Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Royals (36-53) and Cleveland Indians (45-42) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Royals vs. Indians odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Carlos Hernandez is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 1-0 with a 4.98 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 6.2 BB/9 and 12.5 K/9 through 21 2/3 IP over 12 relief appearances.

He makes his first start of 2021 Sunday. He pitched a season-high 4 1/3 innings out of the bullpen May 29.

RHP Eli Morgan is the projected starting pitcher for the Indians. He is 1-3 with a 8.44 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 over 21 1/3 IP through five starts.

Morgan is coming off the most complete start of his fledgling career, allowing 3 runs on 5 hits and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts over 5 innings against the first-place Houston Astros last Saturday, but it still ended up a loss. He has served up 8 homers on the season.

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Royals at Indians odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Indians -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Royals +1.5 (-150) | Indians -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Indians 8, Royals 6

Money line (ML)

The INDIANS (-140) are the lean in this series finale, as the Tribe try to hit the All-Star break with some much-needed momentum after a trying first half.

Morgan showed some signs of life last time out, and he’ll try and improve upon his strong outing against the Astros and grab his second-career victory.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The INDIANS -1.5 (+125) are worth a small-unit play, but expect to have some ups and downs. This will be a high-scoring game with a pair of very giving pitchers and Morgan struggles to keep the ball in the yard.

It might look good one minute, and then seem dire the next. Cleveland will end up winning by at least 2 in the end, just don’t get crazy betting it.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9.5 (-115) is the best play on the board. Kansas City went into Saturday’s game having allowed 5 or more runs in five of its previous six games, and nine of its last 12.

As mentioned, Morgan has had trouble in the homers allowed department. Look for plenty of fireworks in C-Town.

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