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The Houston Rockets (38-37) welcome the Golden State Warriors (41-34) to the Toyota Center Thursday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Rockets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Warriors lead 2-0
The Warriors have won both of the season series, but are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). Golden State won 106-95 in the Oct. 29 matchup in Houston, covering as a 7-point favorite.
The Rockets lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 113-106 Tuesday, covering as a 7.5-point road underdog. Their 11-game winning streak was snapped on Sunday and they have now lost 2 in a row. Houston has failed to cover 2 of its last 3 and is 43-31-1 ATS on the season.
This is a huge game as the Warriors sit 10th in the Western Conference and the Rockets sit 11th. Golden State has won 5 in a row and is coming off a 104-100 home victory over the Dallas Mavericks Tuesday, covering as a 1-point favorite. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 and are 40-33-2 ATS on the season.
Warriors at Rockets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:52 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -180 (bet $180 to win $100) | Rockets +152 (bet $100 to win $152)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -4 (-110) | Rockets +4 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 227 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Warriors at Rockets key injuries
Warriors
- F Jonathan Kuminga (knee) questionable
- G Gary Payton II (ankle) probable
Rockets
- Not yet submitted
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Warriors at Rockets picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 116, Rockets 109
Moneyline
PASS.
Golden State has a veteran team and knows it needs to win this game; however, at -180, it isn’t worth backing on the moneyline.
Against the spread
BET WARRIORS -4 (-110).
The Rockets have lost 2 in a row and have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3. Houston’s win streak was primarily against non-playoff teams. In its last 3 games against contending teams, it is 1-2 with that lone win having been in overtime.
The Warriors have won 5 straight games, 4 of which have been on the road and 2 of which have been against strong Eastern Conference opponents in Orlando and Miami. Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 and 7-5 ATS in its last 12.
With F Draymond Green playing at a high level again, expect the Warriors to start clicking as the playoffs near. Take WARRIORS -4 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 227 (-110).
The Warriors have gone Under in 5 of their last 7 games, and behind players like Green and G Klay Thompson, they have had a perennially good defense. The Warriors have allowed 100 or fewer points in 4 of their last 5 games.
The Rockets have gone Under in 2 of their last 5 games, but have tallied 107 or fewer in 3 straight games and have immensely cooled off since scoring 127 or more in 3 straight games from March 16-21.
Given Golden State’s ceiling defensively and the Rockets recent offensive struggles, back UNDER 227 (-110).
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