The Tampa Bay Rays (29-19) look for the four-game sweep against the Toronto Blue Jays (23-22) Monday. The game is scheduled to begin at 1:07 p.m. ET at TD Ballpark in Dunedin, Florida. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Rays vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Ryan Yarbrough is the projected opener for the Rays. He is 2-3 with a 4.24 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 in 46 2/3 IP over nine appearances (five starts). Yarbrough has actually fared much better coming in as the bulk reliever this season. He has a 6.28 ERA when starting a game, and a 1.00 mark across 18 IP in his four relief outings.
RHP Ross Stripling is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in 25 IP over six starts. Stripling couldn’t make it out of the fourth inning against Boston in his last start. In three home starts on the year, he boasts an ugly 8.31 ERA with four homers allowed in 12 IP.
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Rays at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Rays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Blue Jays +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Rays -1.5 (+125) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Rays 7, Blue Jays 5
Money line (ML)
The Rays have won 10 games in a row, are 2nd in the majors in wRC+ vs right-handed pitching and are facing a starter that has been struggling mightily.
Yarbrough hasn’t been great, either, but not nearly as bad as Stripling, and Toronto is 12th in wRC+ vs lefties on the season. Look for the RAYS -120 to extend the streak to 11 games.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Rays are 18-7 on the road this year, and 16 of those wins have been by multiple runs. The offense is really clicking as they have averaged 8.1 runs per game during their winning streak. They could very well have another big day against Stripling, so back the RAYS -1.5 (+125), or consider pushing it to -2.5 (+180).
Over/Under (O/U)
The ballpark in Dunedin, Fla., heavily favors hitters, and this is a matchup of potent offenses against starters that aren’t at the top of their game right now. The total is a high one, but rightfully so. Look for OVER 10.5 (-110) to cash Monday afternoon.
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