds (+250) to score a TD Sunday, making his +3000 odds to score the first touchdown (tied for 16th lowest) a bona fide value.

Tom Brady (+3300)

Of Brady’s 32 career rushing TDs, including four this season and seven in the postseason, surprisingly none have come in his nine previous Super Bowls.

So why not shoot for a lucrative long shot payout by banking on the GOAT to kick off his 10th Big Game by checking off one of the last few things he has yet to accomplish?

Special Tom Brady Betting Promotion: BET $1 on Buccaneers money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if Tom Brady throws a TD pass against the Chiefs. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on the Bucs now!

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Rob Gronkowski prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Rob Gronkowski, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs clash in Super Bowl 55 Sunday evening at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. Bucs TE Rob Gronkowski, who came out of retirement to reunite with QB Tom Brady in Tampa, will look to put the feather in the cap of an excellent comeback season. Below, we look at Rob Gronkowski’s Super Bowl prop bets with  NFL picks and predictions.

Rob Gronkowski Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:15 p.m. ET.

Bucs’ first touchdown scorer: +900

Gronkowski is priced at +1800 to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl 55 and +225 for an anytime touchdown, but I like the sweet spot of the value with the Bucs’ first 6-point score.

The future Hall of Famer has three career touchdown catches in the Super Bowl, all from Brady during their dynastic run with the New England Patriots. Gronk also shared the Bucs’ team lead with 21 red-zone targets this season. Should the Patriots get into the red zone Sunday evening, expect Brady to look for his biggest, most-trustworthy option with most of his other targets playing in their first Super Bowl.

Also see:

Receiving yards: OVER 29.5 (-105)

Sometimes you have to trust the line set by the books, but that’s not the case here. Gronkowski caught 6 of 7 targets for 106 yards in the Week 12 meeting with the Chiefs at Raymond James Stadium. Sure, the Chiefs defense will be tightened up in the Big Game, but Gronk is a big-game player and has the full trust of his legendary quarterback.

It’ll likely take a few catches for him to get to 30 yards Sunday, but that’ll suit the Bucs just fine.

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Receptions made: OVER 2.5 (-105)

Gronkowski has just 2 catches on 7 targets through three playoff games thus far. The Bucs will look to move slowly down the field in order to keep the Chiefs offense off the field in Super Bowl LV, so look for Brady to target Gronk in the center of the field more often to keep the clock running.

Special Tom Brady Betting Promotion: BET $1 on Buccaneers money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if Tom Brady throws a TD pass against the Chiefs. Offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet on the Bucs now!

First reception: UNDER 9.5 yards (-110)

This follows suit of the above pick as Gronkowski should be used to pick up first downs and control the pace of play. His one catch against the Packers in the NFC Championship went for 29 yards, but he had just 10 catches of 20-plus yards in the regular season.

He, and all Bucs pass-catchers, will likely be asked to play conservatively in the center of the field rather than risk going out of bounds and stopping the clock on sideline runs.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Bucs Wire:

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Tyreek Hill prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill, with odds, picks and predictions.

When the Kansas City Chiefs play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the 2021 Super Bowl Sunday evening, at least one player will be hoping for a carbon copy of the Week 12 meeting between the two teams in Tampa, Fla. Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill went for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns in that game as Kansas City won 27-24. Below, we look at Tyreek Hill’s Super Bowl prop bets with  NFL picks and predictions.

Tyreek Hill Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:50 p.m. ET.

First touchdown scorer – 2nd half: +375

Hill is +320 to score the Chiefs’ first touchdown of the game and +600 for Super Bowl 55’s first touchdown. The odds rise for him to score the first TD of the second half, when the game tends to open up a little bit. He’s just -165 for an anytime touchdown, and his +225 odds for 2 or more TDs are the lowest of any player. Play the odds, and take the value.

He was the only player to find the end zone in the third quarter of the Chiefs-Bucs’ Week 12 meeting, doing so on a 20-yard pass from QB Patrick Mahomes.

Also see:

First reception: OVER 11.5 yards (+100)

Hill had an average depth of target of 12.9 yards in the regular season. He also averaged 5.0 yards after the catch per reception and broke 8 tackles.

He averaged 14.7 yards per reception and 9.5 yards per target over 15 games, and he gashed the Bucs for 17.93 yards per target in their Week 12 meeting. Mahomes has other options for conservative check-downs. If he’s using Hill, it’s for a gain of 12 or more yards.

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Receptions made: UNDER 6.5 (+115)

This is one where the averages work against Hill. He had 7 or more receptions in just three of 15 regular-season games, but he had 8 in the divisional round against the Cleveland Browns and 9 against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship. Of course, he also had 13 on 15 targets against the Bucs in Week 12.

Hill’s playmaking and big-play abilities mean he doesn’t need the ball too often to make an impact.

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Player with most receiving yards: +190

Hill is the second option on this prop behind teammate TE Travis Kelce (+175). Take the value with Hill, who can achieve this task with just a few receptions.

Both offenses are loaded with pass-catching threats. Both Mahomes and Bucs QB Tom Brady will likely distribute the wealth and could make this a more manageable accomplishment for each individual option.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Chiefs Wire:

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl LV injury report and practice report

Daily practice report for the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers leading into Super Bowl LV.

With Super Bowl LV quickly approaching, both the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter the game with most of their key players healthy. We’ll be tracking the day-by-day practice reports leading into the official Super Bowl LV Injury Report, which will be released Friday.

Kansas City Chiefs Injury Report

Key: Did not practice (DNP), Limited practice (LP), Full practice (FP)

Player Pos Injury Wed Thu Fri Game Status
Patrick Mahomes QB Toe FP
Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB Ankle/Hip FP
Le’Veon Bell RB Knee LP
Sammy Watkins WR Calf LP
Eric Fisher OT Achilles’ DNP
Mike Remmers OL Groin FP
Andrew Wylie G Ankle FP
Willie Gay LB Knee/Ankle DNP
Rashad Fenton CB Foot FP
L’Jarius Sneed DB Concussion FP

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injury Report

Player Pos Injury Wed Thu Fri Game Status
Mike Evans WR Knee FP
Chris Godwin WR Elbow FP
Antonio Brown WR Knee LP
Lavonte David LB Hamstring LP
Jason Pierre-Paul OLB Knee DNP
Jordan Whitehead S Shoulder LP
Antoine Winfield Jr. S Ankle LP

Also see: 

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Mike Evans prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Buccaneers WR Mike Evans, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs will square off in Super Bowl LV on Sunday night at Raymond James Stadium. Below, we look at Mike Evans’ Super Bowl prop bets with picks and predictions.

Mike Evans Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Mike Evans receiving yards: UNDER 64.5 (-115)

Evans has clearly been hampered by a lingering knee injury and has been limited in practice recently. He has only topped 51 yards once in his last four games since injuring his knee in Week 17. In his last two playoff games, he caught a total of four passes for 54 yards.

Even with WR Antonio Brown (knee) uncertain to play, I don’t think Evans will go over 64 yards. Take the UNDER.

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Mike Evans receptions: OVER 4.5 (+100)

Evans was targeted eight times by QB Tom Brady against the Green Bay Packers two weeks ago, so volume isn’t necessarily an issue. He’ll get his share of targets, and I think he’ll catch at least five passes against the Chiefs.

This is a game where the Bucs will be throwing often, and Brady’s options will be limited somewhat by Brown possibly being out. Take the OVER.

Mike Evans to score first TD of game (+1100)

This is more of a long-shot bet, given the odds and improbability. But Evans scored the first touchdown for either team in each of the last two games, and he has a nose for the end zone as a big-bodied receiver.

I like this bet as a flier thanks to Evans’ knack for scoring touchdowns in big games.

Mike Evans longest reception: UNDER 24.5 (-110)

Explosive plays could be tough to come by, especially for Evans. He has had just two receptions longer than 20 yards since Week 17, and with his knee possibly hindering him, he may not be able to win downfield the way he typically does.

Considering I would bet the Under on his receiving yardage total, I’d also go UNDER here.

Mike Evans to record first Buccaneers reception (+400)

While the Bucs have a lot of pass catchers available, this will likely come down to just Evans and WR Chris Godwin, assuming Brown doesn’t play. Godwin is +300, so he’s the favorite, but I like Evans’ chances to get involved early with a quick hitch or curl route on the outside to get QB Tom Brady in a rhythm.

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