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Fantasy football: Where to draft Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields

Analyzing Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields’ 2023 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields is coming off a breakout season in fantasy football and he carries lofty expectations entering the 2023 season. Fields was the 11th overall pick in the 2021 NFL draft and he’s heading into his 3rd year in the league.

Below, we look at Justin Fields’ 2023 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Fields enters 2023 among the group of dual-threat quarterbacks who are valuable in fantasy football. He’s expected to take a step forward as a passer this season and his rushing ability makes him an enticing player in drafts.

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Justin Fields’ ADP: 41.40

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at the time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Fields has an ADP of 41.40 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the range of the 3rd or 4th round, depending on the size of the league. The 3rd-year quarterback is coming off the board directly after Green Bay Packers RB Aaron Jones (36.98) and Los Angeles Chargers WR Keenan Allen (37.04) and directly ahead of Cleveland Browns WR Amari Cooper (42.54) and Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III (43.07).

Among quarterbacks, Fields’ ADP puts him 7th at the position, behind the likes of Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs, 12.62), Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills, 15.40), Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles, 17.40), Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens, 29.72), Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals, 31.57) and Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers, 36.03).

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Justin Fields’ 2022 stats

Games: 15

Passing yards: 2,242

Completions | attempts: 192 | 318

Passing touchdowns: 17

Interceptions: 11

Carries | rushing yards: 160 | 1,143

Rushing touchdowns: 8

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Where should you draft Fields?

Fields finally gets a true No. 1 WR this season in DJ Moore, who the Bears acquired via trade in the offseason.

Without a talented wide receiver room in 2022, Fields averaged 20.5 fantasy points per game, which was 5th among quarterbacks who played in 2 or more games. The only 4 quarterbacks ahead of Fields were Hurts, Mahomes, Allen and Burrow.

What made Fields such a valuable asset in fantasy football last season was his massive uptick in rushing production. While it’s tough to predict 3 rushing touchdowns of 55 yards or more again, the expectation is for Fields to see a decent increase in his passing numbers with a much-improved skill player group.

Even with Moore and a solid group of pass catchers, Fields should still be used as a weapon in the run game for the Bears. With Fields providing production through the air and on the ground, along with the expectation of him taking a step forward as a passer, he’s worth taking early in the 4th round of drafts.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown

Analyzing Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown’s 2023 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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Philadelphia Eagles WR A.J. Brown comes into the 2023 season as a top player in the NFL.

After being traded to the Eagles by the Tennessee Titans for a 1st-round choice on draft night in 2022, Brown went on to be a major reason for the Eagles participation in the Super Bowl.

Below, we look at A.J. Brown’s 2023 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

In 17 games for the Eagles, Brown caught 88 passes for 1,496 yards and 11 TDs. The 6-foot-1, 227-pound receiver used his size to break tackles as he averaged 17.0 yards per catch over the course of the year.

Brown will look to have another monster season as Philadelphia looks to get back into the Super Bowl in a watered down NFC.

A.J. Brown’s ADP: 17.47

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Brown’s ADP places him as the 5th pick of the 2nd round in a 12-team league and the 12th picked wide receiver overall, one ahead of Dallas Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb (14.59) and just ahead of Las Vegas Raiders Davante Adams (17.52).

While Dallas and Las Vegas should be decent this season, Brown has the best QB of the group in Jalen Hurts, who finished as the 3rd-best QB in fantasy last season, according to Pro Football Reference.com. Hurts (17.40) is currently being taken as a top-20 pick in fantasy drafts.

Brown had a terrific season a year ago, and there’s no reason to believe he can’t do it again in 2023. He is a solid choice for anyone looking to draft a WR at this point of their drafts.

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A.J. Brown’s 2022 stats

Games: 17

Receptions | targets: 88 | 145

Receiving yards: 1,496

Receiving touchdowns: 11

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Where should you draft Brown?

Both Brown and Smith had stellar seasons a year ago with Hurts as QB. While Smith finished ahead of Brown in receptions — 95 catches to 88 — Brown finished with 300 more receiving yards and 4 more TDs (11-7) ahead of Smith.

Both players have high floors. But the connection Brown has with Hurts and his 17.0 yards per catch average compared to 12.6 from Smith give Brown the ceiling of the fantasy WR 1, while Smith will certainly be the WR 2 in Philadelphia.

A mid-2nd round price for Brown is not value, but it’s not being priced at his ceiling.

While some players being taken ahead of him like Miami Dolphins’ Tyreek Hill (8.44) and Lamb have some QB questions, Brown and the Eagles have no such concerns. This makes Brown a broad selection as WR 7, and taking him as high as WR 5 would not be out of hand.

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Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Tampa Bay Rays (80-52) and Miami Marlins (66-65) open up a 2-game set at loanDepot park Tuesday. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rays vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 1-1

The Rays fly south as winners of 8 of 10 games. They are 13-7 over the last 20 games and have pulled within 2 games in the AL East. They still hold a 6-game lead on the top AL Wild Card spot. Tampa is decent on the road at 35-29 and is 25-19 in interleague play.

The Fish are sinking, losers of 7 of 10 and sit 3 games out of an NL Wild Card spot. They lost 2 of 3 to the lowly Washington Nationals over the weekend and had a day off Monday to reset. They are 26-18 in interleague play and 38-29 at home overall.

Rays at Marlins projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. RHP Sandy Alcantara

Civale (6-3, 2.59 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 97 1/3 IP with the Cleveland Guardians and Rays.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 9 K Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies
In 4 starts since coming to Tampa, he’s 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.9 K/9
First career start vs. Miami

Alcantara (6-11, 4.16 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 171 IP.

Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K Wednesday against San Diego Padres
Last 5 starts vs. Rays: 2-2, 2.90 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 30 K in 31 IP

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Rays at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:25 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Marlins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+165) | Marlins +1.5 (-200)
Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Rays at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 3, Rays 1

Moneyline

Alcantara has had a down year, but he’s a much better pitcher at home with a 3.61 ERA and 1.07 WHIP as opposed to a 4.61 ERA and 1.29 WHIP on the road. He has also turned it up in the 2nd half with a 3.02 ERA and 1.08 WHIP as opposed to a 4.72 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in the first half. The Marlins just need to be able to score enough to secure the W.

LEAN MARLINS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

The Marlins are the preferred side here, but not at -200.

PASS.

Over/Under

Tampa is 7-3 O/U over the last 10, and Miami is 3-7. The Over is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs. Alcantara has pitched in 4 of 5 Unders, and Civale has contributed to 3 of 5 Unders. Miami has scored just 15 runs in the last 8 games, and I see this one being a pitchers’ duel.

Take the UNDER 7.5 (-110).

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Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Houston Astros (75-58) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (69-63) on Tuesday at Fenway Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Astros lead 3-2

The Astros defeated the Red Sox 13-5 Monday in the series opener as 2B Jose Altuve and OF Yordan Alvarez both produced 4-hit outings. Houston has won 3 straight games and is now only 1 game behind the Seattle Mariners for the division lead in the AL West and is in possession of an AL Wild Card playoff berth.

The Red Sox were blown out by 8 runs on Monday despite OF Masataka Yoshida tallying 3 hits and OF Adam Duvall hitting a 2-run homer. Boston has lost 3 of its last 4 games and is 5 1/2 games behind the Astros for the final Wild Card spot in the AL.

Astros at Red Sox projected starters

RHP J.P. France vs. RHP Brayan Bello

France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) makes his 19th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 110 1/3 IP.

Last start: Loss, 2 1/3 IP, 10 ER, 11 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 17-1 home loss in his first career start vs. Red Sox Thursday
2023 road stats: 5-2, 1.92 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 11 ER) in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance

Bello (10-7, 3.56 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 126 1/3 IP.

Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 9 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 17-1 road victory opposite France Thursday
Home stats: 4-5, 3.41 ERA (66 IP, 25 ER) in 12 starts
Career vs. Astros: 1-0, 1.17 ERA (7 2/3 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start and 1 relief appearance

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Astros at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Astros +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Red Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-185) | Red Sox -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Astros 5

Moneyline

I’ll take the RED SOX (-125) Tuesday in this rematch of last Thursday’s affair between France and Bello. While it’s improbable to predict a 17-1 lopsided win for the Red Sox again, Bello should lead Boston to another win at home.

Run line/Against the spread

Even though the Astros should keep this game within 2 runs, I’ll PASS on the run line in this contest. Wagering on Houston’s spread isn’t worth the risk at nearly -190 odds.

Over/Under

OVER 10 (-115) is the play in this game as plenty of runs have been scored when the Astros and Red Sox have squared off this season. There have been 18 runs scored in back-to-back games between these clubs and the Over is 5-0 in their first 5 meetings this season.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Philadelphia Eagles WR DeVonta Smith

Analyzing Philadelphia Eagles WR DeVonta Smith’s 2023 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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WR DeVonta Smith has a remarkable 2022 for the Philadelphia Eagles. He led the team in receptions with 95, finishing with 1,196 yards and 7 TDs for the Eagles.

Below, we look at DeVonta Smith’s 2023 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Seen as too slight when coming out of Alabama, the Heisman Trophy winner has shown an ability to play bigger than his 6-foot, 170-pound frame would suggest.

The ascension of Smith directly coincides with not just the ascension of Jalen Hurts at QB. It also has a lot to do with the arrival of A.J. Brown to take over the WR 1 role. This allows Smith to play the WR 2 role, something he is more suited for at his size.

With much of the defense focused on Brown and the running of Hurts, Smith found a perfect fit in this offense. And he exploited it to the fullest in last season.

Coming into 2023, Brown is again back as the WR 1 and with new contract in hand, Hurts is also back. With TE Dallas Goedert looking to return healthy after only playing in 12 games a season ago, he will also get attention from opposing defenses. This will garner Smith even more of a chance to have an 100-reception season.

DeVonta Smith’s ADP: 31.03

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Smith’s ADP places him as the No. 13 wide receiver in fantasy drafts. By the end of the season, it wouldn’t be a surprise if he finishes in the top 10.

Despite being in an elite offense, Smith is 2nd fiddle to Brown, making him more of a forgotten man. Although, getting drafted as the 13 wideout, he is not completely forgotten.

With the ability Hurts showed last season to be a top 3 fantasy QB, Smith’s ADP is not a bad price for someone on one of the best offenses on one of the best teams in the NFL.

With a litany of running backs looking to get work in the Eagles backfield, it is safer to stay away from all of them. Instead, take a sure thing and find your value in the WR position on the team.

Smith provides a lot of value and making him your selection could be a league-winning move.

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DeVonta Smith’s 2022 stats

Games: 17

Receptions | targets: 95 | 136

Receiving yards: 1,196

Receiving touchdowns: 7

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Where should you draft Smith?

While Smith should not be taken ahead of teammate Brown, he should not be far behind.

Smith is on pace to finally break the 100-reception mark in Year 3 of his NFL career. He is also set for an uptick in TD production as opposing defenses will focus more on stopping Brown and Hurts from beating them. Smith is the forgotten man by opponents but not by the Eagles coaching staff.

While Smith’s ADP has him going in the middle of 3rd rounds in 12-team drafts, he should move up into the top-20 selection next season. This could be your last chance to get him at such a low cost.

He would make a great WR 2 for your fantasy team. But if you decide to go RB in the first 2 rounds — like the Tennessee Titans’ Derrick Henry (16.40 ADP) or Atlanta Falcons rookie Bijan Robinson (9.08) — Smith will also make a good WR 1 with the number of receptions he’s expected to catch for Philadelphia.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Minnesota Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson

Analyzing Minnesota Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson’s 2023 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts

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The big question about tight ends in NFL drafts is who will be the second one taken after Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce. Someone who has put himself in that conversation of being the second tight end off the board is Minnesota Vikings big man T.J. Hockenson.

Below, we look at T.J. Hockenson‘s 2023 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

A midseason trade in 2022 brought Hockenson to the Minnesota Vikings and he made an immediate impact. He caught 60 passes for 519 yards and 3 touchdowns in 10 games, a number which would translate to more than 100 receptions over a full season.

T.J. Hockenson’s ADP: 49.77

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Tight ends are clumped together with wide receivers in most leagues. As a result, the demarcation line is very clearly drawn, and distinct is the distance between tight ends being drafted. Hockenson currently finds himself at the front of the 3rd wave — the first to have more than one player close in proximity.

Hockenson is four or five rounds behind Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (8.00) and almost two rounds behind Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews (31.98). He finds two other tight ends closing in on his bronze medal stand – San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle (49.93) and the New York Giants TE Darren Waller (55.60).

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T.J. Hockenson’s 2022 stats

Games: 17

Receptions | targets: 86 | 129

Receiving yards: 914

Receiving touchdowns: 6

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Where should you draft Hockenson?

Hockenson has quietly been battling a contract extension that sidelined him throughout training camp and the preseason, although Minnesota doesn’t play starters in meaningless games. Once the games mean something, Hockenson’s ailments will go away — with or without a long-term deal.

With no new deal, he will be playing for his 2nd contract. That is a ton of incentive. Minnesota’s offense may throw 40-45 times a game by design as head coach Kevin O’Connell installs the offense that made all cylinders click with the Rams. With WR Justin Jefferson demanding double coverage and rookie WR Jordan Addison using his route-running savvy to clear space, Hockenson will find a lot of single coverage with mismatch potential.

If he stays healthy, Hockenson could repeat his 10-game production with the Vikings and catch 100 passes. Where does that put him if he does? Kelce is clearly No. 1. You can make a case for Andrews, Hockenson and Kittle being clumped together as a 2nd tier of their own. In most drafts, Hockenson will be the 4th tight end taken. If he plays the full season, those who have him on their roster won’t be disappointed — especially because the drop-off after him is pronounced.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft New York Giants TE Darren Waller

Analyzing New York Giants TE Darren Waller’s 2023 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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New York Giants TE Darren Waller enters the 2023 season with a renewed sense after spending last season underachieving in Las Vegas on a Raiders team which struggled under coach Josh McDaniel.

Below, we look at Darren Waller’s 2023 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

After just 28 receptions for 388 yards and 3 TDs in only 9 games last year, Waller was traded to the Giants this offseason. Coming onto a team in which there is no true WR 1 candidate, Waller will be the top pass-catching option for QB Daniel Jones to throw to. This will provide Waller with the potential to outkick his draft position in 2023 and make fantasy managers extremely excited to have him on their roster.

Darren Waller’s ADP: 55.60

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Waller’s ADP ranks him as the 5th highest tight end. This is a solid price for a TE. who only played in 9 games in 2022 and is coming to a new team in the Giants. But it could also be a floor play for the 6-foot-6, 255-pound Waller, who was a favorite target for many years in Oakland/Las Vegas.

While injury issues are always a concern for Waller, taking him in the middle of the 5th round in a 12-team league is far less risk than a lot of other players you could draft at this point.

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Darren Waller’s 2022 stats

Games: 9

Receptions | targets: 28 | 43

Receiving yards: 388

Receiving touchdowns: 3

FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
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Where should you draft Waller?

The fantasy stock for Waller is on the rise coming to the Giants. QB Jones releases the ball quicker and has remained far healthier in his career than Jimmy Garoppolo, who Waller would have been pulling in passes from had he not been traded away from Las Vegas.

Waller is also coming to a team in the Giants, who are looking for a dominant pass catcher to take the reins in the offense. With New York WRs Sterling Shepard injured and Darius Slayton more of a deep ball artist, Waller should have an exception season.

Currently the 5th-ranked tight end in ADP, this will be his floor if he remains in good health and can finish 15 games.

After just 28 receptions last season, Waller will make a leap and get to 70+, while also increasing his TD numbers. This will make his draft selection — (currently the 7th pick of the 6th round in 12-team leagues — one of the best values in your draft.

If you miss Kansas City TE Travis Kelce (8.00 ADP) or Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews (31.89), Waller has just as much upside and can be had multiple rounds later. I’d be willing to go into the late 4th round for Waller if needed. You should be willing to do the same.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts

Analyzing Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts’ 2023 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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QB Jalen Hurts entered last season as a Philadelphia Eagles starter on the hot seat. Despite never doing anything to cause such a statement, Philadelphia fans are difficult on the QB position … and this led to the storyline.

Below, we look at Jalen Hurts’ 2023 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Hurts would lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl. He finished with 13 rushing TDs during the regular season, while also successfully getting WRs A.J. Brown (,1496 yards) and DeVonta Smith (1,196 yards) over the 1,000-yard mark.

These were statements for Hurts, and it showed the progression he has made since being the 2nd-round selection for Philadelphia in 2020 from Oklahoma.

Philly fans now love Hurts. After receiving a 5-year, $252 million contract, we know the team loves him. If you draft him this season, you will love him as well.

Jalen Hurts’ ADP: 17.40

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Hurts finished as the 3rd-best QB in fantasy last season, according to Pro Football Reference.com. This is also where his current ADP ranks him for the upcoming season — Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (12.62 ADP) and Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen (15.40) are the top 2.

Going as the 3rd QB, Hurts will find it difficult to outpace Mahomes or Allen to overtake the No. 1 fantasy spot. With Allen expected to reduce his running game and with Mahomes not being a true run threat, the ability for Hurts to get to the No. 1 spot is there … even if it’s a remote chance.

Hurts finished last season with 13 rushing TDs and 760 yards in 15 games. At almost 1 TD and 50.7 rushing yards per game added to his passing totals, the upside for Hurts is enormous heading into the upcoming season.

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Jalen Hurts’ 2022 stats

Games: 15

Passing yards: 3,701

Completions | attempts: 306 | 460

Passing touchdowns: 22

Interceptions: 6

Carries | rushing yards: 165 | 760

Rushing touchdowns: 13

FOOTBALL NEVER STOPS
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Where should you draft Hurts?

Currently going off the board as the 5th pick in the 2nd round in 12-team leagues, Hurts is being drafted far higher this season than most QBs have been in recent years. It seems like the late-round QBs are fading away.

Hurts as QB 3, no matter where you take him, is even value. I do not expect him to finish higher than this, but I also don’t see him finishing outside of the top 5 in the position.

The draft price for Hurts and other elite QBs is what it is at this point. You either need to pay up or wait until late for the likes of the Detroit Lions’ Jared Goff (108.31 ADP) or the Seattle Seahawks’ Geno Smith (88.59). Both benefit you in separate ways. For my money, I would rather take the risk on Hurts in the 2nd round and grab some late-draft dart throws to fill out my roster.

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Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (62-70) and the Minnesota Twins (69-63) play the middle contest of a 3-game set Tuesday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 4-4 after Minnesota’s 10-6 win Monday night

The Guardians fired out to a 4-0 lead in the top of the 2nd inning in Monday’s series opener, but it was all downhill from there. Cleveland coughed up 6 runs in the bottom of the 2nd and was outscored 4-2 from the 3rd frame onward.

Twins 3B Royce Lewis had the big blow in Monday’s win, as he cracked a grand slam for the 2nd consecutive day. He has 3 grand slams in just 50 career MLB games.

Minnesota is now up 7 games on the 2nd-place Guardians in the AL Central and is the only team in the division with a record above .500 and a positive run differential (+51). The Twins improved to 40-27 at home Monday while the Guardians dropped to 29-37 on the road.

Guardians at Twins projected starters

RHP Gavin Williams vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Williams (1-5, 3.52 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.6 K/9 in 64 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 R (5 ER), 8 H, 2 BB and 5 K in 9-3 home loss vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday
2023 road splits: 0-2, 2.05 ERA (22 IP, 5 ER), 1 HR, 1.05 WHIP, .187 opponent batting average (OBA) in 4 starts

Lopez (9-6, 3.69 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 158 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 10 H (3 HR), 1 BB, 4 K in a 7-5 home win vs. the Texas Rangers Thursday
2023 home splits: 4-2, 4.62 ERA (74 IP, 38 ER), 9 HR, 1.22 WHIP, .249 OBA in 12 starts

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Guardians at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Guardians +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Twins -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-145) | Twins -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 7, Guardians 3

Moneyline

The TWINS (-175) are a little close to my personal limit for a singular moneyline play. However, Minnesota is playing good ball lately, and its lead has ballooned to 7 games in the AL Central over the Guardians.

Cleveland had been getting decent pitching, but Minnesota’s bats came alive in the opener for a 10-spot, and Lewis is swinging a red-hot twig right now.

Run line/Against the spread

The TWINS -1.5 (+120) are a decent play at plus money on the run line.

Minnesota covered the run line as a favorite in the series opener, and it has won and covered the run line each of its past 4 games as a favorite dating back to Aug. 20.

Over/Under

OVER 8 (-115) is the lean in the middle game of this set.

The Twins cashed the Over all on their own in Monday’s series opener. The Over is 3-2-1 in the past 6 starts by Lopez. The Over is also 6-2 in his past 8 outings at Target Field, including a 7-6 victory by the Twins on June 1.

Cleveland is looking to cash the Over for a 4th consecutive game Tuesday, which would be the 2nd-longest streak of the season. It had 6 straight Over results from July 16-21.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Los Angeles Angels at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Angels at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Angels (63-69) and Philadelphia Phillies (73-58) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Phillies lead 1-0 after a 6-4 win Monday

The Angels have really been struggling, losing 6 of their last 8 games and going 7-18 since the calendar turned to August.

The Phillies have won 6 of their last 7 games and while they won’t be catching the Atlanta Braves in the NL East, they currently hold a 4-game lead for the top NL Wild Card spot.

Angels at Phillies projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Michael Lorenzen

Anderson (5-5, 5.35 ERA) makes his 22nd start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 through 117 2/3 IP.

Last appearance: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 4 R (1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 5 K in relief in a 9-4 loss at the Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
2023 road stats: 2-3, 5.63 ERA (64 IP, 40 ER) with 7.6 K/9 in 11 starts and 1 relief appearance

Career vs. Phillies: 2-1, 4.66 ERA (29 IP, 15 ER) with 8.1 K/9 in 5 starts, most recently in May 2022

Lorenzen (7-8, 3.69 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 131 2/3 IP for the Phillies and Detroit Tigers.

Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 BB, 4 K in 8-6 loss to San Francisco Giants Wednesday
Boasts a 2.45 ERA (14 2/3 IP, 4 ER) with 9 K and 7 BB in 2 home starts with the Phillies
Tossed a no-hitter in his 2nd start with Philadelphia but has followed it up with 11 runs allowed (10 ER) in 9 IP over his 2 subsequent turns
Career vs. Angels: 0-1, 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER) with 12 K and 1 BB in 1 start and 4 relief appearances
2023 vs. Angels: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 6-0 loss on July 27 as a member of Tigers

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Angels at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Angels +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Phillies -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-145) | Phillies -1.5 (+120)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Angels at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Phillies 6, Angels 4

Moneyline

These teams are headed in opposite directions, as the Angels have collapsed since the trade deadline while the Phillies have been on fire. A small play here makes sense, but the run line looks like a better value, so the recommendation is to SKIP the moneyline.

Run line/Against the spread

The Phillies are 40-25 at home, which is good for 6th best in the league, and they have scored 79 runs in their last 11 games (7.2 per game).

The Angels have scored just 97 runs in their last 29 games (3.3 per game).

Look for the Phillies to win by more than a run and back the PHILLIES -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

Anderson has struggled throughout most of the season and is facing a red-hot Phillies offense in a hitter-friendly park. Lorenzen threw 124 pitches in his no-hitter and hasn’t fared well in his past 2 outings, with a 5/4 K/BB and a total of just 13 swinging strikes. Until we see another good start from him, a shutdown performance can’t be expected. This total should sneak just OVER 9.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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