NFL Picks and Predictions – Page 185

Fantasy football: Where to draft Buffalo Bills WR Khalil Shakir

Analyzing Buffalo Bills WR Khalil Shakir’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

The Buffalo Bills selected WR Khalil Shakir out of Boise State in the 5th-round of the 2022 NFL Draft to give QB Josh Allen yet another weapon. But where should be drafted for fantasy purposes?

Shakir made his preseason debut against the Indianapolis Colts, showing tremendous potential as he made 5 five grabs for 92 yards. It was nothing new to the team and the fans in Western New York as he has been turning heads all throughout the offseason program and in training camp.

Below, we look at Khalil Shakir‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Expectations for Shakir have been ratcheting up over the past month, and as such, he has been inching up the board on draft day for fantasy managers. He appears to be in line for the No. 3 WR job behind Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis.

Khalil Shakir’s ADP: 229.58

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Shakir has an ADP of 229.58 in redraft formats, which means he is only worthy of a late-round flyer in leagues with 12 or more teams. While his ADP is rising teammates Diggs (17.30) and Davis (72.07) are obviously well ahead of him in the pecking order.

His star is certainly rising in keeper league drafts as his ADP (57.10) has him ranked 48th among all wide receivers. The impressive showing against the Colts in his preseason debut will only add to the hype and continue his rise on draft boards.

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Khalil Shakir’s 2021 stats

Games: 12 (at Boise State)

Receptions: 77

Receiving yards: 1,117

Receiving touchdowns: 7

Where should you draft Shakir?

Shakir’s fantasy value really depends upon what type of format you’re playing. If you’re in a redraft league, he is only worth scooping up for depth late on draft day for his potential. However, in keeper leagues and rookie-only drafts, his value is tremendous and on the rise.

Shakir will be playing behind Diggs and Davis, both of whom are expected to eat up a lot of targets and flirt with 1,000 or more yards. However, there is plenty of football to go around with the ultra-productive Allen, and the No. 3 wideout in Buffalo could also help fantasy managers.

It’s not a done deal though. Shakir has competition from wideouts like Jamison Crowder and Isaiah McKenzie. Crowder, in particular, could fill a role similar to the departed Cole Beasley, bumping the rookie Shakir down to No. 4. If that’s the case, he is only worth a look as a depth player. However, if either of the big two suffers an injury then he could be a fantasy stud sooner rather than later.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson

Analyzing Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Perhaps the most polarizing of the elite NFL fantasy football quarterbacks is the Baltimore Ravens’ Lamar Jackson. He changed the way the position was viewed with his ability as a rusher and the massive points he compiled when combining his passing yards and rushing ability.

Below, we look at Lamar Jackson’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Two seasons after winning the MVP when he threw for 36 touchdowns and ran for 1,206 yards and 7 more TDs, Jackson and the Ravens were ravaged by injuries that saw his numbers dip severely to 16 touchdown passes and 2 TD runs in 12 games last season.

Lamar Jackson’s ADP: 39.69

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Jackson’s fantasy value has dropped him to 4th among QBs in 2022 ADP analysis. Buffalo’s Josh Allen is 1st with an astronomical ADP of 17.74, followed by Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes (28.65) and Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers (29.67). Arizona’s Kyler Murray (46.86) and Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow (50.07) are 5th and 6th, respectively.

With the $200 million question being when will the Ravens and Jackson agree to a long-term extension – it’s coming because Jackson has a 37-12 record as a starter and you don’t ignore that sort of success – will it impact his fantasy value if he isn’t re-signed before the start of the season and starts making in-game “business decisions.”

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Lamar Jackson’s 2021 stats

Games: 12

Passing yards: 2,882

Completions | attempts: 246 | 382

Passing touchdowns: 16

Interceptions: 13

Carries | rushing yards: 133 | 767

Rushing touchdowns: 2

Where should you draft Jackson?

There have been two schools of thought on Jackson over the last couple of seasons because he has depended too much on his legs to do damage than as a pure passer – despite having a cannon for an arm.

You can’t set a value for 2022 based on his 2021 season. The Ravens were as gutted by injuries as any team in the league, including Jackson missing 5 games. While 2021 was the first time Jackson missed an extended period of time, he has never played every game in a season and with his reckless running style, the potential of taking a big hit that sidelines him is always a possibility.

Once again, the Ravens don’t have much in the way of depth at wide receiver, having traded away Marquise Brown to Arizona in the offseason. Jackson will likely be forced to be just as dominant running the ball as throwing it. The Ravens are going to run a lot by design and, to date, that has always included a steady diet of Jackson taking advantage of his lightning quick speed. If he ever stops being such a threat on the ground, his value will drop. At some point, it’s going to happen, the only question is when?

Jackson is the most dangerous QB in the league in terms of the ability to create explosive plays, but he is too dependent on his rushing ability to be counted on to play every week. His ADP slotting is pretty much spot on, but whoever takes Jackson as their QB1 will likely be quicker to grab a QB2 than other fantasy league owners drafting QBs immediately before and after him.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Miami Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle

Analyzing Miami Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

There was a time when it was felt a wide receiver needed 3 years to become a dominant impact player. In recent years that has dropped to 1 or 2 years and Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle is the latest manifestation of that.

As a rookie in 2021, Waddle immediately became the No. 1 target for QB Tua Tagovailoa. He broke the NFL rookie record held by former Cardinals receiver Anquan Boldin for receptions, catching 104 passes for 1,015 yards and 6 touchdowns – proving to be Tagovailoa’s security blanket more times than not, catching 74.3 percent of passes thrown his way.

Below, we look at Jaylen Waddle’s fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

With the arrival of dynamic Tyreek Hill, the roles of Dolphins receivers are expected to change, but Waddle’s value hasn’t taken a big hit as to where he has been going in early fantasy drafts.

Jaylen Waddle’s ADP: 45.87

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Despite the arrival of Hill, Waddle’s stock hasn’t taken a significant dip. His ADP lands him as a 4th or 5th round fantasy selection (depending on how many teams are in the league) and a high- to mid-WR2 prospect.

Waddle is ranked slightly behind Carolina WR D.J. Moore, who has an ADP of 43.91. A group of several wideouts aren’t far behind: Pittsburgh’s Diontae Johnson (49.69), Washington’s Terry McLaurin (49.82), the Los Angeles Chargers’ Mike Williams (51.70) and Seattle’s D.K. Metcalf (52.41). With the exception of Williams, all receivers in this group have a change at quarterback, which should impact their fantasy value.

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Jaylen Waddle’s 2021 stats

Games: 16

Receptions | targets: 104 | 140

Receiving yards: 1,015

Receiving touchdowns: 6

Where should you draft Waddle?

Waddle’s ranking isn’t out of line with the type of production he should have – although some will question whether Tagovailoa can help produce a pair of top-15 wide receivers (and a top-10 to top-12 tight end).

The key factor when considering Waddle is his most troubling fantasy stat. To get to 1,000 yards he needed more than 100 receptions (a 9.8 yard average). Waddle was running crossing routes, taking bubble screens and catching quick slant passes in traffic that typically led to a short gain. His production was meant to move the chains, not necessarily impact the scoreboard.

His value is in his volume, especially in PPR leagues. A season ago, Waddle would draw an opponent’s top cornerback and if a receiver was doubled with dropping linebacker or sliding safety help, it came his way. With Hill now in the picture, it’s Hill that is going to be garnering the No. 1 corner, and safeties will have to respect his ability to win 1-on-1 matchups and help out.

The result will be Waddle not only getting more single coverage off the line, but he will more often get the No. 2 cornerback covering him 1-on-1.

His reception numbers will likely take a mild hit with the arrival of Hill, but given how coverage on him will change, the chance for more chunk plays will offset the expectation of fewer receptions, allowing him to retain his fantasy value.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft New York Jets TE C.J. Uzomah

Analyzing New York Jets TE C.J. Uzomah’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

The New York Jets signed former Cincinnati Bengals TE C.J. Uzomah to a 3-year, $24 million dollar deal this offseason. With $15 million guaranteed from that deal, he is expected to have a large role in the new-look offense.

Uzomah is an excellent pass catcher and a big-time red-zone threat, but he is also a strong blocking tight end. He’ll pair with rookie TE Jeremy Ruckert and fellow free-agent addition TE Tyler Conklin to really energize a position that has been devoid of talent for a long time in New York.

Below, we look at C.J. Uzomah‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Uzomah is a player who has been rather durable over his career, playing 16 games in 3 of his last 4 seasons. He was limited to just 2 games due to a torn Achilles’ tendon in 2020 but bounced back nicely in 2021 with 49 grabs, 493 yards and 5 touchdowns — all career bests.

C.J. Uzomah’s ADP: 234.11

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Uzomah has been drafted very low in most leagues, but he can be a very solid TE2 fantasy option in standard formats, especially in those rewarding points per reception (PPR), although his production could take a hit as he downgrades from Bengals QB Joe Burrow to Jets 2nd-year QB Zach Wilson.

Ruckert (57.25) has a rather high ADP in keeper leagues, and even Conklin (131.40) is ahead of Uzomah in that format.

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C.J. Uzomah’s 2021 stats

Games: 16 (with Bengals)

Receptions | targets: 49 | 63

Receiving yards: 493

Receiving touchdowns: 5

Where should you draft Uzomah?

Uzomah isn’t a top-flight TE fantasy option capable of carrying a team like Kansas City Chiefs Travis Kelce (15.45), Baltimore Ravens Mark Andrews (23.23) or even Atlanta Falcons Kyle Pitts (33.49), but he can be a serviceable option for fantasy teams when the matchup is favorable or when your primary option has a bye week or difficult matchup. Play him accordingly.

In redraft formats, he is only worth scooping up in the final rounds in leagues of 12 or more teams. He is likely a player who will be started in just a handful of games by fantasy managers, and Ruckert’s role is likely to grow as the season goes on and he gets more acclimated to NFL life.

Ruckert’s emergence will cut into Uzomah’s effectiveness, although his snaps are likely to remain steady due to his blocking ability. Of course, snaps and blocking do not make fantasy managers happy, catches and touchdowns do.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Buffalo Bills RB James Cook

Analyzing Buffalo Bills RB James Cook’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

The Buffalo Bills selected Georgia RB James Cook in the 2nd round (63rd overall) of the 2022 NFL Draft, giving the Bills yet another impressive skill position player.

The Bills rested starters in the preseason opener against the Indianapolis Colts Aug. 13, but Cook wasn’t terribly impressive in his pro debut. He managed just 5 rushing yards on 3 carries (1.7 yards per carry) and caught 1 pass for 5 yards.

Below, we look at James Cook’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Cook is looking to rise up the depth chart, vying for the backup job to RB Devin Singletary, the presumed starter. But the rookie will have to leapfrog RB Zack Moss, as well as veteran RB Duke Johnson, so it will be uphill climb for the second rounder.

James Cook’s ADP: 101.49

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Cook’s ADP puts him squarely in the neighborhood of rounds 9-10 in fantasy leagues of 12 or more teams. His ADP has been rising, and he has the 3rd-highest ADP among rookie running backs, behind New York Jets RB Breece Hall (43.62) and Seattle Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III (86.08).

In keeper league drafts, Cook has risen significantly, and his ADP is 37.08, putting him in the back end of the 3rd round or early 4th round (depending on how many teams are in your league), just ahead of Green Bay RB AJ Dillon (37.30) and Tampa Bay RB Rachaad White (38.39).

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James Cook’s 2021 stats

Games: 15 (at Georgia)

Carries | rushing yards: 113 | 728

Rushing touchdowns: 7

Receptions | receiving yards: 27 | 284

Receiving touchdowns: 4

Where should you draft Cook?

Cook has tremendous potential, and the Bills certainly think so after nabbing the lead back of the NCAA national champs in the 2nd round. The rookie should be able to help the Bills in 2022, although he has plenty of company in the running backs room, and that’s a bit disconcerting.

Cook is unlikely to jump over the incumbent starter Singletary, but it’s not hard to fathom the former UGA Bulldog leaping over Moss. The former standout at Utah has been unable to stay healthy for long stretches, and Cook has a very similar skill set. In fact, Cook is very good catching the ball out of the backfield, and he could carve himself out a nice role as the 3rd-down back sooner rather than later.

In keeper formats, Cook has a lot of upside, and that’s why he isn’t lasting past the 4th round. However, in redraft leagues, it would be wise to tread lightly. While the trend in recent seasons has been to rely a little more heavily on rookies earlier than the past, it’s still good practice to go with the tried and true over unproven rookies, limiting your roster to one, maybe two, 1st-year players at best.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft New York Jets RB Breece Hall

Analyzing New York Jets RB Breece Hall’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

The New York Jets selected Iowa State RB Breece Hall in the 2nd round (36th overall) of the 2022 NFL Draft, making him the 1st running back taken overall.

The former Cyclones product saw his 1st action as a pro in a preseason game at Philadelphia Aug. 12, and he managed 5 carries for 15 yards. He made a cameo in the game, and despite the rather pedestrian numbers, expectations are sky-high for the top tailback in the ’22 draft.

Below, we look at Breece Hall’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Hall is listed atop the depth chart for Gang Green. His biggest competition is RB Michael Carter, veteran RB Tevin Coleman and RB Ty Johnson. That’s not exactly super stiff competition, so Hall is expected to see a lion’s share of the carries in 2022.

Breece Hall’s ADP: 43.62

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Hall has an ADP of 43.62 in redraft formats, so you can expect him to go off the board around the 4th round depending on the number of teams in your league.

Hall has the highest ADP of all rookie running backs. He is 20th among all tailbacks, making him a borderline low-end RB2 or top RB3 in most formats.

In keeper formats, Hall checks in 10th with an ADP of 13.97, as fantasy managers are planning on the Cyclones product to be a cornerstone of the Jets for years to come.

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Breece Hall’s 2021 stats

Games: 12 (at Iowa State)

Carries | rushing yards: 253 | 1,472

Rushing touchdowns: 20

Receptions | receiving yards: 36 | 302

Receiving touchdowns: 3

Where should you draft Hall?

Hall has amazing upside, but he still will be playing for the Jets in a super-competitive AFC East. It is expected that he will not only win the starting job for head coach Robert Saleh, but that he will be the bell cow, as he not only can carry the mail, but he has great hands out of the backfield.

Hall should be an all-down back, although the veteran Coleman could see time as the 3rd-down back since he is also a viable option catching balls out of the backfield.

I see Hall as a bona fide RB2 in all fantasy formats to start. He handled a heavy workload in Iowa State, and appeared to get stronger as the season went on. While it’s never good practice to load up on a ton of rookies in fantasy leagues, Hall is not a bad guy to hitch your wagon to, regardless of format.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox

Analyzing Buffalo Bills TE Dawson Knox’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

The Buffalo Bills pass offense has been one of the most electric in the NFL the last 2 seasons with QB Josh Allen being an MVP candidate. Although tight end Dawson Knox hasn’t received the type of consistently high-target counts elite tight ends routinely receive, he has become one of the most dangerous red zone tight ends in the league.

Below, we look at Dawson Knox’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Knox emerged in his 3rd season as a key piece in Buffalo’s offense. In his first 2 seasons (27 games), he caught 52 passes for 676 yards and 5 touchdowns – the kind of numbers that keep you on the fantasy waiver wire. Last season, in 15 games, he caught 49 passes for 587 and 9 TDs – the kind of production that not only keeps you on fantasy rosters, but keeps you in starting lineups.

Dawson Knox’s ADP: 104.45

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Once you get past the top handful of tight ends, the ADP numbers get more widely spread apart among fantasy TEs. Knox is still viewed as a low-end TE1 (about 10th among tight ends), finding his ADP numbers behind Zach Ertz (Arizona Cardinals) at 99.50 and a round or more ahead of Mike Gesicki (Miami Dolphins) at 112.89 and Pat Freiermuth (Pittsburgh Steelers) at 120.45.

There doesn’t seem to be much of an argument that Knox is clearly slotted in his position as a low-end TE1 and should be drafted accordingly by fantasy owners who hold off in locking in a tight end to their rosters.

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Dawson Knox’s 2021 stats

Games: 15

Receptions | targets: 49 | 71

Receiving yards: 587

Receiving touchdowns: 9

Where should you draft Knox?

There have been many tight ends over the years that have made their fantasy careers by being touchdown scorers in close – Green Bay’s Robert Tonyan and Knox being the most recent. There is an inherent danger in that because, when they don’t score, averaging just 3 or 4 receptions a game for 40 or so yards doesn’t cut it.

Knox emerged as a 3-down tight end last season – he was on the field for 87 percent of Buffalo’s offensive snaps – so there is the potential that his target share will increase, but expecting 9 TDs again this season is asking a lot.

The hope is that an increase in opportunities to get more receptions and yards make him a strong fantasy tight end for those who didn’t jump early to lock down one of the top guys. Paired up with another tight end, he can be a matchup-based fantasy play that can provide solid, consistent production.

The great quarterbacks find a way to get their top receivers paid and Allen will do what he can to get that done for Knox this season. Given Knox’s mid-level ADP number, those who took Allen early will have the opportunity to double down and pair him with Knox.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill

Analyzing Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill’s2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

One of the most interesting players in the fantasy football world this season – and the subject of the most speculation on his draft value – is Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill.

Hill thrived when paired with QB Patrick Mahomes in Kansas City and the question now becomes “who made who?” Blessed with the most electrifying speed of any NFL wide receiver, Hill was a deep threat every play he lined up.

But last season, it seemed as though he became a much more complete receiver in terms of his route tree. His average per catch (11.2 yards) was almost 4 yards lower than his career average, but he shattered his single-season high with 111 receptions, along with 1,239 yards and 9 touchdowns increasing his value in PPR leagues.

Below, we look at Tyreek Hill’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

After scoring 43 receiving touchdowns in his last 60 games with the Chiefs, Hill comes to a Miami offense led by QB Tua Tagovailoa, WR Jaylen Waddle and TE Mike Gesicki. Nobody doubts the talent of the “big 3” receivers. It’s Tagovailoa that remains the big question mark.

Tyreek Hill’s ADP: 26.17

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

If Hill was still in Kansas City, he would be a lock to be in the top 3 or 4 fantasy wide receivers. As it stands, he’s still a WR1 clocking in at No. 8 or 9 on most draft analyst boards, largely because of the uncertainty that surrounds Tagovailoa.

Hill’s ADP finds him slightly behind Deebo Samuel (San Francisco 49ers) at 20.79 and ahead of Mike Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) at 30.52 and Keenan Allen (Los Angles Chargers) at 32.80.

His ADP lands Hill in the middle of the 3rd round in 10-player fantasy formats – the lowest he has been ranked since 2018.

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Tyreek Hill’s 2021 stats

Games: 17

Receptions | targets: 111 | 159

Receiving yards: 1,239

Receiving touchdowns: 9

Where should you draft Hill?

Drafting Hill is always done on the premise that on any given week, he can provide the massive points that elite receivers are capable of doing – 7 or 8 receptions for more than 100 yards and the potential for a couple touchdowns. Few players are capable of posting 100 yards with just 2 or 3 receptions, but that’s the kind of lethal talent Hill possesses.

I’m in lock step with those who have devalued Hill slightly because of his move to a quarterback with far less pure talent, the ability to read defenses and to extend plays like Mahomes did in Kansas City. For Hill to succeed in Miami, the Dolphins offensive line is going to be critical to provide Hill the time needed to run deep routes.

Hill is clearly a WR1 in any league, but his value starts to climb at the turn of the 2nd and 3rd round of drafts because there will be more down weeks if defenses choose to double up on Hill and force Tagovailoa to beat them.

Hill will have his share of huge weeks, but they won’t come with the same regularity as they did in Kansas City.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary

Analyzing Buffalo Bills RB Devin Singletary’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Last season it appeared as though the Buffalo Bills seemed ready to clear the decks of both of their running back tandem in Devin Singletary and Zack Moss because neither took over the featured role for an extended period. However, down the stretch last season, Singletary had the best streak of his career, scoring 9 touchdowns in Buffalo’s final 6 games before falling in the playoffs.

Below, we look at Devin Singletary’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

The Bills still didn’t seem content with Singletary – as he enters the final year of his rookie contract – and they selected James Cook out of Georgia in the 2nd round of the NFL Draft. If Singletary is to have a long career in Buffalo, he will need to prove it this season.

Devin Singletary’s ADP: 81.14

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Singletary has an ADP that puts him in the low 20s of fantasy running backs in the RB3 category and an 8th- or 9th-round fantasy selection depending on the number of teams in the league.

He is clumped in a group of tightly packed ADP backs like Miles Sanders (Philadelphia Eagles) at 82.25 and Damien Harris (New England Patriots) at 82.96. The most glaring difference between Singletary and those other 2 tailbacks is that Singletary plays for a pass-first team, while the Eagles and Patriots depend much more on their ground game to succeed.

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Devin Singletary’s 2021 stats

Games: 17

Carries | rushing yards: 188 | 870

Rushing touchdowns: 7

Receptions | receiving yards: 40 | 228

Receiving touchdowns: 1

Where should you draft Singletary?

To answer the question posed above, the answer may be “don’t draft him unless he’s too big a bargain.” I would take either Sanders or Harris before I draft Singletary.

Although the Bills back averaged 4.6 yards a carry last season, Singletary has never been a workhorse (2021 was his most productive season and he only averaged 11 carries a game) and it was only because Moss struggled that he got the chance to be the featured back late in the season. Singletary is going to be in a timeshare once again, but this time with the rookie Cook – who has a much better ADP value at 101.49.

Singletary isn’t respected enough to take Cook as a handcuff. Your best bet is to take someone like Harris or Sanders as an RB3 and Cook as an RB4 because of his upside as a receiver and the potential to get more touches as the season goes along, which will likely leave Singletary on the fantasy bench more often as the season rolls on.

While I always give respect to players entering the final year of their rookie deals because of the magnitude that season will have on his future, the bottom line is Buffalo QB Josh Allen and the passing game are the stars of this team and Bills running backs have been proved replaceable in recent years.

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Fantasy football: Where to draft Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

Analyzing Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 2022 fantasy football ADP and where you should target him in your drafts.

Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown enters the 2022 season after a surprising rookie season. He was a huge positive for the Lions in what was a tough season to find bright spots for a Detroit team that finished 3-13-1 last season.

There’s hope the 2022 season will bring more luck to the Lions than last season, and their solid offseason, enhancing both sides of the ball, suggests it will.

Below, we look at Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

On 119 targets, St. brown finished with 90 receptions, which is about a 76% catch rate. For the Lions last season, that’s terrific. The 2021 4th-round pick had 910 receiving yards with 5 touchdowns during his rookie campaign.

Amon-Ra St. Brown’s ADP: 62.46

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

St. Brown has an ADP of 63.71. Detroit didn’t place too high in the ADP rankings as the only other Lion ranked above St. Brown is RB D’Andre Swift, who has an ADP of 17.45.

Among wide receivers, St. Brown’s ADP puts him 25th at the position, behind the likes of JuJu Smith-Schuster (Kansas City Chiefs) and Michael Thomas (New Orleans Saints) and slightly ahead of Adam Thielen (Minnesota Vikings) and Chris Godwin (Tampa Bay Buccaneers).

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Amon-Ra St. Brown’s 2021 stats

Games: 17

Receptions | targets: 90 | 119

Receiving yards: 912

Receiving touchdowns: 5

Where should you draft St. Brown?

St. Brown’s fantasy value should get a boost this year for a myriad of reasons. Experience is simply one of them. He’ll be entering his 2nd season in the league.

The 2nd year of the QB Jared Goff-coach Dan Campbell relationship is another. The 1st-round additions of Alabama star WR Jameson Williams and Michigan star DE Aidan Hutchinson is a 3rd.

The Lions should be better than a 3-win team and those extended possessions should aid St. Brown’s fantasy value. St. Brown finished as the 21st-highest scoring receiver in PPR formats and should see similar success this upcoming season.

Don’t let St. Brown fall out of the 6th-round in PPR formats and certainly feel free to reach into the late-5th round to secure the rising star.

St. Brown could see 100 catches and 1,000-plus yards and has the potential to be a top-10 fantasy receiver. I would pay a premium for the 22-year-old receiver.

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