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The No. 23 Utah State Aggies (23-5, 11-4 MWC) welcome the Air Force Falcons (9-18, 2-13) to Dee Glen Smith Spectrum Friday. Tip is set for 11 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Air Force vs. Utah State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Utah State, No. 23 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, is coming off a 77-73 overtime road win against the Fresno State Bulldogs Tuesday, failing to cover as a 10.5-point favorite. The Aggies are 13-11-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season but just 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7. They have, however, covered 2 straight at home and are 8-3 ATS at home overall.
Air Force lost to the Boise State Broncos 79-48 Tuesday, failing to cover as a 11.5-point underdog. The Falcons are 8-19 ATS on the season and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games, losing 2 of their last 3 games by 29 or more points. The Falcons are led by F Rytis Petraitis, who averages 15.2 points per game.
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Air Force at Utah State odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:56 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Air Force +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Utah State -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Air Force +17.5 (-118) | Utah State -17.5 (-104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
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Air Force at Utah State picks and predictions
Prediction
Utah State 82, Air Force 62
Moneyline
PASS.
The Aggies (-3000) are far too expensive to take on the moneyline. Avoid this one at all costs.
Against the spread
BET UTAH STATE -17.5 (-104).
The Aggies beat 19th-ranked San Diego State by 5 and Boise State by 19 in their last 2 home games. Utah State is 5-4-1 ATS in its last 10 games and has covered 4 of its last 5 at home. The Aggies have 2 (F Great Osobor and G Mason Falslev) of their top 4 players shooting better than 56% from the field, so the consistency is there for them to score and win big.
As mentioned, Air Force lost at home by 31 to Boise State, the team Utah State beat by 19 at home. The Falcons have failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games as underdogs of 9 points or more.
Expect Air Force to again struggle. TAKE UTAH STATE -16.5 (-120).
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 137.5 (-106).
If there’s something that both teams have consistently done, it is hit the Over. The Aggies are 15-10-1 O/U on the season and have scored at least 77 in 3 of their last 5 games. They, again, have the scoring to consistently put the ball in the bucket.
Three of the Falcons’ top 4 scorers shoot over 47% from the field as well. They are 11-2 O/U in their last 13 games and 19-8 O/U on the season. Expect both offenses to be able to put points on the board.
BACK OVER 137.5 (-106).
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