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The No. 3 Texas Longhorns (10-1, 6-1 SEC) visit the No. 19 Texas A&M Aggies (8-3, 5-2 SEC) on Saturday in the latest edition of this storied in-state rivalry. Kickoff from Kyle Field in College Station is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas vs. Texas A&M odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
This final-week matchup of ranked teams in the US LBM Coaches Poll also will determine who will face No. 6 Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. These long-time foes reunite on the field after A&M left thr Bg 12 for the SEC in 2012 and the Longhorns followed them last offseason.
Texas leads the all-time series 76-37-5. They last played in 2011, with Texas winning 27-25 on the road.
QB Quinn Ewers is expected to suit up despite sustaining an ankle injury during a 31-14 win over the Kentucky Wildcats last week. The Longhorns’ offense has lagged since his Week 7 return after a 2-game injury absence.
Still, the unit has done enough to rattle off a 4-game win streak since losing to Georgia — especially since Texas boasts the nation’s third-ranked scoring defense (12.1 PPG).
The Aggies’ quadruple-overtime 43-41 loss last week to the Auburn Tigers dealt a huge blow to their chances at an at-large College Football Playoff berth. However, they remain a threat to sneak into the conference championship matchup with an upset.
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Texas at Texas A&M odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 12:43 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Texas A&M +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas -5.5 (-110) | Texas A&M +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Texas at Texas A&M picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas 27, Texas A&M 23
Moneyline
Texas’ defensive advantage should be the tipping point, though the -225 vig factors that in.
Find more advantageous ways to back a Longhorns win.
PASS.
Against the spread
Betting A&M to hang with the talented Texas defense probably reads as risky on paper, but the run game could be the way forward for the home team.
Expect A&M to ride its ground game with QB Marcel Reed and RB Amari Daniels, who’s filled in well with RB Le’Veon Moss (leg) out for the season.
BET TEXAS A&M +5.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Aggies’ middling defense should get Ewers and the Longhorns right on the offensive side.
While the value isn’t incredible, I lean toward the schools topping the total. Texas A&M is 4-1 on the Over over its past 5 games and 7-4 on the year, so expect the home team to keep pace.
BET OVER 48.5 (-105).
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