The New York Jets (2-13) head to Foxborough, Mass., Sunday of Week 17 to play the New England Patriots (6-9) at Gillette Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we give you four player/team prop bets to consider from the BetMGM game menu.
Also see: Jets at Patriots odds, picks and prediction
New York Jets Week 17 prop bet predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.
QB Sam Darnold Over 213.5 passing yards (-110)
Patriots CB Stephon Gilmore, the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, has battled injuries all season and was sent to the Reserve/Injured list with partially-torn quadriceps after Week 15. Gilmore missed time earlier this season (Weeks 8-10) and one of the games he out was the first Jets-Patriots meeting in Week 9.
Darnold was also sidelined with an injury in that game but his replacement QB Joe Flacco completed 18 of 25 passes for 262 yards. It was the fifth-most passing yards this New England defense has allowed all season. Darnold has attempted 31 and 32 passes in the past two games so he should have the volume of work to eclipse this pass yardage prop.
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TE Chris Herndon Over 16.5 receiving yards (-105)
The 24-year-old hasn’t turned out to be the player the Jets hoped he’d become after a solid rookie season in 2018; however, he has played well against the Patriots since his rookie season when he had the third-most receiving yards of any game in his career (57 yards) in Week 12 of the 2018 season.
In the four games Darnold missed this season (Weeks 5-6, 9 and 11), Herndon was targeted just three times out of 149 snaps, all in Week 5 against the Miami Dolphins. Herndon has been targeted at least once in all but two of Darnold’s 11 starts this year and has a combined 7 catches for 82 yards in the last two weeks.
QB Sam Darnold Over 14.5 rushing yards (-115)
A lot of New England’s front seven is listed on the Week 17 injury report and if you check out a couple of the more popular advanced NFL ranking sites, you’ll find the Patriots rush defense is about the bottom of the charts.
Sharp Football Stats says opponents have the fourth-highest rushing success rate against the New England defense and Football Outsiders ranks the Patriots dead last in rush defense DVOA.
Furthermore, while Darnold is by no means a “dual-threat” QB, he does have some wheels. Darnold ran for at least 18 yards in each of his previous two games and in six of his 11 starts this season. The Jets running back room is without RBs Frank Gore and La’Mical Perine so Darnold will need to pick up a little of the running slack.
Who will record the 1st score of the game? Jets (-110)
When the Patriots win the coin toss head coach Bill Belichick generally defers so he can get the ball in the second half. Well, the Jets scored on their eighth straight opening drive in their first win of the season in Week 15 vs. the Los Angeles Rams.
That streak was snapped last week vs. the Cleveland Browns but, given how consistent the Jets have been at the beginning of games and how little scoring the Patriots have done recently, we are getting a good price for New York to jump out to the first lead of the game.
Want action on any of these props? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Jets vs. Patriots: Adam Gase’s expected goodbye, Sam Darnold’s future among storylines (Jets Wire)
- Bill Belichick, Cam Newton mutually wish they had more time together in 2020 (Patriots Wire)
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