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The Baltimore Orioles (68-47) and Toronto Blue Jays (52-62) conclude a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 7-5
The Orioles won 7-3 on Wednesday behind 2 HRs from RF Anthony Santander and 2B Jackson Holliday‘s 3rd HR since getting recalled a week ago. It was Baltimore’s 3rd victory in its last 4 games. The Orioles are 34-22 on the road and 61-53 against the spread (ATS).
The Blue Jays have allowed the Orioles to scored 5.5 runs per game over their 12 meetings this season. The Blue Jays are 27-29 at home and 54-59 ATS.
Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Dean Kremer vs. RHP Kevin Gausman
Kremer (4-8, 4.39 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 80 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-4 loss at the Cleveland Guardians Friday
- 2024 road splits: 3-4, 4.42 ERA (57 IP, 18 R (17 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 3-3, 4.35 (51 2/3 IP, 27 R (25 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 10 games
- 2023 vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 1.56 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 3 starts
Gausman (9-8, 4.56 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 124 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 R (4 ER), 8 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 8-5 victory at Yankees Friday
- 2024 home splits: 3-5, 6.39 ERA (62 IP, 46 R (44 ER), 1.52 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 11 starts
- Last start vs Orioles: Loss, 6 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 7-2 home loss June 3
- Career vs. Orioles: 1-4, 5.35 (33 2/3 IP, 22 R (20 ER), 1.39 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 in 6 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Orioles at Blue Jays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Blue Jays -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Orioles -1.5 (+130) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
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Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
BET ORIOLES (-116).
Gausman got his start in Baltimore, but has not fared well against the Orioles since leaving. He is 0-3 in his last 4 starts against the Orioles, allowing over 3 runs per game against them. He has also allowed at least 3 runs in each of his last 8 home starts.
The Blue Jays are floundering. They’re in last place in the AL East, 15½ games back of the Orioles and Yankees, and 11 games back in the Wild Card race.
This is Kremer’s first start against the Blue Jays in 2024 but he owned them in 2023. In 17 1/3 IP against Toronto last year, he allowed just 3 ER. I trust the Orioles offense to give him the run support he’ll need to get this victory.
PASS.
I’m going to keep my wager to the moneyline.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-122).
The trends still lie in our favor for the Over. The Over has hit in 5 of their last 7 meetings. The Orioles have been Over in 8 of their last 10 games while the Blue Jays have been Over in 7 of their last 10.
The Over has hit in 4 of Kremer’s last 5 starts, the Over has hit in Gausman’s last 4 starts. There is just too much to ignore. OVER 8.5 (-122) is the way to go.
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