The Boston Red Sox (10-10) open a 3-game set with the Milwaukee Brewers (14-5) Friday. First pitch from American Family Field is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: first meeting; Milwaukee won 2 of 3 games in Boston last season.
The Red Sox beat the Minnesota Twins 11-5 Thursday to take the series 2-1. Boston ran up 6 runs in the 3rd inning without a home run and let 10-1 through 5 frames. The Sox have won their last 2 series since being swept in a 4-game set at the Tampa Bay Rays from April 10-13.
The Brewers completed a 3-game sweep of the Seattle Mariners with a 5-3 victory Wednesday, doing all their damage in the 7th inning. Milwaukee has been on a tear to start the season, with series sweeps of the Mariners and the New York Mets (April 3-5) and just one lost series when it dropped 2 of 3 games at the Arizona Diamondbacks (April 10-12).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Red Sox at Brewers projected starters
RHP Nick Pivetta vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Pivetta (0-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 4th start of the season. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 14 IP.
- Allowed 6 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 4 K over 4 IP in a no-decision vs. the Los Angeles Angels Saturday
Peralta (2-1, 3.18 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 through 17 IP.
- Allowed 5 ER on 9 H and 1 BB with 5 K over 5 IP at the San Diego Padres Saturday
- Has a .200 BA vs. left-handed batters but with just 8 K against 6 BB
Red Sox at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Red Sox +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Brewers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Red Sox +1.5 (-135) | Brewers -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a Draft Prep or full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 4/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!
Red Sox at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 5, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
The Brewers are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games and 5-1 at home this season. They are also 9-4 off a win this year.
But Milwaukee (-175) is a bit too steep, so it’s best to PASS and look to the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
The Brewers have only been home favorites in 4 of their 6 games at AmFam Field despite their impressive record, but they covered the spread in 3 of those outings. Boston has covered the run line just once in 4 tries as a road underdog.
BET BREWERS -1.5 (+110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Over/Under
The Brewers allow the 3rd fewest runs per game and Boston has struggled to score in interleague play dating back to last season, cashing the Under in 4 of their last 5 contests vs. the National League.
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Ethan Matthew on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]