In a bantamweight bout on the main card, Cub Swanson and Jonathan Martinez meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 212 at UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 212: Swanson vs. Martinez odds, with expert picks and predictions.
The fight can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims beginning at 4 p.m. ET and the main card at 7 p.m. ET.
Swanson has rattled off 3 victories in the past 4 fights, bouncing back nicely after a 4-bout losing skid from Dec. 2017-May 2019.
Swanson picked up a 1st-round KO/TKO win over Darren Elkins last time out in mid-December, rebounding after a Round 1 knockout loss to Giga Chikadze.
Martinez has posted 3 straight unanimous-decision victories, including a win over Vince Morales in late May.
This is a rather even match by the numbers, with Martinez holding an ever-so-slight 4.72-to-4.66 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Swanson is slightly more accurate, and he has twice as much success in takedowns at 1.08-to-0.54.
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UFC Fight Night 212 Swanson vs. Martinez odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Swanson +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Martinez -230 (bet $230 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -155 | Under +112)
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UFC Fight Night 212 Swanson vs. Martinez picks and predictions
Records: Swanson (28-12-0) | Martinez (16-4-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
SWANSON (+175) is a wily veteran that matches up well with Martinez (-230). The value is on the 38-year-old, who has had a resurgence in recent years. His past 3 fights have been KO/TKOs, with 2 victories. His last win was a wild Round 1 win over Elkins.
Playing SWANSON BY KO/TKO (+490) is worth a small-unit play, too. He is 13-2 in his career in 40 professional fights, so if he wins, there is a good chance this is the method of victory.
Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+112) is worth a roll of the dice, whether you play the Swanson pick above, or just want action without declaring an actual winner.
NO (+105): FIGHT TO GO DISTANCE is also worth a play, and still a value at plus-money, if you’d like 90 more seconds of wiggle room.
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