The Detroit Tigers (37-55) meet the Oakland Athletics (32-61) Thursday in the nightcap of a doubleheader at RingCentral Coliseum. First pitch is slated for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Athletics odds with MLB picks and predictions.
(Stats don’t include Thursday’s first game of the doubleheader).
Detroit is riding a 4-game losing skid, is just 1-8 over the last 9 games and is in 4th place in the AL Central, 12 games behind the 1st-place Minnesota Twins.
Oakland won 2 of a 3-game set with the AL West-leading Houston Astros heading into the All-Star break but is just 4-6 in the last 10 games. The A’s are last in the division, 28 games back of Houston as of Thursday morning.
Season series: A’s lead 4-1 with a 10-run advantage
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Tigers at Athletics projected starters
RHP Garrett Hill vs. RHP Frankie Montas
Hill, a rookie, is 1-1 with a 5.73 ERA (11 IP, 7 ER), 8 H, 2 HR, 3 BB and 4 K in 2 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 1 HR, 2 BB, 1 K in 8-0 setback at Chicago White Sox July 9
Montas is 3-9 with a 3.26 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 96 2/3 IP over 17 starts.
- Exited last start with shoulder inflammation (July 3)
- Last start: Loss, 1 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1 K in 2-1 defeat at the Seattle Mariners
- 2022 vs. the Tigers: One start, 6-0 loss in Detroit, May 10 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 1 HR, 7 H, 3 BB, 4 K
Tigers at Athletics odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:22 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Athletics -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-180) | Athletics -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)
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Tigers at Athletics picks and predictions
Prediction
Athletics 4, Tigers 1
Money line
LEAN ATHLETICS (-155).
Montas has solid pitching peripherals to support his impressive ERA and misleading win-loss record. Also, the Tigers are just 2-4 in the 2nd game of a doubleheader.
It’s only a LEAN ATHLETICS (-155) because the Under is my favorite look in this game, the A’s are an embarrassing 3-7 straight up as favorites and one could argue Oakland shouldn’t be this big of a favorite over anyone.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Athletics are 2-8 ATS as home favorites and 6-11 ATS in Montas starts. Plus, their bullpen is 25th in xFIP (4.26) according to FanGraphs.
The Tigers are 37-35 ATS as underdogs.
Over/Under
BET A HALF UNIT ON UNDER 6.5 (-135) because it’s a sharp number but the presumed sharp side of the market is backing the Under whereas the public is betting Over 6.5 (+110).
Roughly 70% of the cash is on the Under and 60% of the action is on the Over, per Pregame.com.
Typically, it’s wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public because professional bettors put up a lot more dough than your average Joe.
The O/U line being lowered from a 7.5-run opener in lieu of the market movement is further proof that the UNDER 6.5 (-135) is the sharper side.
Furthermore, Oakland’s lineup has the 2nd-worst wRC+ (71) vs. right-handed pitching and Detroit’s lineup is last in wRC+ (68) against righties, per FanGraphs.
Finally, the Tigers are 15-27-2 O/U as road underdogs and the A’s are 2-7-1 O/U as home favorites and 4-12-1 O/U in Montas’ 17 starts.
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