The Boston Red Sox (48-44) wrap up their 3-game series with the New York Yankees (63-28) Sunday at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
N.Y. hammered Boston 14-1 Saturday to even this series after the Red Sox won the series opener 5-4 in extra innings Friday.
Yankees RF Matt Carpenter slugged 2 home runs with 7 RBIs Saturday and CF Aaron Judge also went yard twice and had 3 RBIs.
Season series: N.Y. lead 5-4 and the Yankees have a plus-16 run differential.
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Red Sox at Yankees projected starters
LHP Chris Sale vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Sale (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start of the year Sunday after being sidelined with a rib injury since February.
- Last start: No-decision in Boston’s 3-2 loss Tuesday at the Tampa Bay Rays with 5-scoreless IP, 3 H, 1 BB and 5 K.
- Career at Yankee Stadium: 2-5 with a 3.71 ERA (63 IP, 26 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 9 HR and 11.0 K/9 in 10 starts and 1 bullpen outing.
Cole is 8-2 with a 3.05 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 through 106 1/3 IP over 18 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in N.Y.’s 4-3 home loss to the Cincinnati Reds Tuesday with 7-scoreless IP, 4 H, 1 BB and 11 K.
- 2022 vs. the Red Sox: 1-0 with a 7.20 ERA (10 IP, 8 ER), 9 H, 3 HR, 4 BB and 10 K in 2 starts.
Red Sox at Yankees odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Red Sox +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Yankees -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)
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Red Sox at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 8, Red Sox 4
Money line
PASS.
We are getting to the party late on the Yankees (-210) who’ve been steamed from a -195 opener up to the current number according to Pregame.com.
The Yankees are 36-12 straight up (SU) as home favorites and 20-8 SU vs. left-handed starters. The Red Sox are just 13-17 SU as road underdogs, 32-37 SU vs. right-handed starters and 4-8 SU vs. the Yankees when Sale gets the start.
However, I’ll opt for N.Y.’s RL instead.
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN YANKEES -1.5 (+102) because the Red Sox are 2-10 RL vs. the Yankees with Sale on the mound and a minus-60.6% return on investment.
That said, it’s only a LEAN to the YANKEES -1.5 (+102) because they are just only 12-16 RL vs. left-handed starters whereas the Red Sox are 38-31 RL vs. right-handed starters and 20-10 RL as road underdogs.
Over/Under
BET 0.75 units on the OVER 8.5 (+100) because both starters struggle against Sunday’s opponent, the Yankees are 5-1-1 O/U in Cole’s career in N.Y. vs. Boston and the Over has cashed in 6 consecutive Red Sox-Yankees meetings.
My hesitation with the OVER 8.5 (+100) is the market is hammering the Over but the Under 8.5 (-125) is the more expensive side of the total, indicating it’s the “sharper” play.
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