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The Texas Rangers (72-49) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (65-57) to Globe Life Field Friday. First pitch to commence the 3-game series is set for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2023.
The Brewers lost 1-0 to the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday. They were swept in that 3-game series after sweeping the Chicago White Sox in the series prior. Milwaukee sits atop the NL Central and is 32-30 on the road.
The Rangers sit 2 1/2 games ahead of the Houston Astros in the AL West, and they have an American League-best 42-21 record at home. They are 7-3 over their last 10. Texas won 2 of 3 against the Los Angeles Angels in its last series.
Brewers at Rangers projected starters
RHP Brandon Woodruff vs. LHP Andrew Heaney
Woodruff (2-1, 1.99 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.84 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 22 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 5 K in a 3-2 road win over the White Sox Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 1-0, 2.19 ERA in 12 1/3 IP through 2 starts
Heaney (9-6, 4.17 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 114 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 1 1/3 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 1 K in a 9-3 road win over the San Francisco Giants Saturday
- 2023 home stats: 6-3, 4.13 ERA in 69 2/3 IP through 14 starts
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Brewers at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Rangers -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-200) | Rangers -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Brewers at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 4, Brewers 3
Moneyline
BET RANGERS (-120).
The Rangers are 51-29 as a favorite this season, and they are 42-21 at home. Heaney has also been strong on the mound at home, posting an 8-6 record through 14 starts.
Milwaukee is 28-31 as an underdog this season, and it has Woodruff on the mound, who has started just 2 games in the last 4 months.
Along with being swept by the Dodgers and staying on the road, compared to the Rangers, who had Thursday off, Milwaukee may have some fatigue come into play. Take RANGERS (-120).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The value just isn’t here. The Rangers have been one of the best teams in the MLB at home, but they are playing a competent Brewers team with a solid pitcher on the mound.
Don’t expect a blowout so play the Rangers on the moneyline instead of the -1.5 (+165) spread.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).
In Woodruff’s 4 starts this season, the total has gone Under. Milwaukee has gone Under in 2 of its last 3 games and is 1-3-1 O/U over its last 5. It is 53-6-5 O/U on the season.
The Rangers are 3-7 O/U over their last 10 games and have allowed a total of 3 runs in the last 3 games that Heaney has started. The pitchers are strong in this matchup, so go UNDER 8 (-105).
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