Hogs given 53% chance to beat LSU in Wednesday’s Bud Walton finale

A little…surprising? LSU won the first meeting by 21 points.

Unpredictable.

Even with everything that has gone wrong with the Arkansas basketball team this season, that word is probably apt in describing the Razorbacks’ season.

After a week that saw Arkansas lose at home to 13th-place Vanderbilt, the Hogs turned around and played one of their best games of the season Saturday at Kentucky. They still lost, but considering the Wildcats’ status as a potential national champion, the only left to be desired, really, was the win.

It’s also a word – unpredictable – that describes what the computers think of the Hogs, too, which is why it’s hard to figure out why Arkansas was given a 53% chance to beat LSU on Wednesday in Razorbacks’ home finale at Bud Walton Arena.

Arkansas has only a 3-5 record in SEC play in front of its home fans this year. LSU has three more conference wins overall and has won four of its last five games in a better-than-expected season for the Bayou Bengals. LSU also beat Arkansas by 21 points when the teams met earlier this year in Baton Rouge.

To the computers, home still counts for something, apparently. To the fans? It will be interesting to see the crowd that shows for the most disappointing Arkansas season in more than a decade.