In a women’s flyweight bout in the main event, Alexa Grasso and Viviane Araujo meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 212 at UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the UFC Fight Night 212: Grasso vs. Araujo odds, with expert picks and predictions.
Grasso heads into this one with 3 consecutive victories, including a submission win over Joanne Wood in Round 1 last time out in late March. It was a rare finish, as Grasso had gone the distance in 4 straight before the Wood bout, and 7 times in her first 9 bouts since arriving at the UFC level.
Araujo is coming off a unanimous-decision victory over Andrea Lee in mid-May, her 6th consecutive fights going the distance. She is 5-1 during that streak, with her only finish coming in a KO/TKO win over Talita Bernardo in May 2019 in her company debut at UFC 237.
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UFC Fight Night 212 Grasso vs. Araujo odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Grasso -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Araujo +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -230 | Under +160)
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UFC Fight Night 212 Grasso vs. Araujo picks and predictions
Records: Grasso (14-3-0) | Araujo (11-3-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Grasso (-230) will cost more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too expensive on the 2-way line in a bout between 2 fighters used to going the distance. Anything can happen when the decision is in the judges’ hands, so don’t risk it.
Instead, GRASSO BY POINTS (+120) is a much better value if you like her to win. Neither fighter has been getting finishes, and plus-money is nice.
Over/Under (O/U)
Over 4.5 Rounds (-230) is a little too expensive, as is Yes (-190): Fight to go the distance. Yes, both fighters tend to leave things in the hands of the judges to decide a winner, but there is just no value in either of these props.
PASS, and just stick with the method of victory play.
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