The Miami Heat (24-20) battle the Atlanta Hawks (21-22) Monday. Tip from State Farm Arena is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Heat beat the visiting Milwaukee Bucks 111-95 Saturday, covering as 4-point favorites. Miami has covered 4 of its last 5 games and is 18-24-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It is 10-11 straight up on the road and has won 3 straight games overall. The Heat are ranked 2nd in the league in opponents’ points per game (108.5).
The Hawks beat the Toronto Raptors 114-103 Saturday, covering as a 7.5-point road underdog. Atlanta is just 17-26 ATS on the season and is 3-3 ATS over its last 6 games. Its strength is offense, ranking 11th in the league in points per game (114.9).
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Heat at Hawks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Hawks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1.5 (-110) | Hawks +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Hawks key injuries
Heat
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) out
- F Caleb Martin (quadriceps) questionable
Hawks
- C Clint Capela (calf) questionable
- G Trae Young (shoulder) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Hawks picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 115, Heat 108
Moneyline
BET HAWKS (-105).
The Hawks have won 3 of their last 4 games overall and are 11-9 at home this season. Atlanta also has a good defense, ranking 14th in opponents’ field goal percentage (47%) and 4th in opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage (34.2%).
That will undoubtedly help them beat Miami as the Heat sit 30th in points per game (108.8). The Heat also rank in the bottom 7 in field goal percentage (45.2%) and 3-point field goal percentage (34%).
The Heat’s disappointing offense on the road should aid Atlanta. Miami is 10-11 on the road this season. Considering it all, back HAWKS (-110).
Against the spread
PASS.
A 1.5-point spread isn’t worth the worry. Play Atlanta to win outright.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 224.5 (-110).
Both teams have competent defenses, and the Under has been hot for each recently. Atlanta is 23-20 O/U this season but has gone Under in 4 straight contests and in 5 of its last 6.
Miami has gone Under in 2 straight outings and in 6 of its last 7 as well. The Heat are 20-24 O/U this season. Both teams also rank 24th and 25th in true shooting percentage, so coupled with Miami’s 28th ranking in pace, back the UNDER 224.5 (-110).
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