Napoli welcomes AC Milan to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Tuesday. Kickoff in the 2nd leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Napoli vs. AC Milan odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Napoli lost 1-0 on the road in the 1st leg against AC Milan. They ended with 4 more shots on goal and 3 more on target. Milan had 5 saves to Napoli’s 1.
Napoli sits atop Serie A, the top league in Italy. They were 5-1-0 in the group stage, scoring 20 goals and allowing 6. They then took down Eintracht Frankfurt 5-0 in the Round of 16. Napoli is averaging 2.2 goals per game while allowing just .7 per game in league play.
Milan sits 4th in Serie A. They finished 3-2-1 in the group stage, scoring 12 and allowing 7. They took down Tottenham 1-0 in the Round of 16. Milan has lost just 2 of their last 12 games throughout all competitions.
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Napoli vs. AC Milan odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:16 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Napoli -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | AC Milan +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Draw +270
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -130)
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Napoli vs. AC Milan picks and predictions
Prediction
Napoli 2, AC Milan 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET NAPOLI (-140).
Napoli is a talented side and have proven that all season long. They have been incredible at home as well, posting an 11-2-2 record.
They have won 11 of their last 15 matches. Two of those losses were to Milan, so they should be both familiar and seeking revenge on their opponent.
Milan has lost 2 of their last 8 yet had fewer expected goals in 2 of their last 5. They had fewer expected goals in their 1-0 home win over Napoli as well.
Napoli should bounce back and play a competent game in the 2nd leg. Luck should be more in their favor. Take NAPOLI (-140).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-130).
Napoli has gone Under in 3 straight matches and 7 of their last 11. The home side has had 4 clean sheets in their last 7 games as well. Milan has also gone Under in 3 straight games and in 10 of their last 13.
Both teams have competent defenses, and with the 1st leg having a combined 2.4 expected goals, assume both defenses will remain at the top of their game.
With that in mind, take the UNDER 2.5 (-130).
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