Bayern Munich welcomes Villarreal to Allianz Arena Tuesday for the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinals. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Bayern Munich vs. Villarreal odds and lines, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
These two faced off in the first leg of this two-match battle last Wednesday.
Villarreal won 1-0 at home despite being a heavy underdog. Bayern took 22 shots, yet only put 4 on target. Villareal scored 1 on just 1 shot on target.
This was a rarity for Bayern, which sits atop the Bundesliga. Bayern has 86 goals in 29 league games. This was its first time in either league play or Champions league play in which it hadn’t scored in a game this season.
As for Villarreal, it is 3-7-5 this season on the road. It has scored 49 goals and allowed 30 in 31 league matches. Villarreal sits 7th in La Liga play.
Bayern Munich vs. Villarreal: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Bayern Munich -370 (bet $370 to win $100) | Villarreal +850 (bet $100 to win $850) | Draw +550
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
[tipico]
Prediction
Bayern Munich 3, Villarreal 0
Money line (ML)
PASS.
While Bayern Munich will rebound from last week’s loss, no one should back its -370 money line.
I could see backing BOTH TEAMS NOT TO SCORE (+102).
This is great price considering there were only 5 shots on target last game. With Bayern at home, there’s a strong possibility it shuts out Villarreal. Six of Villarreal’s last seven games have involved one team not scoring.
Having held Bayern to just 4 shots on target, Villareal has a chance to do it again. Bayern has had a side not score in 4 straight matches. At the +102 price, it’s a good risk to take.
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN to the UNDER 3.5 (-115).
The first time around, this was the best play, but there were 34 shots.
Villarreal’s defense has held up so far in Champions League play, having given up just 1 goal in 3 knockout stage games. It is allowing just over a goal per game in league play as well, so it has had success for much of the season.
Bayern’s attack is elite, and by itself is worthy of being skeptical about an Under.
But considering it has scored just 1 goal or fewer in 4 of its last 7 games, there’s not a ton of reasons to hope for an overly dominant Bayern side.
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