Arkansas State at Air Force odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Arkansas State at Air Force odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-4) and Air Force Falcons (6-4) tussle Friday in Colorado Springs. Tip-off at Clune Arena is slated for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Arkansas State vs. Air Force odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Arkansas State is coming off a 72-67 loss at Central Arkansas Tuesday. Youthful ASU had a season-low 4 treys in the defeat and has dropped all 3 of its 3 road games.

The Falcons are 6-4 against the spread and are coming off their 2nd-largest ATS margin of the season. Air Force trounced South Dakota 79-58 Tuesday as a 4-point favorite, in part by swatting 7 shots and holding the Coyotes to a 36.8% mark from the field. Air Force has blocked 4.7 shots per game, which ranks 45th in NCAA-I.

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Arkansas State at Air Force odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Arkansas State +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Air Force -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Arkansas State +5.5 (-105) | Air Force -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 120.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Arkansas State at Air Force picks and predictions

Prediction

Air Force 62, Arkansas State 55

Moneyline

Air Force (-260) is probably the right side in this game but the line is too steep.

PASS.

Against the spread

Look for Air Force to leverage an advantage in 3s and free throws in winning this one by about 6-8 points. Recent game results probably needed to go the opposite way — with the Falcon losing a couple out of their last 3 at home perhaps — for this tag to be around Air Force -4.5 or -5.

As priced, the Falcons don’t offer enough value.

PASS.

Over/Under

Seven straight ASU games have hit the Under, and both these teams play at a bottom-quartile pace. Possessions will be tamped down, deliberate and rarely extended by 2nd looks off rebounds.

Turnovers (both teams can be quite loose in that regard) and Air Force triples are a threat to the low total here. But the number is high enough for some wiggle room — and value — underneath.

BACK THE UNDER 120.5 (-105).

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