The Arizona Diamondbacks (22-57) continue their six-game road trip with the first of three games against the St. Louis Cardinals (37-41) Monday evening. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET at Busch Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jake Faria is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 0-0 with 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 5 K over 4 IP spanning three relief appearances.
This will be Faria’s first start of the year and first in the majors since 2018 when he played for the Tampa Bay Rays.
LHP Wade LeBlanc is the projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 over 13 1/3 IP spanning 10 appearances, including one start.
Since signing with the Cardinals June 17, LeBlanc has come out of the bullpen four times. He has 14 career games, including 10 starts, against the Diamondbacks. He is 3-3 with a 4.18 ERA against them.
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Diamondbacks at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Diamondbacks +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Cardinals -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140) | Cardinals -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Prediction
Cardinals 6, Diamondbacks 5
Money line (ML)
The Diamondbacks have lost 25 of their last 26 games on the road and have only four wins in their last 39 games. Their 10 road victories are the second-fewest in MLB.
The Cardinals lost eight of their last 10 games and three of four during their current homestand.
Because of Arizona’s consistent struggles over the last month and a half, I LEAN CARDINALS (-165).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Diamondbacks covered the spread in five of their last seven games, including two of the three games on the road against the San Diego Padres. However, they still have one of the lowest road cover percentages in all of baseball at 41.9%.
The Cardinals are 38-40 ATS on the season and 18-20 ATS at home. They covered the spread in one of their last six games.
I don’t necessarily trust Arizona to keep it close, but it is the uncertainty of two starters making their first starts for their respective teams that makes me think this game will go back and forth.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-140).
Over/Under (O/U)
Over 55% of Diamondbacks games this season have gone Over the projected total. All three games in their series against the Padres and 11 of their last 16 games hit the Over.
Cardinals games have gone Over the projected total 51.4% of the time this season but only 44.1% of their games at Busch Stadium have done so.
Take OVER 9 (+100).
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