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The Arizona Diamondbacks (11-13) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (10-13) Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Cards walked it off Monday night as 2B Nolan Gorman hit a 2-run shot to win it 5-3. We cashed 2 of 3 bets here as RHP Lance Lynn fell short of the 16.5-out threshold with 5 innings. He allowed 3 runs over 7 hits and 3 walks while fanning 7 in an uneconomical 5 innings. Arizona led 3-0 after 5 innings as 3B Eugenio Suarez went 3 for 4 with 2 RBIs. D-Backs RHP Brandon Pfaadt actually had a perfect game going until the 6th.
The Cards struck for 2 in the 6th, and 1B Paul Goldschmidt ended a 20-game drought with a homer in the 7th to tie it. Gorman entered the game as a defensive substitution in the 8th, and he took the first pitch he saw 425 feet into the right field stands to end an 0-for-19 slump in the 9th. The Cards’ pen threw 4 shutout innings in the W.
Diamondbacks at Cardinals projected starters
LHP Tommy Henry vs. LHP Steven Matz
Henry (0-1, 6.87 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.80 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 over 18 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K last Tuesday against Chicago Cubs
- 1 career start vs. Cards: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K Aug. 19, 2022
Matz (1-1, 3.60 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 20 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K Wednesday against Oakland A’s
- Last 5 starts vs. Arizona: 2-1, 2.15 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 23 K in 29 1/3 IP
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Diamondbacks at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Diamondbacks at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 4, Cardinals 3
Moneyline
Henry has been the tale of 2 tapes thus far. In 2 home starts, he has yet to go 5 IP and allowed 5 ER. In 2 road starts, in Colorado and Atlanta mind you, he went 5 and allowed 2 ER in each. The Cards are 3-1 against left-handers this season, but Henry is the kind of lefty that predominately gives St. Louis trouble. Matz has given up 9 runs (6 earned) in his last 2 starts, and Arizona gets to him.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS +115.
Run line/Against the spread
I’m foregoing the spread here and zoning in on Henry. We mentioned his drastic home/road splits, albeit in a small sample size. He has a 9.9 K/9 in 2 road starts as opposed to 7.6 at home. He struck out 7 Cards over 5 1/3 IP in his only start against them.
Take TOMMY HENRY OVER 4.5 STRIKEOUTS (+110).
Upon logging into BetMGM, there was a 33% MLB Odds Boost, which makes this a beefy +146.
Over/Under
The Under 8.5 prevailed Monday. The Over is now 3-6-1 for Arizona in its last 10, and St. Louis is 3-7. It’s slated to be 60 degrees with a light 6-mph gust swirling out to right-center.
We said this was dicey Monday, and it’s dicey again Tuesday. But take the value and LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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