In a heavyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Aleksei Oleinik and Chris Daukaus meet at UFC on ESPN+ 49 – also known as UFC Vegas 19 and UFC Fight Night 185 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 49 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Oleinik vs. Daukaus: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:36 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Oleinik +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Daukaus -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +155 | Under -185)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +400 | No -550)
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Oleinik vs. Daukaus: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Oleinik 59-14-1 | Daukaus 10-3
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Daukaus (-200) is a little too expensive for my liking against a veteran like Oleinik, although ultimately, I do expect he’ll earn the victory. Still, I don’t like to put up two times my potential return, so let’s get more specific and avoid the 2-way line.
Youth is on the side of Daukaus, who is just 31, or 12 years younger than Oleinik. Daukaus has registered two KO/TKO wins, both in Round 1, since making his debut with the company at UFC 252 in August 2020. Oleinik is coming off a second-round KO/TKO loss to Derrick Lewis, and he is 2-3 across his past five, all knockout setbacks.
As such, playing DAUKAUS BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-125) on the 5-way line makes a lot of sense. In addition, I like DAUKAUS IN ROUND 2 (+525), as I think Oleinik can at least hang around until the early part of Round 2.
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Over/Under (O/U)
UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (-185) is worth a small-unit bet, too. Oleinik has been knocked out in the first round by Alistair Overeem and Walt Harris, while getting finished by Lewis just 21 seconds into Round 2 across his past five fights. I don’t think Daukaus gets the finish in Round 1, as mentioned above, but it’s not going any longer than the early part of 2.
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