The Baltimore Orioles (26-54) and Houston Astros (48-32) play the finale of a three-game set Wednesday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Minute Maid Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Matt Harvey is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 3-9 with a 7.54 ERA, 1.74 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 over 68 IP over 16 starts.
Harvey has dropped eight straight decisions, and he hasn’t won in 10 starts dating back to May 1. He posted a dismal 9.64 ERA in May, and has a 9.31 ERA across 19 1/3 innings in his five outings in June.
RHP Luis Garcia is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 6-4 with a 2.83 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 through 76 1/3 IP over 13 starts and two relief appearances.
Garcia yielded 2 earned runs, 7 hits and 2 walks with 5 strikeouts across 6 innings in a win his last time out Thursday at Detroit. He is 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA and just one home run allowed in 30 1/3 innings in five June starts.
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Orioles at Astros odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Astros -335 (bet $335 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-105) | Astros -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Astros 10, Orioles 2
Money line (ML)
The Astros (-335) are looking to salvage at least one game in this series against the Orioles. Houston should be able to take out its frustrations against the very giving Harvey, but you can’t risk three and a half times your potential return, especially after Baltimore won the first two in this series as heavy underdogs.
AVOID.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The ASTROS -2.5 (-115) were dropped in Monday’s series opener, and they were blown out on Tuesday night. They should bounce back in a big way against Harvey, and if you lost the past two days, you have to just scrub that from your memory and trudge along.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 9.5 (-110) is the play. The Over cashed in the first two in this series as Baltimore’s bats came alive for 22 total runs while Houston plated 10 of its own. The Over is 4-1 in the five meetings between these sides this season, too. Look for another, as the Astros are likely to get to Harvey in the series finale.
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