The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-13) begin a 3-game series against the San Diego Padres (17-15) on Friday at Petco Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2023; the Dodgers won 14 of 19 games against the Padres in 2022.
The Dodgers defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 10-6 on Wednesday, outscoring the Phillies 36-11 in the 3-game series. Los Angeles has strung together 6 straight wins and has won 8 of its last 10 contests.
The Padres beat the Cincinnati Reds 7-1 Wednesday to win the series 2-1. San Diego has won 4 of its last 5 games and 7 of its last 10.
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Dodgers at Padres projected starters
LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Yu Darvish
Kershaw (5-1, 1.89 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 through 38 IP.
- Has pitched at least 6 innings in each of his first 6 starts
- Has allowed 1 ER across 20 IP over his last 3 starts
- Boasts a 23-9 record with a 2.03 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 9.6 K/9 in 45 career starts against the Padres
Darvish (1-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 30 IP.
- The only 3 home runs he’s given up this season came in his last start vs. the San Francisco Giants on Apr. 30. in Mexico City
- Owns a 3-5 record with a 2.47 ERA, 0.87 WHIP and 11.9 K/9 in 10 career starts against the Dodgers.
Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Padres -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+145) | Padres +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Padres 2
Moneyline
With Kershaw pitching at a Cy Young level right now, I’ll back the DODGERS (-115) on the road in Friday’s NL West tilt.
Run line/Against the spread
DODGERS -1.5 (+145) has good value with Kershaw’s dominant pitching and considering that Los Angeles’ bats are in a great rhythm right now. The Dodgers have won 26 of the last 38 meetings with the Padres and we only need them to win by 2 runs to cover the run line.
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Over/Under
UNDER 7.5 (+100) is how I’d bet on the run total with Kershaw and Darvish having career success in this matchup. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.
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