Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Hawks (0-2) face the Milwaukee Bucks (1-0) Sunday. Tip-off from Fiserv Forum is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Hawks vs. Bucks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting of 2023; split last season’s series 2-2

Atlanta has struggled to start the season, going 0-2 and having been outscored 242-230 through 2 games. Two-time All-Star G Trae Young is averaging 20.5 points and 10.5 assists per game thus far but has struggled shooting. Young has shot 22.9% from the field and 21.4% from 3.

Milwaukee opened its season with a 118-117 win over the Philadelphia 76ers Thursday, failing to cover as a 6-point home favorite. Seven-time All-Star G Damian Lillard scored 39 points in his Bucks debut while shooting 17-17 from the stripe. Two-time MVP F Giannis Antetokounmpo slightly struggled in the win despite posting 23 points and 12 rebounds. Antetokounmpo shot only 10-21 from the field and had a +/- of -13 in his 35 minutes.

Hawks at Bucks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hawks +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Bucks -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hawks +6.5 (-110) | Bucks -6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 238.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hawks at Bucks key injuries

Hawks

  • G/F Wessley Matthews (calf) out

Bucks

  • G/F Khris Middleton (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Hawks at Bucks picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 125, Hawks 115

Moneyline

PASS.

Milwaukee should win this game with the way Atlanta has played to start the season, but a -300 favorite is not worth the risk of betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET BUCKS -6.5 (-110).

Neither Young nor 2022 All-Star G Dejounte Murray have played well to start the season, and if that continues, the Bucks should pick up the easy win. But, if Young and Murray both show up, I still expect a loss as Antetokounmpo and Lillard have the better supporting cast and are the more talented duo. Lillard was great in the win vs. Philadelphia, but both he and Giannis can make improvements from that game, and if they do, I don’t see the Hawks standing a chance.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 238.5 (-110).

Even with bad play from its 2 best players, Atlanta has still put up 110 points or more in each of its 2 losses. Lillard was really the only big scorer for Milwaukee on its opening night, and the Bucks still put up 118. Both of these teams can score at all 3 levels, and if both duos come to play, this game should smash the Over number of 238.5.

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